Prediction The Run Home- The next six Games and beyond

[glenashley]

Live ladder says Hawks need 37 more unanswered goals to move ahead of us!

 

[Bont the Lord]

Can you use your membership to get into the Ballarat game or do you need to purchase a ticket separately?

 

[Doggy]

Can you use your membership to get into the Ballarat game or do you need to purchase a ticket separately?

Need a separate ticket

 

[Bont the Lord]

Need a separate ticket

From the club or just through Ticketek?

 

[Doggy]

From the club or just through Ticketek?

Think it's a separate membership from the club or just go through ticketek

 

[MYOB]

From the club or just through Ticketek?

Ticketmaster

 

[Bont the Lord]

Ticketmaster

Thanks! Worth catching the train up there?

 

[Charlie Bucket]

As it stands, if we lose next week we need Freo or Carlton to lose for us to sneak in to 8th.

Win, it won’t matter.

Either way, we’ll be playing Hawks or Lions in the first final. If we make it.

 

[House_of_Dahl]

We are playing our first final next week V GWS. Ballarat get a blockbuster!

 

[Ted's Robot]

Dam, just checked both Freo and Blues play after us. Really needed the weagles to turn up today. Would be such a shame if our great percentage means nothing.

 

[Next Waiting]

Dam, just checked both Freo and Blues play after us. Really needed the weagles to turn up today. Would be such a shame if our great percentage means nothing.

If we lose to GWS,, Port are incentivised to beat Freo in order to retain the home qf spot.

We don't want it to come to that obviously.

 

[Sentinel]

As it stands, if we lose next week we need Freo or Carlton to lose for us to sneak in to 8th.

Win, it won’t matter.

Either way, we’ll be playing Hawks or Lions in the first final. If we make it.

So we're currently $1.05 to make the 8 with the bookies.

We have 4 avenues to get there - we beat GWS, Freo lose to Port, Carlton lose to Saints, Hawks lose to North.

 

[Doggy]

So we're currently $1.05 to make the 8 with the bookies.

We have 4 avenues to get there - we beat GWS, Freo lose to Port, Carlton lose to Saints, Hawks lose to North.

Call it 3, that last one isn't an option

 

[Optimistic Dog]

The cats go ahead of the giants after they beat the eaglies on Saturday. Given the giants will not know the Poet V Freo result, The giants would be better off finishing 4th by losing to us and playing the swans in Sydney than risking playing Port in Adelaide.

 

[Doggies7]

Sorry if already answered but if ladder stays as is and we play Hawks as the home team, will it automatically be at the G instead of Marvel?

 

[Doggy]

Sorry if already answered but if ladder stays as is and we play Hawks as the home team, will it automatically be at the G instead of Marvel?

MCG

 

[DoggieStyle07]

The cats go ahead of the giants after they beat the eaglies on Saturday. Given the giants will not know the Poet V Freo result, The giants would be better off finishing 4th by losing to us and playing the swans in Sydney than risking playing Port in Adelaide.

Looking at the predictor Cats still need to win by 10 goals to make up 4% to get ahead of GWS… very doable vs Eagles, but they could also coast below that and lock in 4th. Might change GWS’s approach if Geelong do get that 10 goal win though.

 

[Snarls Barkley]

Sorry if already answered but if ladder stays as is and we play Hawks as the home team, will it automatically be at the G instead of Marvel?

This is what was said in an article about Geelong hosting a final at GMHBA

“The contract the AFL has with the MCG stipulates that if there's only one final in Victoria in weeks one, two and three, it must be played at the MCG. Victorian preliminary finals must also be played at the MCG with a contract to 2059 for an MCG Grand Final.”

“Under the terms of the MCG’s contract with the AFL, any finals games in the first two weeks of the finals – the qualifying, elimination and semi-finals – with an expected crowd of 55,000 or more must be played at the home of football, the MCG”

So any home final we have going into the future is likely to be held at the MCG. I'm one who would prefer to play our finals at the G but also think we should be getting more than two opportunities to play there in the home and away season if that is what the contract is.

 

[DoggieStyle07]

(Promise I’m not trying to put the moz on by going to early with this , but) if there wasn’t enough incentive to win next week, just projecting out the likely finals and would have to say of our 2 potential outcomes finishing 6th looks a much nicer run through the PF than if we scraped into 8th:

6th:
Hawthorn
Prob GWS away (Port / GWS loser)
Syd / Gee winner

8th:
Bris away
Syd / Gee loser
Prob Port away (Port / GWS winner)

 

[jdz101]

It would be brutal if we lost and freo won for us to miss.

13 wins and a % of 124 should really be enough.

 

[Snarls Barkley]

Only team that hasn’t had a losing streak. That has to count for something

 

[bigdog54]

Looking at the predictor Cats still need to win by 10 goals to make up 4% to get ahead of GWS… very doable vs Eagles, but they could also coast below that and lock in 4th. Might change GWS’s approach if Geelong do get that 10 goal win though.

After watching the Eagles today, Geelong will beat them by 100 points

 

[bigdog54]

It would be brutal if we lost and freo won for us to miss.

13 wins and a % of 124 should really be enough.

Yeah it's shit. The reality of equalisation but a rigged fixture.

 

[dogwatch]

Only team that hasn’t had a losing streak. That has to count for something

Yes it does. It means we haven't gone through an extended trough like Hawthorn (early), Essendon (late), Carlton (mid-late season) or Melbourne (late). However the fact that we've only won 13 in spite of that means there's a corollary: we can't sustain a winning streak. Four is our best.

 

[bigdog54]

Yes it does. It means we haven't gone through an extended trough like Hawthorn (early), Essendon (late), Carlton (mid-late season) or Melbourne (late). However the fact that we've only won 13 in spite of that means there's a corollary: we can't sustain a winning streak. Four is our best.

Good point. Although my crusade is that it's due to fixtureing than anything else.