Certified Legendary Thread Squiggle 2017

[GreyCrow]

I realized I might not have much time to figure out this animated-multi-year-squiggle thing, so took a bash at it this afternoon. It gets pretty janky at times, but this is Collingwood under Buckley so far:

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I think you have just given Eddie a heart attack. His kid drew that exact picture in crayon 7 years ago.

 

[Dirty Bird]

I realized I might not have much time to figure out this animated-multi-year-squiggle thing, so took a bash at it this afternoon. It gets pretty janky at times, but this is Collingwood under Buckley so far:

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That shows me he's decent reactionary coach
His main ideas are poor, but when he tries to fix it, it works out alright.
Each year is s**t early then a mid year turnaround to fall average

Would make a good assistant coach tbh

 

[GreyCrow]

I realized I might not have much time to figure out this animated-multi-year-squiggle thing, so took a bash at it this afternoon. It gets pretty janky at times, but this is Collingwood under Buckley so far:

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[sobrave]

Mmm, not easily. I might save that for when he gets sacked. But I have this from June 2016; Collingwood haven't moved much since.

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Wow. Damning.

 

[drazah]

I realized I might not have much time to figure out this animated-multi-year-squiggle thing, so took a bash at it this afternoon. It gets pretty janky at times, but this is Collingwood under Buckley so far:

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Circling the drain... Eerie.

 

[Power Raid]

I realized I might not have much time to figure out this animated-multi-year-squiggle thing, so took a bash at it this afternoon. It gets pretty janky at times, but this is Collingwood under Buckley so far:

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I was waiting for the squiggle to turn into a beautiful butterfly

 

[drazah]

I'm reading "The Enchanted Wood" to my kids at the moment. In the middle of the Faraway Tree, Moon-Face has a slippery-dip that goes all the way down the inside the tree, which Joe, Beth, and Frannie ride down on cushions.

I love you.

 

[drazah]

Round 5, 2017

A good week for the top 3 in Adelaide, GWS and Geelong, who opened up a fair gap on the rest:

Squiggle also appreciated Port Adelaide pounding the snot out of Carlton to the tune of 90 points.

The rest of the top 7 slid, although for different reasons: The Western Bulldogs got the job done against Brisbane, but not very well; Sydney fell to GWS, which was expected, but not by that much; and West Coast were thumped in a game they were expected to win against the Hawks.

That was a great result for Hawthorn, as a bunch of mid-table teams also went nowhere. So while a week ago they were staring into the abyss, now they're back in the fight, one of those teams who might plausibly finish in a range of different spots, because everyone's pretty evenly matched:

Horrible for Collingwood, though, who are this week's team to most resemble the passage of digested food through a lower intestine.

The Tower is very suggestive of a top 3 of Adelaide, GWS, and Geelong. The bottom 2 is looking a lot like Carlton and Brisbane. Beyond that, though, things get less certain. From 9th down to 16th, the tower slices are nearly vertical, with plenty of teams capable of finishing in each slot.

In fact, the ladder predictor has 7 teams finishing with 9 wins, which would be really something:

It's an inflection point this week, with Richmond expected to start dropping games and Sydney expected to start collecting them. If that doesn't happen - if Richmond even run it close against the Crows in Adelaide, or Sydney don't win by much against Carlton - they will move on the squiggle.

Essendon had a good week, beating Collingwood in the ANZAC game, and Brisbane showed something against the Bulldogs, albeit off the back of Inside 50 conversation rates so eerily good that they were probably a statistical fluke.

The Tigers did it again this week, being almost exactly two goals better than expected, which, again, is good but not great. As a result, squiggle is showing a huge disparity between Richmond's likelihood of making finals (very good) and winning the flag (no chance):

Live squigs!

Squiggle dials: aggregated tips & predictions!

Wow, Richmond are 5-0 and still below 0-5 North on the chart.

 

[The Dice Man]

Wow, Richmond are 5-0 and still below 0-5 North on the chart.

