There's what would make everyone happy and what would be practical.If you take the AFL out of the equation, it really boils down to whether the other stakeholders are happy with the arrangement. Hawthorn put a lot of effort into their Tassie presence, but they don't do it out of good will - they do it because otherwise the AFL would schedule their dud games at Etihad Stadium and they'd lose money, and the Tassie govt pay them a handsome sum to play there. As far as the people of Tassie go, I'm not one so I have no idea if they're happy having 4/11th of Hawthorn each year forever or whether they want their own team outright - be it a relocated or brand new club. As far as the Tassie financials go, I don't know how much money York Park makes per game for the state, how much exposure the sponsorship brings etc. but someone might come along and say that it doesn't make economic sense for Tassie. If that day came then no sponsorship = no Hawthorn. Are Hawthorn fans, board members, players etc. happy to keep playing in Tassie forever or is there a goal to gain financial stability (which they have) then bail?
My hunch (and that's all it is) is that all parties would be happiest if Hawthorn played 11 games at the MCG and Tassie had its own team based there permanently.
I think the Hawks are very happy getting 1 mil a game in Tassie knowing that they won't get 11 MCG games and probably knowing that if/when they slide down the ladder they won't get good crowds to many of those 11 games anyway. Limiting themselves to 7 home games in Melbourne (with 6 away games mainly at the MCG) is a very clever tactic in itself.
Of course the people and Government of Tasmania would prefer their own home team but I can't see the AFL introducing a 19th (and 20th) team any time soon. Partial relocation doesn't seem like a move that works for anyone and full relocation involves tearing up a Victorian club and removing away crowds for games in Victoria.
If it gets to a stage where the 19th and 20th team enter the competition then I'll understand that but right now I think that's at least a decade, maybe two away from happening if at all. If a Victorian club is forced to relocate to 'survive' then I will respect that. Although I still don't really understand how it will work splitting games between the 2 towns.
Really it's the partial relocation with 6 home games in Tasmanian seems like a dud deal to me. Creating a nomadic team with 3 (or 4) home grounds. Then expecting that team to win over support in the state. I'd rather watch my team on TV then go to a couple of Hawks or Roos games just for a day at the footy to be honest if I were Tasmanian.