Sydney Quaddie

[danielz_23]

I've always been a Melbourne Quaddie person but this weekend I decided to have a go at the Sydney Quaddie due to the quality of horses going around. I found it really surprising how massive the dividend was:

Leg 1 - Meurice (5th in odds)

Leg 2 - Tuesday Joy (favourite)

Leg 3 - Posadas (favourite)

Leg 4 - Just Mambo (3rd fav)

Pays $5171.60

I didnt have Meurice nor Just Mambo however I only excluded them due to the fact I'm am small punter.

On the other hand I think the Melbourne quaddie was small based on that $60 bolter...?...

...

 

[Daytripper]

I've always been a Melbourne Quaddie person but this weekend I decided to have a go at the Sydney Quaddie due to the quality of horses going around. I found it really surprising how massive the dividend was:

Leg 1 - Meurice (5th in odds)

Leg 2 - Tuesday Joy (favourite)

Leg 3 - Posadas (favourite)

Leg 4 - Just Mambo (3rd fav)

Pays $5171.60

I didnt have Meurice nor Just Mambo however I only excluded them due to the fact I'm am small punter.

On the other hand I think the Melbourne quaddie was small based on that $60 bolter...?...

...

All multiples pay well when the first leg is an outsider.

Its the psychology of punters. They would go rather skinny in the first few legs and wide in the latter legs. Generally its because punters don't like to have to sweat on one horse in the last leg after doing all the hard work in the earlier legs. So to counter for going wide in the latter legs they go thin in the earlier legs. I actually read a very good piece in a book about it once that dealt extensively with it.

Have a look at a quaddie next time an odds on gets beat in the first leg and compare the dividend with another quaddie when the odds on gets beat in the last leg. If you multiply all four legs you will see that the the quaddie with the shortie beaten in the first leg will pay comparatively larger than the other one.

Lesson : Go wide in early legs.

Also, that Sydney quaddie is a bit deceptive. Before the rain came down, Just Mambo was a 14/1 chance. The rain helped it firm to third favouritism but by then quaddie punters had already done their form for a good track and presumably left it out.

I was one of those punters.

Had 5 going in the last leg but was not confident at all as form had been done for a good track.

 

[danielz_23]

Its really funny you say that... maybe i'm just messed up but I spend 95% of my time looking at the first 3 races and pick more horses because I want my afternoon to last longer and at least make it to the final leg.... then it only leaves me with a couple of horses in the last (which is usually a crap race and hard to pick anyway so short of taking them all I just take the chance)

 

[footyman]

Its really funny you say that... maybe i'm just messed up but I spend 95% of my time looking at the first 3 races and pick more horses because I want my afternoon to last longer and at least make it to the final leg.... then it only leaves me with a couple of horses in the last

I use the same theory, and if you're going for a big collect you can afford to save on the horses you haven't taken. Nothing worse than being knocked out of the quaddie first leg.

But Daytripper is right, punting psyche is to go narrow early. I think it has as much to do with punters relying on the market for the first leg and therefore take the fancied runners (eg horses under $10 on the tote).