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Thanks Reg.Did the knee in July I believe. Assume surgery very soon after.
Ok, I took a punt around mid year, but as you suggest, they may decide that caution is the better judgement.He'll be in full training about mid-late year.
He did the knee in July, so it wouldn't surprise me if we just wrapped him in cotton wool in terms of playing until 2027 to be honest, and just built him back up again physically over '26.
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Part of his contract was shaving in a haircut that didn't require a headband. Throws Mackie off the scentSide note - Harley Reid is completely unrecognisable. Is this what WA has done to him… ?
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Ok, I took a punt around mid year, but as you suggest, they may decide that caution is the better judgement.

I suspect that's a pessimistic outlook.My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
Pessemistic maybe, but I think it's easy to see drafts picks through rose coloured glasses more often than not. We (Geelong fans) tend to belive we've found a unicorn every year just because we had an extremely good run of things at the back end of the draft for a period of time in the past.I suspect that's a pessimistic outlook.
Better than recruiting someone we really didn't want or is surplus to requirements. Cal Twomey'sdartboardphantom draft had us picking Thredgold, which baffles me as surely we don't need another key defender.
Extremely pessimistic outlook. Taj Hotton was able to play 3 vfl and 7 afl games this year after doing his ACL in his draft year. Much easier to break into the tigers side obviously but it’s encouraging. Harley will also have Baz to help and by all reports he’s got an elite work ethic. Curious to know who you would have wanted us to take that would have made a big difference for us? I’m more than happy for them taking someone that they think has the highest upside.My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
Mind you, his highlights tape had me thinking, "Holy shit!"Pessemistic maybe, but I think it's easy to see drafts picks through rose coloured glasses more often than not. We (Geelong fans) tend to belive we've found a unicorn every year just because we had an extremely good run of things at the back end of the draft for a period of time in the past.
My gut feeling is our KPD stocks will take a hit over the coming years. SDK is likely to get more time up the ground given our ruck stocks are bare bones, Henry may be suspect for durability given his foot, and throw Kolo in that basket too. I think we're going to be left thin on the ground in that area compared to what we're accustomed to.
My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
First round draft picks sign a 3yr deal straight up - so unless he's traded, he'll be in the hoops until at least 2028 before he's played a game
While coming off an ACL isn't ideal, he could easily be in a position to play some VFL from June/July next year and build into the pre-season when he'd be ready to hit the ground running
There's zero reason that without any set backs he wouldn't be in a position to play some senior football in 2027 - unless they're really raw or in need of development, a good number of our early draftees play senior football in their first year or in this case, likely second year to get a taste of things
All that matters is the end product.My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
That list goes to show how shallow this draft is. Hardly an accurate kick between them.With there being currently 8 picks til our next selection, my preferences in order are:
1. Phillipou
2. Ludowyke
3. Thredgold
4. Onley
5. Kondogiannis
6. Greeves
7. Blamires
8. Swadling
Rookie hunter Holmes or Mellor
Clubs using picks in the 20s/30s to match bids for Academy players.Sorry I have missed something, how did our pick 40 go to 33?
With there being currently 8 picks til our next selection, my preferences in order are:
1. Phillipou
2. Ludowyke
3. Thredgold
4. Onley
5. Kondogiannis
6. Greeves
7. Blamires
8. Swadling
Rookie hunter Holmes or Mellor
That's ridiculous.My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
Yeah...Nah... I don't agree.My issue with our pick isn't the kid himself or his ability. It's drafting in a player to spend a year in rehab.
If he manages to rehab his knee in an expected timeline, he MIGHT get a look at a game in the VFL late season (but I expect the club will put him in cotton wool).
He then has to get through the 2027 preseason without injury, and play some VFL that year.
If he manages that and keeps his spot on the list, at best he gets a look at AFL level in 2028 as a fringe player. Everything would need to go above expectations for that to happen, so I'd suggest more likely 2029, if at all.
I think we have some holes to fill before that with player retirements which we'll do through trade period, so he may be overlooked in that scenario also.
Time will tell I guess![]()
I think it's only top 20 that get 3 year deals.
But yes if his recovery goes to plan he'll be at the same point as any other draftee for 2027. It's just his first year that will be compromised and we don't put expectations on guys in their first year. Even guns like Holmes, O'Sullivan and Dempsey had very little impact in their first year so it's pretty pointless worrying about that.
The thing that stood out for me with Barker's video highlights was that he constantly hit targets. (Mind you, they are only highlights).That list goes to show how shallow this draft is. Hardly an accurate kick between them.