Brownlow Smokies

[GudOnya]

Had a punt on a left-field Brownlow pick on the weekend, Mason Wood

32

Mason Wood

Age

30

Ht

192cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.3

2star

D

8.3

2star

K

2.7

1star

HB

5.7

3star

M

1.7

2star

T

1.3

2star

CL

0.0

1star

D

15.8

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.6

3star

, and it got me thinking. It seems pretty rare now for someone not already considered for a decent period of time in the absolute top echelon of players to win the Chaz and last ones that I can think of would probably be Priddis and Cooney.

Any other smokie Brownlow picks getting around?

SportsBet were a bit sus about the bet too which is different story but it did make me wonder if everyone just assumes nowadays that the winner will be from the current crop of top-tier players like Oliver, Cripps, Neale etc and don't really consider anyone else (Daicos being the exception but arguably top-tier already anyway).

 

[Engimal v3]

A lot of AFL casuals genuinely had no idea who Priddis was lol

 

[Bald]

Ollie Wines in 2021 I thought was a bit of a stretch, I don't really follow the odds so I don't know if he was a smoky or not, though.

 

[UnitedWarrior93]

Would you consider Jezza a smokie? seeing as forwards don't win brownlows.

I'd love to see him win it.

 

[windyhill]

Zach Merrett @51.00 not bad.

 

[Elmer_Judd]

Jake Soligo.

Seriously way too early to predict this type of stuff, probably after the half way point of the season is when we should be discussing this

 

[GudOnya]

A lot of AFL casuals genuinely had no idea who Priddis was lol

Always been a handy player but I'd never considered him amongst the absolute best in the comp.

Ollie Wines in 2021 I thought was a bit of a stretch, I don't really follow the odds so I don't know if he was a smoky or not, though.

He had been talked up a fair bit that year as among the top 5 or so, but also probably not a result many saw coming.

 

[GudOnya]

Would you consider Jezza a smokie? seeing as forwards don't win brownlows.

I'd love to see him win it.

A lot of people think he's the best player in the comp at the moment so not in that sense, but current odds are around $21 so probably classed as a smokie.

Zach Merrett @51.00 not bad.

Going on previous form he's a decent pick.

Jake Soligo.

Seriously way too early to predict this type of stuff, probably after the half way point of the season is when we should be discussing this

It's not a prediction of who will win, it's players who are a chance that aren't often talked about in the Brownlow conversation. From a betting point of view waiting until halfway through the year to put a Brownlow bet on will give you odds so low as to not be worth a punt.

 

[Back One Out]

Jeremy Cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

31

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

$21.00

Probably the number 1 player in the AFL, so he is not really a Brownlow smokey. Juicy odds, though.
Who is going to take votes off him this year? Stewart, maybe a couple


Jordan Dawson

12

Jordan Dawson

Age

27

Ht

191cm

Wt

91kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.0

4star

K

11.4

4star

HB

5.7

4star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.8

4star

CL

0.6

3star

D

15.7

4star

K

10.9

4star

HB

4.9

3star

M

2.9

3star

T

2.0

3star

CL

0.4

3star

D

11.8

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

5.0

5star

T

3.0

5star

CL

0.6

3star

$67.00
Tim English $101.00
Jack Sinclair

35

Jack Sinclair

Age

29

Ht

181cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.5

4star

K

8.1

3star

HB

8.4

5star

M

3.1

3star

T

3.2

5star

MG

235.0

4star

D

15.0

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

5.0

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

2.0

3star

MG

376.0

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

4.2

2star

HB

7.8

5star

M

1.6

2star

T

2.0

4star

MG

138.2

3star

$151.00

 

[Bunk Moreland]

These odds are mostly ******* ridiculous. They should have an extra zero on the end. God bookies rip the s**t out of mugs.

