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AFL 2022 AFL Round 8

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    16
  • Poll closed .

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Dont worry guys.... remember the $20 from PB.....

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Essendon v Hawthorn Stat Multiplier spreads from PointsBet:


View attachment 1394917


Dont have the time for reason but I quite like based on tables

OVER 68 Mitchell
OVER 38 Worpel
Under 187 Dylan Moore
Under 116 Wingard
OVER 68 Parish
Over 34 McGrath


Result of the tips for Essendon v Hawks tips pre-game


Mitchell -$84
Worpel -$35
Dylan Moore +$103
Wingard N/R
Parish +$188
McGrath -$34

Net result of the game using $1 stakes =+$138
 

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Brisbane v West Coast PointsBet lines for Stat Multiplier spreads. Lines almost double compared to last week for Brisbane players. :

View attachment 1394525


A key thing that probably wont differ too much in these bets is their disposals and to look at the relative ratios of all. My tips using the $1 staking system:

Neale UNDER 212 (1 goal or less and you should still be in the profit. The line is 1.5 times his 2021-22 averages. The better bet for me lies with Neales goals eg 2+ @ 4.25, 3+ @ $21, if you think Neale could score heavily but I am just going off table values here)
Charlie Cameron UNDER 91(3 goals or less , should be in the profit. Then you also have to worry about the handballs as well )
Lyons OVER 98 ( a goal from Lyons will cover this line. Feel like he might like the wet conditions. He is probably the one Brisbane player than I dont mind taking on at above his average line)
McStay OVER 61 ( need 3 goals or more probably to cover this line and he played well with the delivery from Brisbane midfield last week)
Darling OVER 61 (probably 2 goals and him playing a bit more upfield could see him cover this line. He may be a bit of insurance in case the ball does go the other way)
All other players = NO PLAY . Lines are bit too high in wet weather but I am all for a high scoring game tonight.


Would love a high scoring game as I have other bets on this game but the reality is the rain may see a few of those under lines on the multiplier come through.


Result of the Lions v Eagles tips pre-game (using $1 stakes):

Neale +$212
Charlie Cameron +$27
Lyons -$98
McStay -$61
Darling -$37

Overall Result = +$43
 
Carlton goal kickers saved my weekend last week, I need
McKay 3+
Durdin2+
Himmelburg 2+ @19.50 SB bet laid Wednesday. Would be happy with Crow win though.
 
Is there a market for U50 points total at half time? Could have been good for the Brisbane game. I had money on under 100.5 and 110.5 game total but the second half saw it blow out a bit.
 
Is there a market for U50 points total at half time? Could have been good for the Brisbane game. I had money on under 100.5 and 110.5 game total but the second half saw it blow out a bit.
0-40 is 100$
40-60 is 10$
That was the prices in the pies v tigers game

Once of worst beats I have seen tonight... newcombe 30+... had 22 at HT... finished 28
 

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Disaster of a round so far.

CCJ 1u each 4+ 5+

Mundy 0.5u each 2+ 3+

Dunkley 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Boak 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Coniglio 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Zorko 0.5u each 4+ 5+

Multi 0.5u Buddy / Cameron / McKay each quarter AGS

Multi 0.5u Cameron Bailey McStay McCarthy all 4+

Multi 0.5u 1st qtr Bris 33+, 2nd qtr Bris 33+


RTD -10u

Tomorrow

Ryder, 1u AGS, 0.5u each 2+ 3+

Steele 0.5u Steele 3+ 4+ ($118, $1801, sb)

Might add more later.
 
SGM
King3+
Fritsch2+
Pickett2+ @14.50SB

Multi 2 Games Combined
Pickett2+
MembreyATG
McAdam 2+
DurdinATG
Himmelburg ATG @20.54SB
 
Disaster of a round so far.

CCJ 1u each 4+ 5+

Mundy 0.5u each 2+ 3+

Dunkley 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Boak 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Coniglio 0.5u each 2+ 3+ 4+

Zorko 0.5u each 4+ 5+

Multi 0.5u Buddy / Cameron / McKay each quarter AGS

Multi 0.5u Cameron Bailey McStay McCarthy all 4+

Multi 0.5u 1st qtr Bris 33+, 2nd qtr Bris 33+


RTD -10u

Tomorrow

Ryder, 1u AGS, 0.5u each 2+ 3+

Steele 0.5u Steele 3+ 4+ ($118, $1801, sb)

Might add more later.
Might be the time of year to add head to heads, Lines and disposals, Instead of just hoping for miracles.
 

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I seem to be getting worse and worse with each round of footy
Its also the case of the books sharpening up their odds and getting a better understanding of the state of play too.
 
If nothing else at least we got our first two games of the round today where we can actually focus on them, instead of having to flick back and forth between games played simultaneously. I think it's safe to say we all need a result today.
 

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