That last seat is paper thin close. We're talking a few hundred votes.
Won't know for weeks probably.
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That last seat is paper thin close. We're talking a few hundred votes.
Bishop's jibe about a protest vote would have been the agreed upon spin, to take the sting out of such a result.
The Libs have refused to be conciliatory re Palmer, which could be mean either of two things, first they think he will be an obstructionist force, or they think he will be easily bought later.
I wonder, if they can't find a senate majority from dealing with Palmer/the independents, then the media msg and media battles pre and post budget are going to be heated. This Hockey crapola about a budget emergency is getting tedious and aggressive saturation with the hordes staying on msg will become even more so. Voters are experiencing election mode fatigue, which doesn't help the Libs as it seems to be their media management/pr strategy.
Whatever the case, despite a pointed media offensive, they may not have the backing to push through a few key ticket items, let alone more contraversial legislation. If they push too hard, the public will respond poorly, however they could never carry through with the threat of a double dissolution because it would be electoral suicide.
So Western Australians clearly voted for the mining and carbon tax to be abolished. So says the prime minister.
The PM is right. Lib + Nat + PUP + LDP add up to 51.06% of 1st preferences alone.
Massive swing to greens who are the loudest proponents for the carbon and mining tax. Massive swing to Palmer who campaigned heavily against the government.
And compared to September?
The Shooters and Fishers Party believes the Carbon Tax is a political construct built on the false premise that Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is a real
51.06% is a majority obtained by parties that went with a clear policy to repeal.
Goes up to 52.05 if you add the shooters and fishers.
So the "conservative" vote is exactly the same (to 2 decimal points) as September?
I don't know what you are trying to say.
51.06% is a majority obtained by parties that went with a clear policy to repeal.
Goes up to 52.05 if you add the shooters and fishers.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/results/senate/wa/
Lib + Nat + PUP + LDP add up to 52.77% of 1st preferences.
That's for 2014 election, I'm trying to compare to 2013.
Whatever the result, for me two big things stand out.
1. Very surprised at the vote for Greens especially in WA, given the poor result in Tasmania recently. Possibly due to profile of Ludlam? (Not unhappy though)
Ludlum is a good operator and the Greens can trace their roots back to WA (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josephine_Vallentine)
So Western Australians clearly voted for the mining and carbon tax to be abolished. So says the prime minister.
Matched by a drop in Labor.
If they don't win the final seat it would be a poor result for Labor, although i don't believe the $$ spent by Labor would come anyway near to what the Tories & PUP had spent.
Massive swing to greens who are the loudest proponents for the carbon and mining tax. Massive swing to Palmer who campaigned heavily against the government.
So Western Australians clearly voted for the mining and carbon tax to be abolished. So says the prime minister.
Very poor result for Labor.
Labor drop was <5%. Green swing was well over 6%. So not quite
I'm asking if the "conservative" vote in this election is the same as the September election.
If it is higher you could conclude that WA voted in favor of the government, if it went down WA voted against the government.
I never said they wouldn't, though I doubt it.I disagree - the Libs would win a 2015/2015 Double Dissolution election IMO.
Abbott won't do it though.
Why are you including PUP?You can add yet another 1.13% for Family first and the DLP and Stop the greens
So far we are up to 53.18% of first preferences for parties opposed to Carbon taxing.
Some other observations from my booth.Having worked at the election some of the highlights for BF followers
1. No PUP people handing out how to vote cards (given the seat I worked has a Liberal bias, it would have made sense to have a presence)
2. Some person wrote "F*** the Liberals" on the paper, then proceeded to vote Liberal above the line