 

[Back One Out]

Whoever wins this year's Brownlow medal will need to get past Clayton Oliver

13

Clayton Oliver

Age

26

Ht

189cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.8

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

18.4

5star

M

3.2

3star

T

6.3

5star

CL

6.3

5star

D

25.1

5star

K

11.1

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

5.6

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

19.2

5star

K

4.6

2star

HB

14.6

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

4.4

5star

CL

3.8

5star

and Christian Petracca

5

Christian Petracca

Age

28

Ht

187cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.4

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

3.0

5star

CL

2.5

4star

D

24.4

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

3.5

3star

T

3.6

4star

CL

3.4

4star

D

19.0

5star

K

7.8

3star

HB

11.2

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

2.0

4star

on 27 and 26 votes apiece.
The Dees dynamic duo will quinella it, I reckon. The last club to do that was West Coast in 2005 (Cousins 20, Kerr 19)

 

[Toump Ass]

This thread is brought to you by Ladbrokes.

Gamble responsibly kids!!!

 

[The 747]

These odds are mostly ******* ridiculous. They should have an extra zero on the end. God bookies rip the s**t out of mugs.

Yep. This is a betting shill thread by people who don't even get paid to shill.

 

[GudOnya]

Yep. This is a betting shill thread by people who don't even get paid to shill.

I'm not telling anyone to make any bets, just interested to see what other people's thoughts are on left-field Brownlow picks. I personally enjoy a small punt but like most vices if you can't moderate yourself then you shouldn't be doing it.

 

[Altum Volantes]

These odds are mostly ******* ridiculous. They should have an extra zero on the end. God bookies rip the s**t out of mugs.

You mean the 500/1 I got for someone called ‘Robbie Fox’ should have been closer to a billion-squillion/1 because it’s obviously not going to happen?

 

[Corn Cobbers]

These odds are mostly ******* ridiculous. They should have an extra zero on the end. God bookies rip the s**t out of mugs.

I agree, no one is beating Daicos

 

[WillHayward]

Would be good to see a non midfielder win it for once.
Jeremy Cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

31

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

is easily the best player in the comp.
He's certainly light years better than Ollie Wines

 

[Rod Stroker]

Would you consider Jezza a smokie? seeing as forwards don't win brownlows.

I'd love to see him win it.

I suggest that players who take out umpires and floor them, probably won't poll well

 

[Rod Stroker]

Had a punt on a left-field Brownlow pick on the weekend, Mason Wood, and it got me thinking. It seems pretty rare now for someone not already considered for a decent period of time in the absolute top echelon of players to win the Chaz and last ones that I can think of would probably be Priddis and Cooney.

Any other smokie Brownlow picks getting around?

SportsBet were a bit sus about the bet too which is different story but it did make me wonder if everyone just assumes nowadays that the winner will be from the current crop of top-tier players like Oliver, Cripps, Neale etc and don't really consider anyone else (Daicos being the exception but arguably top-tier already anyway).

What odds did you get for Wood?

I hope he does well, but history says his body won't allow him to play enough games

 

[Lingsface]

Adelaide- Dawson
Brisbane- Dunkley
Carlton- Walsh
Collingwood- Mitchell / De Goey
Essendon- Merrett
Fremantle- Serong
Geelong- Cameron
Hawthorn- Sicily
Melbourne- Langdon
Gold Coast- Rowell
GWS- Coniglio
North- LDU
Richmond- Baker
Sydney- Gulden
West Coast- Kelly
St Kilda- Hill
Western Bull- English
Port Adelaide- Rozee

 

[Power Raid]

The good money is on Joe Daniher

 

[Bunk Moreland]

I'm not telling anyone to make any bets, just interested to see what other people's thoughts are on left-field Brownlow picks. I personally enjoy a small punt but like most vices if you can't moderate yourself then you shouldn't be doing it.

It just pisses me off to see the god-awful prices on offer.

 

[GudOnya]

What odds did you get for Wood?

I hope he does well, but history says his body won't allow him to play enough games

$501 on Saturday night, around the second quarter. By Sunday lunchtime he was in to $151, which for me is around what he should be so I wouldn't bet on him again now.

 

[GudOnya]

It just pisses me off to see the god-awful prices on offer.

That's fair, about 10 years ago they were getting hammered on the Brownlow, particularly on most votes per team, since then their odds have gotten shorter every year it seems.

 

[SSSSSS]

Would you consider Jezza a smokie? seeing as forwards don't win brownlows.

I'd love to see him win it.

If Buddy didn't win one when we he scored the ton no key forward ever will.

Cameron is the best player in the comp as was Buddy in 08 and it wasn't even close.