Some Random Bets

[Kynge of Begrem]

I just about got everything wrong in the last 2 weeks (except Brownlow) and should have followed through on the Grand Final hedge.
Overall I'm pretty happy with 30+ units up for the month, and I don't think that's too bad for a zero edge punter

Week 1 +14.07u
Week 2 +4.86u
Week 3 -6.90u
Brownlow +25.45u
Week 4 -5.50u

TOTAL +31.98u

Zero edge punters are doing ok in this forum

 

[somethingrandom]

What is your z-score, your p-value and how many standard deviations from your simulated Monte Carlo's does your sample size get down for?

 

[somethingrandom]

Week 4
AFL/NRL/Brownlow winners multi: Hawthorn/Bulldogs/Watson 1.0u@27.72 (Sportsbet) -1.0u
Brownlow/Premiership Double: Watson/Hawthorn 1.0u@9.42 (Betstar) -1.0u
Norm Smith Medalist: Cyril Rioli 1.0u@11.00 (Centrebet) -1.0u
Brownlow/Norm Smith Double: Jobe Watson/Cyril Rioli 0.3u@57.00 (Sportsbet) -0.3u
Clive Churchill Medal Position of Winner: Interchange 0.5u@34.00 -0.5u
Betstar Double Fixed Odds: That's The One 0.5u@19.00 -0.5u
Bulldogs 2.0u@2.05 (Centrebet) Refund
Bulldogs 13+ 0.5u@5.80 (Centrebet) -0.5u
First Try Scorer: Greg Eastwood 0.2u@41.00 (Betstar) -0.2u
T20 World Cup Winner: Pakistan 0.5u@7.50 (Centrebet) -0.5u

TOTAL: -5.50u

I may have been a little quick to write the Paki's off.

 

[somethingrandom]

I may have been a little quick to write the Paki's off.

Awesome, now I don't have to alter anything.

 

[KardiniaPark]

SR are you waiting for the Brownlow ?

 

[somethingrandom]

SR are you waiting for the Brownlow ?

Yes, my huge winnings should see me through to September.
For now I'm just living the playboy lifestyle and enjoying the summer

 

[Lensen]

**** i'm ******ed. spent 30 seconds looking at that going "wow, they have really skinny waists"

 

[KardiniaPark]

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

**** i'm ******ed. spent 30 seconds jerking off to that going "wow, they have really skinny waists"

EFA

 

[Lensen]

EFA

30 seconds? did i go twice?

 

[KardiniaPark]