NBA 2014/15

[Small Moves]

Absolutely NO idea how these are going to go, so I'm only putting half units on each. I tweaked my spreadsheet and added some more detail to not only play lines but totals as well.

1Q Lines YTD: 20-10 (+2.716U).
1Q Totals YTD: 0-1 (-1U).
1Q H2H YTD: 0-0.

Denver +0.5 @ $1.91 - L
Toronto +1.5 @ $1.86 - W
Utah +2.5 @ $1.96 - L (1 point..)

1-2.

Clippers/Spurs UNDER 51.5 @ $1.80 - L

0-1.

LA Clippers H2H @ $1.95 - L
Houston H2H @ $1.71 - W

1-1.

Pretty s**t results, exactly as I was expecting.

Tweaked my system to take home/away scoring into account. Instead of predicting 4-3 totals correctly out of all games as it did today, it has now predicted 5-2 whilst being closer to the actual total with the same data. Going to keep at it. No picks for tomorrow.

 

[Lensen]

Totals: 2-0 +2.25
Lines: 1-2 -1.045
Overall: 3-2 +1.205

YTD
Totals: 42-12 +27.1555
Lines: 37-38-2 -1.0915
Overall: 79-50-2 +26.064

Early bets:
Chicago +3.5 @ $1.952

Philadelphia +8 @ $1.90 (x.5)
Portland +5.5 @ $1.925
Dallas +1.5 @ $1.925

Miami/Philadelphia UNDER 192.5 @ $1.925

 

[Small Moves]

Just the one for today.

First quarter H2H multi:

Golden State WIN
Cleveland WIN
Miami WIN

@ $3.03

 

[jaymasha]

Just the one for today.

First quarter H2H multi:

Golden State WIN
Cleveland WIN
Miami WIN

@ $3.03

unlucky on the golden state quarter. Nets have been putting up some big scores of late in the first

ignore me.

i'm an idiot.

 

[Lensen]

Philadelphia +8 @ $1.90 (x.5)
Portland +5.5 @ $1.925
Dallas +1.5 @ $1.925
Chicago +3.5 @ $1.952

Miami/Philadelphia UNDER 192.5 @ $1.925

Totals: 1-0 +.925
Lines: 3-1 +1.3
Overall: 4-1 +2.225

YTD
Totals: 43-12 +28.0805
Lines: 40-39-2 +0.2085
Overall: 83-51-2 +28.289

merry christmas y'all

 

[Small Moves]

unlucky on the golden state quarter. Nets have been putting up some big scores of late in the first

ignore me.

i'm an idiot.

Yep. Brooklyn and Miami have been money for me this season in first quarters. Would have included the Nets but my spreadsheet predicted a very close result, which it was in the end - came down to the wire.

Seriously, Golden State. You had one job. Instead, you fell over and ruined my multi. FFS.

New system struggled with totals (3-8) but did very well with head to head picks at 8-3. Not going to play lines anymore, plenty of value to be had with head to head markets on first quarters. Will move into first half picks soon.

Hasn't been a great couple of days, been working and studying a lot so not a lot of time to put into betting.

 

[jaymasha]

Yep. Brooklyn and Miami have been money for me this season in first quarters. Would have included the Nets but my spreadsheet predicted a very close result, which it was in the end - came down to the wire.

Seriously, Golden State. You had one job. Instead, you fell over and ruined my multi. FFS.

New system struggled with totals (3-8) but did very well with head to head picks at 8-3. Not going to play lines anymore, plenty of value to be had with head to head markets on first quarters. Will move into first half picks soon.

Hasn't been a great couple of days, been working and studying a lot so not a lot of time to put into betting.

i feel like i kinda jinxed it

i mean the lakers, who saw that coming

 

[Lensen]

early bet
Chicago v LA Lakers OVER 207 @ $1.943

 

[Small Moves]

i feel like i kinda jinxed it

i mean the lakers, who saw that coming

Yeh.. To their credit they did play well, just very unexpected ... Oh well, that's betting I suppose. Wouldn't do it if I couldn't take a few losses.

 

[Small Moves]

Would love to put some first quarter money line plays on for tomorrow but the games are too early..

Head to head picks are:

Washington
Oklahoma City
Cleveland
Chicago
Golden State

Some player props for something different.

Carmelo Anthony UNDER 26.5 @ $1.87 [x0.5]
Jimmy Butler OVER 20.5 @ $1.87 [x0.5]
Stephen Curry UNDER 24.5 @ $1.81 [x0.5]

 

[Lensen]

Oklahoma City/San Antonio OVER 195 @ $1.943 (×2)

 

[IQ3]

Washington/Cleveland/Chicago/Chelsea(EPL) - $2.96

 

[Small Moves]

Would love to put some first quarter money line plays on for tomorrow but the games are too early..

Head to head picks are:

Washington
Oklahoma City
Cleveland
Chicago
Golden State

Some player props for something different.

Carmelo Anthony UNDER 26.5 @ $1.87 [x0.5]
Jimmy Butler OVER 20.5 @ $1.87 [x0.5]
Stephen Curry UNDER 24.5 @ $1.81 [x0.5]

2-1 on the player props, still finished negative.

4-1 on the money lines, pissed that I couldn't put money on them! 3-2 on totals, still a fair bit left to tweak but the losses are generally within a couple of points.

