I am more confident, the harder it gets.
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Remember there's a week off after the last H&A round so if a side was ever going to win it from outside the top 4 it will be this year....whoever wins their qf will have played one game of footy in 3 weeks! Depending on how the cards fall I'd almost rather finish 5th and host a final than finish 4th and go over to Perth to cop another qf spanking. The higher ranked prelim sides will be vulnerable this year thanks to the afl placating their betting partners and introducing this ridiculous bye.
No logical explanation for wanting to come 5th over 4th.
It's actually the most bizarre thing to suggest. I usually here it a couple of times every season.
If you come 4th and lose, it is the same as coming 5th and winning first week.