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2026 Ladder Predictions

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Heres my first one for the year 2026 only Jan i know:

1. Suns the new lions can be anything in 2026 hardwicks time to coach another flag hottest team right now
2. Lions touch drop be it a spot or two still best going around level of content in 2026
3. Crows see gws but they have won 2 flags
4. GWS solid outift well coached organised done well blue chip as well yet to win a flag as yet amazing
5. Freo back up 2025 in 2026
6. Dogs bevs last throw at the stumps still solid getting some kids helps around the mark again
7. Pies around the mark could be the dawn of somewhat of a cliff lean year this one drop off but still makes it in there be it week 1 september better in 2027 not quite in 2026 they working themselves out for the future foundation times
8. Swans getting back on track new coach working well thus far a getting there season
9. Cats bit of a downer in 2026 still got them making finals again might be last dance tho
10. Hawks other teams working them out in 2026 2025 they peaked
11. St Kilda on the rise made a slash see how Ross last year will go just got on the right track
12. Port see blues stagnate team now
13. Blues rinse repeat of 2025 in 2026 season of stagnation in 12 months time to make hard decisions
14. North see tigers going up a notch
15. Melbourne on the slide tipping spoon in 2028 they are following essendon
16. Richmond see north go up a notch
17. Essendon second last spoon in 2027
18. West coast last spoon tho go to 17th in 2027
 
Nepo babies Suns have the 2nd hardest draw.
Just like ladder predictions assessments of the fixture are speculative and up to one's own interpretation. I did not describe it as 'soft' and perhaps 'favorable' is not the best descriptor but for mine it looks like a pretty good draw.

Whichever way you slice it they have a dream start. First 2 rounds at home. Eagles, Richmond and Melbourne across the first 4 weeks, then an “away” game against Sydney on neutral territory (Norwood) followed by Essendon at home. At worst they should 5-1 and set up for the season.
 
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Just like ladder predictions assessments of the fixture are speculative and up to one's own interpretation. I did not describe it as 'soft' and perhaps 'favorable' is not the best descriptor but for mine it looks like a pretty good draw.

Whichever way you slice it they have a dream start. First 2 rounds at home. Eagles, Richmond and Melbourne across the first 4 weeks, then an “away” game against Sydney on neutral territory (Norwood) followed by Essendon at home. At worst they should 5-1 and set up for the season.
For sure great start. Check out the fixture after bye. Just adding AFL fixture difficulty fact based on teams position in 2025. Obviously you are entitled to your view.
 
WLD%
1.Hawthorn1940126.7%
2.Sydney1760132.6%
3.Geelong1760122.5%
4.Adelaide1670107.4%
5.Melbourne1580110.8%
6.Port Adelaide13100102.2%
7.Essendon12110101.0%
8.Fremantle1112098.3%
9.St Kilda1112097.5%
10.Gold Coast1013099.1%
11.GWS1013094.0%
12.Collingwood1013092.6%
13.Brisbane Lions914095.1%
14.Richmond914092.0%
15.Western Bulldogs914091.2%
16.Carlton815096.9%
17.North Melbourne815093.4%
18.West Coast320066.5%
WC1: ESSENDON v Gold Coast
WC2: FREMANTLE v St Kilda

QF1: HAWTHORN v Adelaide
QF2: SYDNEY v Geelong
EF1: MELBOURNE v Fremantle
EF2: PORT ADELAIDE v Essendon

SF1: Adelaide v MELBOURNE
SF2: Geelong v PORT ADELAIDE

PF1: HAWTHORN v Port Adelaide
PF2: SYDNEY v Melbourne

GF: HAWTHORN v Sydney

This is what will happen I think. Check back in August to see if I am right or wrong
You only made that Ladder just to give Essendon a finals win right?
 
Suns to have a shit year due to a horrid fixture. 10th at very best.

In 2025 they showed time and time and time again (aside from the Freo final) that they failed the big assignments on the road.
Geelong - GMHBA
Adelaide - AO
Brisbane - GABBA twice.
GWS - Engie stadium.
It’s just not good enough and they have the above assignments again this year in addition to Hawthorn in Launceston.
 
WLD%
1.Brisbane Lions1940129.0%
2.Geelong1850123.7%
3.Gold Coast1760122.2%
4.Adelaide1760121.4%
5.GWS1760117.7%
6.Hawthorn1760117.5%
7.Fremantle1760114.6%
8.Western Bulldogs1580110.4%
9.St Kilda13100101.8%
10.Collingwood13100101.2%
11.Sydney1112098.1%
12.Port Adelaide914095.5%
13.North Melbourne815090.9%
14.Melbourne518085.7%
15.Carlton518084.7%
16.Essendon221073.7%
17.West Coast221071.9%
18.Richmond221070.5%
 
Wins/losses in approx form. Pies and Hawks to draw in their early season Thursday night game.

Fremantle 18-5
GWS 17-6
Brisbane 16-7
Carlton 16-7
North Melbourne 15-8
Geelong 15-8

St Kilda 14-9
Collingwood 13-9-1
Sydney 12-11
Gold Coast 12-11

Hawthorn 11-11-1
Adelaide 11-12
Bulldogs 10-13
Essendon 9-14
Port Adelaide 8-15
West Coast 5-18
Melbourne 4-19
Richmond 4-19

I’m expecting a bit of “feedback” but when was the last time one season copied the previous one?
 
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Wins/losses in approx form. Pies and Hawks to draw in their early season Thursday night game.

Fremantle 18-5
GWS 17-6
Brisbane 16-7
Carlton 16-7
North Melbourne 15-8
Geelong 15-8

St Kilda 14-9
Collingwood 13-9-1
Sydney 12-11
Gold Coast 12-11

Hawthorn 11-11-1
Adelaide 11-12
Bulldogs 10-13
Essendon 9-14
Port Adelaide 8-15
West Coast 5-18
Melbourne 4-19
Richmond 4-19

I’m expecting a bit of “feedback” but when was the last time one season copied the previous one?

carlton are no chance of finishing of higher than 10th
 

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1. Adelaide
2. Brisbane
3. Hawthorn
4. Gold Coast
5. Sydney
6. Collingwood
7. Geelong
8. Western Bulldogs

9. Fremantle
10. Carlton
__________________________

11. Greater Western Sydney
12. Port Adelaide
13. Melbourne
14. St Kilda
15. North Melbourne
16. Essendon
17. West Coast
18. Richmond

Adelaide wins Home Qualifying Final only
9 and 10 taste victory in week 1 of finals
Gold Coast makes the prelim
Hawthorn defeats Brisbane in Grand Final.
 
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How’s the weekly ladder going to look with the new wild card/top 10?
Will they draw a line under the top 6, top 8 or top 10?
I think people will cotton on to the wildcard BS as being an extension of the final 8 to a final 10
Betting markets dont even have a final 8 market for 2026
 

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