Squiggle doesnt trust Richmond yet, but strangely if we have our first loss of the season on the weekend and lose by under 5 goals, it will probably be our best upward movement of the year.

 

[Komrade_Tiger]

Wow, Richmond are 5-0 and still below 0-5 North on the chart.

it's been explained why that is so in the past.

but the ladder predictor doesn't like North or their trajectory

 

[Komrade_Tiger]

Squiggle doesnt trust Richmond yet, but strangely if we have our first loss of the season on the weekend and lose by under 5 goals, it will probably be our best upward movement of the year.

its all about playing the percentages as it were

 

[Final Siren]

That shows me he's decent reactionary coach
His main ideas are poor, but when he tries to fix it, it works out alright.
Each year is s**t early then a mid year turnaround to fall average

Would make a good assistant coach tbh

The sharp falls at the start of each season are actually because the squiggle shifts all teams back towards the middle at that time. I should try to find a good way to display that, like a faded line or something.

That said, in 2016 and 2017 Collingwood have then gone even further backwards in the early rounds.

 

[Final Siren]

You've just given yourself a lot more work...

"Do one for <insert team/coach/years>"

I've set it up now so they're easy to generate. They're just a bit slow and jerky, especially if they involve many years or several teams at once.

 

[Billy ray]

I've set it up now so they're easy to generate. They're just a bit slow and jerky, especially if they involve many years or several teams at once.

Gws from day 1 to now would be a good one?!?

 

[Richo83]

When you click on the dials and it shows a list of predictions for each match from various websites, it also has a punters prediction. Who are they?

 

[OneGreatClub]

The Crows are missing an All Australian KPD and 2 guys who combines scored 85 goals last year (so more than 4 a game) and are travelling fine. How would Richmond cope with Rance, Riewoldt & Castagna/Rioli out?

How would Adelaide cope with Jacobs out all year? Would be an interesting scenario.

 

[Hobbes]

How would Adelaide cope with Jacobs out all year? Would be an interesting scenario.

ROB did a fair job last year the one match that Jacobs was out. But yes, Jacobs gets a lot done. A bit easier when Jenkins returns to lighten the load.

 

[sobrave]

Port under primus? Those 2 back to back ~150 point losses.. the GC loss. We'd be squiggling very close to uncharted territory

 

[WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot]

How would Adelaide cope with Jacobs out all year? Would be an interesting scenario.

Hampson and Maric aren't quite Jacobs level though. Maric got close in one of his first years at Richmond, but has unfortunately fallen away after that.

 

[SkyhorseTamer]

How would Adelaide cope with Jacobs out all year? Would be an interesting scenario.

Implying Richmond are without their number one ruck?? Maric is broken down and hasn't been good for years and Hampson was never good.... Only good games he ever plays are against his former club.

 

[Rotayjay]

How would Adelaide cope with Jacobs out all year? Would be an interesting scenario.

Jacobs isn't even that good anymore, but holds his own in the ruck. If we had to rely on the raw O'Brien, we might be in a bit of trouble but it's not like 2014 when losing Jacobs was the doomsday scenario.

 

[Final Siren]

When you click on the dials and it shows a list of predictions for each match from various websites, it also has a punters prediction. Who are they?

I'm using Sportsbet for Punters at the moment.

 

[Komrade_Tiger]

When you click on the dials and it shows a list of predictions for each match from various websites, it also has a punters prediction. Who are they?

i would hazard a guess that the percentage gained from the punters would be an inference from the odds, the higher one teams odds in comparison to the other, the higher the percentage

 

[dogs105]

Implying Richmond are without their number one ruck?? Maric is broken down and hasn't been good for years and Hampson was never good.... Only good games he ever plays are against his former club.

Nah, wants more attention on Port not having ryder last year...

 

[yoodooright]

I've set it up now so they're easy to generate. They're just a bit slow and jerky, especially if they involve many years or several teams at once.

I would love to see Geelong under Scott &/or Swans under Longmire if it isn't too much work