 

[Lensen]

early bet
Chicago v LA Lakers OVER 207 @ $1.943
Oklahoma City/San Antonio OVER 195 @ $1.943 (×2)

Totals: 1-1 +0.886
Lines: 0-0
Overall: 1-1 +0.886

YTD
Totals: 44-13 +28.9665
Lines: 40-39-2 +0.2085
Overall: 84-52-2 +29.175

Atlanta/Milwaukee UNDER 205.5 @ $1.94
New Orleans/San Antonio OVER 201 @ $1.913
Memphis/Houston OVER 194 @ $1.917
Denver/Minnesota OVER 212.5 @ $1.955
Portland/Philadelphia UNDER 199.5 @ $1.909 (x1.5)

LA Lakers +12.5 @ $1.92 (x.5)

 

[Small Moves]

Very solid day of system results.

Going to start betting with the picks. Raptors/Clippers first quarter should be a big one, too bad it's an early game and I won't be able to get the over on it. We'll see how the lines shape up by tomorrow..

 

[Lensen]

Totals: 1-1 +0.886
Lines: 0-0
Overall: 1-1 +0.886

YTD
Totals: 44-13 +28.9665
Lines: 40-39-2 +0.2085
Overall: 84-52-2 +29.175

Atlanta/Milwaukee UNDER 205.5 @ $1.94
New Orleans/San Antonio OVER 201 @ $1.913
Memphis/Houston OVER 194 @ $1.917
Denver/Minnesota OVER 212.5 @ $1.955
Portland/Philadelphia UNDER 199.5 @ $1.909 (x1.5)

LA Lakers +12.5 @ $1.92 (x.5)

Totals: 2-3 -1.643
Lines: 1-0 +.46
Overall: 3-3 -1.183

YTD
Totals: 46-16 +27.3235
Lines: 41-39-2 +0.6685
Overall: 87-55-2 +27.991

Philadelphia +10 @ $1.917 (x.5)
New York +6.5 @ $1.95 (x.5)

Minnesota/Golden State OVER 215.5 @ $1.943

 

[Small Moves]

System produced excellent results again today, time to stop ******* around and start betting. Dropped a small sum of money into my Unibet account (took advantage of the nice bonus) as they generally have first quarter markets up earlier than the rest. Going to start betting on and tracking these picks properly.

NBA 1Q ML System: 0-0.

Toronto ML @ $1.75
San Antonio ML @ $1.88
Oklahoma City ML @ $2.18
Phoenix ML @ $1.59

Cleveland ML
Portland ML

@ $1.86

 

[Lensen]

Totals: 2-3 -1.643
Lines: 1-0 +.46
Overall: 3-3 -1.183

YTD
Totals: 46-16 +27.3235
Lines: 41-39-2 +0.6685
Overall: 87-55-2 +27.991

Philadelphia +10 @ $1.917 (x.5)
New York +6.5 @ $1.95 (x.5)

Minnesota/Golden State OVER 215.5 @ $1.943

Totals 0-1 -1
Lines 1-1 -0.025
Overall 1-2 -1.025

YTD 46-17 +26.3235
Lines 42-40-2 +0.6435
Overall 88-57-2 +26.966

San Antonio/Houston OVER 197.5 @ $1.90 (x2)

Oklahoma City +3.5 @ $1.91

 

[Small Moves]

System produced excellent results again today, time to stop ******* around and start betting. Dropped a small sum of money into my Unibet account (took advantage of the nice bonus) as they generally have first quarter markets up earlier than the rest. Going to start betting on and tracking these picks properly.

NBA 1Q ML System: 0-0.

Toronto ML @ $1.75
San Antonio ML @ $1.88
Oklahoma City ML @ $2.18
Phoenix ML @ $1.59

Cleveland ML
Portland ML

@ $1.86

First losing day for the system, typical! Got done over by Houston scoring in the dying seconds of the first quarter and also a weak performance by Phoenix. Went to double up on Toronto however I ended up taking them at the same odds for the first half by accident. Still won, so that made the loss tolerable (-0.66 for the day). Would be up several units if I started earlier!

2-3 (-1.39U).

 

[Lensen]

Totals 0-1 -1
Lines 1-1 -0.025
Overall 1-2 -1.025

YTD
Totals 46-17 +26.3235
Lines 42-40-2 +0.6435
Overall 88-57-2 +26.966

San Antonio/Houston OVER 197.5 @ $1.90 (x2)

Oklahoma City +3.5 @ $1.91

Totals 1-0 +1.8
Lines 0-1 -1
Overall 1-1 +.8

YTD
Totals 47-17 +28.1235
Lines 42-41-2 -0.3565
Overall 89-58-2 +27.766

Early bets
Milwaukee +3.5 @ $1.95 (x1.5)
Washington +4.5 @ $1.92
Utah +12 @ $1.943

 

[Small Moves]

NBA 1Q ML System: 2-3 (-1.39U).

Charlotte ML @ $1.70
Brooklyn ML @ $1.84
Houston ML @ $1.65

LA Clippers ML
Chicago ML

@ $1.98

--

Hornets/Bucks OVER 196.5 @ $1.91

 

[Lensen]

Totals 1-0 +1.8
Lines 0-1 -1
Overall 1-1 +.8

YTD
Totals 47-17 +28.1235
Lines 42-41-2 -0.3565
Overall 89-58-2 +27.766

Early bets
Milwaukee +3.5 @ $1.95 (x1.5)
Washington +4.5 @ $1.92
Utah +12 @ $1.943

Orlando +6 @ $1.91
no totals today

 

[jaymasha]

Should actually start keeping track of my bets. I'll start today.

Bulls/Pacers OVER 193.5 @ $1.92
Nets Q1 Handicap (+0.5) @ $1.74

 

[Santoz]

I might do something similar. All bets 1 unit.

HOU/WAS under 200 @ $1.90

 

[Small Moves]

http://www.stream2u.me/sports/basketball.html

Good streaming site if anyone's interested. Watching Toledo v Duke on ESPN and Chicago v Indiana on my PC.