2016 AFL - Finals Week 3

[mookieb]

Or alternatively, GWS are a powerhouse who can match the bulldogs greatest strength (contested possessions and run), and who will stretch the bulldogs short defense.

I also think the bulldogs celebrated a little hard after last week's win. They might already be done.

That's some solid psychological tipstering, but I do agree on all points. Bulldogs have had two euphoric wins and now coming up to their 2nd game in 3 on the road.

Bulldogs were a bad matchup for the Hawks, but as you mention they won't dominate the contested ball like they did against the Hawks. GWS pummeled Sydney in their last game and couldn't have been more impressive. At home I expect a solid win.

 

[Robo87]

1u Parker Most tackles in Group @4.00 Cr
1u Jake Lloyd most possesions GroupB @2.50 Cr

 

[DemonZombie_001]

I have put around $80.00 all up on GWS to win (1.40 I think) and Geelong at -7.5.

I really think that with Cats vs Swans, it is Geelongs game to lose here, and yes they are a team that can fold. The Swans will bring the pressure but I expect Geelong to pull away in the second half. Plus, Rohan and Tippett still have injury clouds in my opinion.

GWS have proven fragile when teams apply great pressure (like Collingwood did), but I think they have lifted from that and with the talented height they have as well, should lead most of the game and win by under 20 points.

Thats my logic anyways...

 

[Chism]

$20 on scores level at the end of any Qtr at 12-1 to hopefully give me some play money for tomorrow on the horses!

Big chance tonight i reckon for that to hit.

 

[Infra Ted]

2U Swans 40+

EDIT: lol the games already started and they lead 20-0. Sigh.

 

[DemonZombie_001]

I am going to need a miracle to get anything out of this. That was a complete slaughter.

 

[Vhaluus]

2U Swans 40+

EDIT: lol the games already started and they lead 20-0. Sigh.

I WANTED to go the 40+ so bad but I was too chicken, went the 25+

 

[mookieb]

Tend to agree. The Bulldogs have been great the last couple of weeks but this just looks a bridge too far. I wasn't one of the people who underestimated the Doggies in week 1 or 2 of the finals (backed them to beat the Hawks in fact), but I did however underestimate the Giants when they played the Swans. Won't be making that mistake again.

I also don't think enough has been made of the fact that the Hawks were all but cooked by the time the Bulldogs got to them. So although the Doggies win over West Coast was very good, I'm not sure the win over the triple premiers was quite as strong as it looks.

Despite all the hype that this is a 50/50 game, I think the bookies are right to have the Giants around the $1.50 mark. They're not quite certainties, but they are a cut above and I would be amazed if they end up getting beaten on Saturday.

Anyone concerned about the lack of games for GWS vs the Bulldogs who's intensity has been fantastic the last two games?

Of course the above is related to the insipid performance from Geelong tonight. Completely off the pace and intensity from the Swans is on a different level to Geelong. Related to the weeks off or Sydney just too good?

 

[Zevon]

Anyone concerned about the lack of games for GWS vs the Bulldogs who's intensity has been fantastic the last two games?

Of course the above is related to the insipid performance from Geelong tonight. Completely off the pace and intensity from the Swans is on a different level to Geelong. Related to the weeks off or Sydney just too good?

I *think* Sydney have just been too good, but your post is certainly food for thought. The lack of footy might explain why the Cats were asleep in the opening minutes, not sure it explains why they've remained below the required level thereafter.

 

[Vhaluus]

Anyone concerned about the lack of games for GWS vs the Bulldogs who's intensity has been fantastic the last two games?

Of course the above is related to the insipid performance from Geelong tonight. Completely off the pace and intensity from the Swans is on a different level to Geelong. Related to the weeks off or Sydney just too good?

Well odds have been coming in on GWS so likely you can cash out without losing any money if you want to.

Honestly though I think this is just a sign of how far off the pace Geelong truly are, they were very lucky to scrape over the line verse a dying Hawthorn.. and we saw how the hawks did last week vs a half decent team.

 

[freo_leo29]

Anyone concerned about the lack of games for GWS vs the Bulldogs who's intensity has been fantastic the last two games?

Of course the above is related to the insipid performance from Geelong tonight. Completely off the pace and intensity from the Swans is on a different level to Geelong. Related to the weeks off or Sydney just too good?

Wouldn't be concerned, Sydney are just a far better team who had an off week in the QF

Freo rested half their team in 2013 then went on and had a bye in the finals (very similar to the double bye this year that cats had) and we came out and played like Sydney have tonight in the prelim so I doubt the double bye is the problem.

Sydney have been the best team all year and Cats barely beat the hawks who have been off the pace (flogged by dogs, loss to demons etc)

 

[Cash is King]

The Ladbrokes curse is full force. 1/4 the past two weeks.

 

[Vhaluus]

Geelong $4 to miss the 8 next year seems good value.

 

[big_bazza]

got on the dane train (rampe) most marks for the finals inbetween rd 23 and the first week of finals at $81 had $3 on it he had 11 tonight and from memory about 10 all up in the QF and SF, i havent checked the stats but surely thatd near be up there atm?

 

[big_bazza]

Breaking news: i checked the stats and after tonight and Rampe is on his number 24 (illuminati confirmed) and the main threat is Picken whos on 17 after 2 games and could well be there abouts tomorow night so in an ideal world for this bet i want the dogs to lose, but then i think i had $5 on a swans/dogs gf back in april at $51 so either way im happy.

 

[happy punter]

A lobster on the Swannies 40+ @ 13

Damn it. Swans were just managing their players in the second half

Anyway today unloading on the Giants -20.5 @ 1.90

 

[langdon19]

Selections for prelims:
Geelong/Sydney-U173.5;Geelong-U90.5.

Top work
Looking at my bets i somehow put Geelong O90.5, 2nd time i've done this this year. Would be nice if the wrong bet came in once in a while.

 

[puntking]

all syd GF comming up

 

[Cuzz09]

Syd v GWS
Syd v WBull

Either way its great to see someone different up there

On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Del125763]

Jude Bolton reckons it will be a fast track tonight, Taking over 220.5 pts for GWS v Bulldogs at odds of $27 on Betfair.

 

[mookieb]

I *think* Sydney have just been too good, but your post is certainly food for thought. The lack of footy might explain why the Cats were asleep in the opening minutes, not sure it explains why they've remained below the required level thereafter.

Interesting to see GWS way off the pace in terms of skills and intensity in the 1st quarter. Pretty lucky to be so close on the scoreboard.

Might take the teams having little footy leading into the PF a bit of time to work into it. Been only 2 games of course, but been a big discrepancy in intensity in both games.

 

[Cuzz09]

Dogs should win this

On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[benji21]

1U GWS 20+ @5.20
GWS kicked on after the first half against swans pretty hard.
Haven't been playing at their best yet too.

 

[NutnButAPnut]

loading up on Sydney for premiership at 1.70 on sb, can arb with dogs at 2.7 on crown if u want

aaaaaand its gone... syd down to 1.6 sb and 2.5 on cb