AFL 2020 - AFL Round 12 (no aftertiming allowed)

[AP3XS]

Got my 2.5u of Fiorini bets on and I also took a bunch of goalscorer bets. So as my luck has it, probably no goals scored.

0.5u @ $2.50 - Martin & Rankine to kick goals (Pointsbet Special)

0.2u @ $25.00 - Castagna 2+, Martin 2+, Aarts 2+
0.1u @ $36.75 - Castagna 2+ Martin AGS, Aarts 3+
0.1u @ $36.25 - Castana 3+, Martin AGS, Aarts 2+

0.5u @ $9.75 (Using a SB Bonus Bet)
15+ Disposals - Short, Cotchin, Miler, Ellis
AGS - Rankine, Aarts, Martin, Castagna
& Richmond Win

 

[BloodRet]

40 @7.50
Lynch 3+
Reiwoldt AGS
Sexton AGS
King AGS

40 bonus @38
Sexton 3+
Reiwoldt 2+
Martin AGS
King AGS

40 bonus @20
Lynch 5+
King AGS

 

[BloodRet]

I don't buy into milestones mattering at all. To do so is an admission they don't go 100% in other games, no logical person could buy into this stuff.

It happens all the time though. The reality is that most other games, most teams don't go 100%. It's common in team sports. How often do we see teams pulling their fingers out for a loyal milestone? Pretty frequent.

 

[iluvparis]

It happens all the time though. The reality is that most other games, most teams don't go 100%. It's common in team sports. How often do we see teams pulling their fingers out for a loyal milestone? Pretty frequent.

Nah id say you just have forgotten all the games when they dont

 

[BloodRet]

Nah id say you just have forgotten all the games when they dont

Depends on team I guess

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Riewoldt AGS
Sexton AGS
Chol AGS
Lambert 15+
Bolton 15+
Fiorini 15+
Weller 15+
$100 @ $23

 

[ShaunWDT]

gold coast have only named 1 small defender in budarick up against a forward line that will contain rioli, aarts, castagna, lambert and stack.

castagna kicked 5 in the matchup last year and would probably be my pick out of the smalls. aarts has suprised me and has gone 2+ in 4 out of the last 5. rioli is good value but has done nothing all year. might be due a couple though.

castagna
AGS @ 1.58 Lads (7/11)
2+ @ 3.50 BE (3/11)
3+ @ 10 BE (1/11)
4+ @ 31 SB

aarts
AGS @ 1.40 SB (5/7)
2+ @ 3 SB (4/7)
3+ @ 7.50 SB (1/7)
4+ @ 23 SB

rioli
AGS @ 2.15 BE (3/7)
2+ @ 7.50 BE (1/7)
3+ @ 23 SB (1/7)
4+ @ 101 SB

Richmond's smalls are so unreliable, honestly think their talls are better bets.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Love the Carlton bet GC a 4 day break followed by a 3 day break and I rekn it's very fatiguing to play the tigers, look at Port v Geelong , Carlton will also get a lot of morale from last week.

 

[OhhDeledio]

Richmond's smalls are so unreliable, honestly think their talls are better bets.

yeah i dont see how the suns backline handles any of richmonds talls or smalls tbh. should be plenty of goals to go around, take your pick on who will kick them.

i agree lynch, riewoldt and martin should take up most of the goals.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Plenty on Richmond 37+ 2nd half

Sportsbet $8

 

[Del125763]

yeah i dont see how the suns backline handles any of richmonds talls or smalls tbh. should be plenty of goals to go around, take your pick on who will kick them.

i agree lynch, riewoldt and martin should take up most of the goals.

To be fair Collins and Ballard have had pretty good seasons. Collins is their most strongest and tallest defender- usually gets the best forward. Ballard though doesn't have the height, usually plays on the smaller forward.

 

[NonPhixion]

Ted Bundy multi:
Rioli AGS 4th qtr, Castagna AGS 4th qtr, Miller 20+ $56 -SB

 

[RooTed]

Anyone think there's value on this? Also Martin is fave for Gr1 Disposals? Hmm?

On SM-G960F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[OhhDeledio]

To be fair Collins and Ballard have had pretty good seasons. Collins is their most strongest and tallest defender- usually gets the best forward. Ballard though doesn't have the height, usually plays on the smaller forward.

yeah i rate collins, would be in the conversation for the AA squad. not sure how ballard goes playing one on one against a genuine key forward but he is a terrific interceptor and i think he will play that role tonight as the 3rd man up with young graham coming in as the 2nd key defender. thats the matchup i think richmond will be looking to exploit.

its a very young suns team, there named back 6 have played a combined total of 176 games. hopefully they wont make me look stupid but i think its safe enough to assume they are bit too green to be able to go with the forward half of richmond.

 

[Del125763]

Richmond's smalls are so unreliable, honestly think their talls are better bets.

Gold Coast only know how to play 1 way, fast pace tempo football. Whilst, they could get a decent score, feel like they could get exposed a bit if they go all out attack. They don't seem to me a side, that quite knows how to pace a game. Too much energy is spent on their 1st halves and they have very little in the tank in the 2nd. Richmond game style suits the GABBA just fine, their record there is pretty good. (Don't think they have lost in QLD since 2014)

Richmond have the players to play that counter attacking style of football. Port v Richmond game a few weeks back is a good indicator.

Losing David Swallow hurts them big time. Dustin Martin has been named to play on the forward line, if the game is close or Tigers happen to be losing, that's when they will throw him into the midfield. Can see Dusty snagging a few tonight.

I'll stick to my guns, Suns to be competitive in the 1st half (possibly winning the 1st half) , Tigers to overrun them in the 2nd half.

 

[AP3XS]

SB Footy Fill up is 4 or more goals to be scored in each quarter @ $8.00. I'm on for 0.5u bonus bet.

 

[freo_leo29]

Love the Carlton bet GC a 4 day break followed by a 3 day break and I rekn it's very fatiguing to play the tigers, look at Port v Geelong , Carlton will also get a lot of morale from last week.

Gc play on the Friday v Carlton so its a 4 day break


Also Cats rolled Port on a 2 day shorter break so it kind of goes against your Calrton bet

 

[freo_leo29]

SB Footy Fill up is 4 or more goals to be scored in each quarter @ $8.00. I'm on for 0.5u bonus bet.

Think it could be a shootout so I kind of like this, on for the $25 that they allow

 

[dontlimitme]

on the footy fill up as well. Have to win one of these surely? haha

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Riewoldt AGS
Sexton AGS
Chol AGS
Lambert 15+
Bolton 15+
Fiorini 15+
Weller 15+
$100 @ $23

Where’d you get $23?

 

[Del125763]

I know the teams and styles have changed since last year but just looked at some interesting stats

Castagna bagged 5 goals against the Suns last year

Riewoldt bagged 10 goals against the Suns in 2018.

Richmond's smalls are so unreliable, honestly think their talls are better bets.

 

[checkraiseulite]

be have moved fiorini from $81 into $26 to get 30+

into $7.5 from 17 to get 25+

tailing this for the lulz

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Where’d you get $23?

$20 boosted to $23 on SB. Also have Richmond winning so it's 8 egs.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

be have moved fiorini from $81 into $26 to get 30+

into $7.5 from 17 to get 25+

tailing this for the lulz

I’m thinking about cashing out tbh. Can make almost 25% before bounce down

Just not sure GC will actually get enough ball for him to get over 20. I’m really expecting a flogging here

 

[burge13]

Everyone is as confident in the Tigers as they were the Giants just a few days ago...