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The interactive squiggle generates them at noon on Tuesdays. But you can get a sneak preview by using its predictor, under "Show Details..." Which today looks like this:When do the tips get released for round 23??
Collingwood 69 - 107 Hawthorn
0.11 wins - 0.89 wins
Carlton 78 - 91 Essendon
0.35 wins - 0.65 wins
Geelong 99 - 56 Brisbane Lions
0.95 wins - 0.05 wins
North Melbourne 98 - 48 Melbourne
0.97 wins - 0.03 wins
Sydney 89 - 56 Richmond
0.85 wins - 0.15 wins
Fremantle 81 - 62 Port Adelaide
0.71 wins - 0.29 wins
Gold Coast 83 - 89 West Coast
0.42 wins - 0.58 wins
Adelaide 128 - 67 St Kilda
0.97 wins - 0.03 wins
Western Bulldogs 96 - 82 Greater Western Sydney
0.66 wins - 0.34 wins
That's what the interactive squiggle is! Click the "Start" button then "Next Round" repeatedly to play through the season.Jeez I'd love to see an animated map for the whole season.
Well the old saying goes defense wins you premierships which is usually true but its also much harder to keep up a full defensive effort for the whole 4 quarters against a high scoring side like Hawthorn, you have a lapse and a few mins later you can find yourself 5 goals down.
Its no coincidence all those cups are around a balance of ~70-75 offense and 65-70 defense its a sweetspot in the scheme of things.
Thanks again Final Siren . For Port this confirms what needed to improve and has this year. Last year in our losses we got blown away a few times. This year, even in our recent run of poor form all losses have been sub-30, with half our losses under 10 points. Attack has improved slight, but showing up our glaring remaining issue is needing another KPF to take the load off Schulz and let Westhoff free to roam at his most damaging.Round 22, 2014
From pre-season to Round 22:
Here is a version that draws a straight line from a team's starting position before Round 1 and now:
From pre-season to Round 22:
On thing this highlights is how much ground GWS and Melbourne have made up over the course of the year. They are still bad (especially Melbourne), but there is no longer an enormous gap between those two teams and everyone else. We are getting back to something resembling a normal competition, where the worst teams are at least competitive.
Sydney's year is amazing. That's a very large gain, shifting into very impressive territory.
But it's hard to ignore all those premiership cups around Hawthorn. The Hawks have moved to their flag-winning position of 2013 like it's magnetic.
Actually the other way around: defensive > offensive > balanced > defensive. But I didn't analyse it properly; it's just a vague hunch. Details are here.I believe Final Siren looked into that saying and found that defensive teams usually beat balanced teams but offensive teams generally beat defensive teams. Hence why most premiers are more offensive than balanced.
The answer is far less interesting than you would hope, but it is here.what surprises me about this is that so many teams look to have made big improvements on their starting position, yet the only teams that have declined are collingwood and st kilda (brisbane looks about even trading offence for defence).
how does this happen? i would have expected it to be more or less a zero-sum game. is it something to do with a lower scoring season and the squiggle more highly rating defensive performances?
Teams get dragged back towards the middle between seasons: see here.edit: also, why do hawthorn start from where they do when their 2013 cup is around where they are now?
Did the squiggle have this guy banned for profiting off his genius?? #squigglewants50%I like. is clever. But does it work all the time? I might use it for betting and make some good dolla!! Thank you!!
Youbuy. Youbuy.I like. is clever. But does it work all the time? I might use it for betting and make some good dolla!! Thank you!!
It wouldn't be that hard if there is a nice trove of data (results) somewhere. But I'm not sure if it would work as well for soccer because of the very low scoring. AFL has nice big scores and so you can derive good information from whether a team scores 60 points or 70 or 80. I don't follow soccer, but it seems like it only takes a little luck for a team to double or treble its score. Which would mean there is less you can learn from scorelines alone.please please please do an EPL one.
It wouldn't be that hard if there is a nice trove of data (results) somewhere. But I'm not sure if it would work as well for soccer because of the very low scoring. AFL has nice big scores and so you can derive good information from whether a team scores 60 points or 70 or 80. I don't follow soccer, but it seems like it only takes a little luck for a team to double or treble its score. Which would mean there is less you can learn from scorelines alone.
Maybe so, but it wouldn't be a squiggle, since there's no offence/defence. It would just be a predictive model. I'm sure there are plenty of those around for soccer already.Agree scores would not help with Soccer.
How about the total player payments as a squiggle? That seems the best predictor in that business.
It wouldn't be that hard if there is a nice trove of data (results) somewhere. But I'm not sure if it would work as well for soccer because of the very low scoring. AFL has nice big scores and so you can derive good information from whether a team scores 60 points or 70 or 80. I don't follow soccer, but it seems like it only takes a little luck for a team to double or treble its score. Which would mean there is less you can learn from scorelines alone.
Here's an idea: how about they get 6 points for a goal, and one point for a near miss....what about shots or shots on target? those are all recorded as stats and usually give a decent indication of a team's strength within a game. maybe incorporating a modifier that accounts for conversion rate if there's a large variance in how often certain teams score from their shots.
That's what the interactive squiggle is! Click the "Start" button then "Next Round" repeatedly to play through the season.
By the way, I'm taking suggestions on how to improve/modify that thing over the off-season.
By the way, I'm taking suggestions on how to improve/modify that thing over the off-season.