AFL 2019 - AFL Round 20

[targett]

* I have started with TAB prices
* Will change over to TopSport Tuesday

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

We (Lions) are due to have a letdown at some point and Bulldogs look ideally placed for that - +18.5 is very tempting.

Adelaide is madness at either line or head-to-head: Saints just the type to knock them off, even over there.

Can't take Collingwood at -40.5 either.

 

[the_big_sav]

stk havent beaten port or adel at Adelaide oval and havent won over there since 2011 i believe

 

[Jammer]

agreed on the lions.

A win in Tassie is impressive, however Hawks went inside 50...... 15 more times and still put up 25 shots on goal.
The week before North were in front of them with 2 mins to go.
Not potting them however they have been up for a while

Dogs a chance for the upset win here, Im happy to take them for 1 unit at plus 18.5 sportsbet

 

[the_big_sav]

dogs have been up and down like port though

 

[targett]

 

[DaicosianMarvels]

Suns - WIN @ 7.50- .75 unit
Suns +42.5 @1.91 - 2 units
Blues +24.5 @1.91 - 1.5 units

 

[targett]

Suns - WIN @ 7.50- .75 unit
Suns +42.5 @1.91 - 2 units
Blues +24.5 @1.91 - 1.5 units

Where can i find these odds ?

 

[Keystone agony]

Looks a horrible week on the punt. Dont like much if anything.

Was thinking the cats could be complacent in Perth but freo have been terrible.

If freo line gets closer to +20 then ill have a nibble

 

[the_big_sav]

we have played bris in bris on sat then wc in wc on sat now hawks on fri. north/hawks half time/full time is $7.50 at tab or even the last 1/4 markets could be something to look at

 

[targett]

 

[Helloo Newman]

Cunnington 25+ @2, 30+ @4.50
Tim Kelly 25+ @2.10, 30+ @5

Both Sportsbet

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Cunnington 25+ @2, 30+ @4.50
Tim Kelly 25+ @2.10, 30+ @5

Both Sportsbet

Tim Kelly was 3.10 to get 30 last week, racks up 31 and jumps out to 5.00. Strange...

 

[redstarforever_]

Lions/Dogs; over 173.5

 

[redstarforever_]

dogs have been up and down like port though

sort of but not quite as bad as port

 

[redstarforever_]

sort of but not quite as bad as port

having said this.. somethin tells me port might actually show up and if they do there’s a solid chance they’ll beat essendon (esp after avoiding a near rather embarrassing loss to suns last week) they were somewhat lucky in the end.

port adelaide; 1-39

 

[NonPhixion]

If Roughead doesn't get up this week, Goldcoast tall forwards are going to cause our backline serious, serious problems. I think they showed last week they haven't checked out of the season just yet. Has to be value at +37.5.

 

[targett]

 

[mookieb]

we have played bris in bris on sat then wc in wc on sat now hawks on fri. north/hawks half time/full time is $7.50 at tab or even the last 1/4 markets could be something to look at

Tough schedule on NM but Hawks are coming off consecutive 6 day breaks which statistically is negative also.

 

[the_big_sav]

Tough schedule on NM but Hawks are coming off consecutive 6 day breaks which statistically is negative also.

hadnt noticed hawks schedule. someone did post we have the 4th most games played on our injury list at the moment which again doesnt bode well for a young side on a tough schedule.

im not usually one for injury blaming but i didnt realise thats where we were at

 

[mookieb]

3 big additions to the Freo injury list - Ryan, Lobb and Wilson. Reckon the Geel line of -15.5 will blow out by game time.

 

[NonPhixion]

NonPhixion's bet of the week:
Josh Battle 2+ @12, 3+ @71 b365
It is a little speculative, but definitely value. This is the first game he's playing with Brown & Carlisle both in the team, so he should play as either a wingman with forward minutes or as a 3rd tall lead-up target. Drafted as a forward and with a new coach who could try something different with team structure and chemistry I love the odds.

Added the paps 2+ @3.30, 3+ @10 b365

 

[demon_fanatic]

Jake "the line mover" Melksham is in, so hold your Richmond bets you should get -18.5 by Saturday haha

 

[freo_leo29]

Cats -17.5 is a gift

Freo in horrid form and now decimated by injury

 

[targett]