AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)

[iluvparis]

Geelong has been the best team in 2020 for mine, percentage is usually a decent indicator. Plus they are 6/6 at the Gabba with an avg margin of 54 points. Chips in

Top team but Richmond have been and remain the best team in the comp as they have for the last 4 years

 

[burge13]

Im backing geelong just on a hedge against how much i want them to lose

 

[Hava Alle]

Im backing geelong just on a hedge against how much i want them to lose

Still sour about Danger? I'll be targeting the pick the score double markets. Normally good odds.

 

[LIONS15v]

Strange. Sportsbet will only let you multi NS winner with the GF winner if they're on opposite sides now. I got on geelong+dangerfield yesterday but can't do that now

 

[iluvparis]

Strange. Sportsbet will only let you multi NS winner with the GF winner if they're on opposite sides now. I got on geelong+dangerfield yesterday but can't do that now

Normally they open a market of H2H/Norm Smith itself without having to multi them.

 

[The Sultan]

Rarely post here, but think it’s even odds $1.90 a piece. Tigers slight fav due to volume of money already on them.
I got on the cats @$15 during the lockdown, tab offering me $120odd cash out, but going to let it ride.

 

[iluvparis]

Rarely post here, but think it’s even odds $1.90 a piece. Tigers slight fav due to volume of money already on them.
I got on the cats @$15 during the lockdown, tab offering me $120odd cash out, but going to let it ride.

This has zero impact on the price of this game.

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Geelong making the Grand Final tells you how mediocre this competition is.

Hawthorn must be absolutely ****ing deplorable then.

 

[Jugada]

Normally they open a market of H2H/Norm Smith itself without having to multi them.

Big discount for being related though. Were just multiplying both sets of odds the other night

 

[rfc4eva]

They still dominated every aspect of the game.
If they went to half-time trailing they would have just pulled away in the second half.

After losing their previous 5 prelims, it IS Geelong's time this year.
They will beat Richmond next Saturday. They have the personnel and game plan to pull it off.

Game plan that netted them 1 goal in 3 quarters

 

[HTPunter]

I just need to make up approx 200 units on this match to break even for AFL season 2020.

Anybody got any hot tips?

Please no suggestions to bet on the draw. I've already loaded up on that one, miles ahead of you

1000U on Dangerfield 15+ disposals @ $1.20.

I don't think anyone could call that bad bankroll management.

 

[frank99]

I feel like S Edwards has a Norm Smith in him.

 

[Fat Nyfe]

I like Richmond H2H into Under 118.5 into Prestia 15 disposals into Ablett anytime goal scorer. $10.80

 

[HTPunter]

Tigers ML
Dusty NS
For value picks I like Vlastuin and Bolton NS. Precedent for a Vlastuin type with Lake and Hodge winning it as defenders, while Bolton has impact and X-factor qualities and is likely to influence the contest in one way or another (goals, inside 50 pressure, score involvements, midfield stints). Geelong should win territory battle and so Vlastuin is likely to be around the ball repelling attacks.

Most disposals I'll be looking at one or two of Dangerfield, Stewart, and Guthrie. All year Richmond have given up decent numbers to mids and half backs - there's only about 4 games all year where the top disposal getter in a Richmond game wasn't an opposition mid or half back and 2 of those were Saints games where they did still get a decent amount of ball.
Richmond are efficient, and will use their defence to withstand repeat attacks and counter, Geelong mids and Stewart will dine out.

 

[pendlebury_10]

I'll be on Shai Bolton for Normy - Apart from dusty, there's not too many Tigers that catch the eye but he is certainly one of them.
FWIW he polled three best on grounds last night, I just feel $21 is a touch overs if he can provide a few highlights and kick 2-3 goals.

 

[Big Bryza]

Tigers, easily.

 

[iluvparis]

I'll be on Shai Bolton for Normy - Apart from dusty, there's not too many Tigers that catch the eye but he is certainly one of them.
FWIW he polled three best on grounds last night, I just feel $21 is a touch overs if he can provide a few highlights and kick 2-3 goals.

Catch the eye......indigenous reference?

 

[NonPhixion]

I like the Unders, rain or no rain think it will be tight and low-scoring.

 

[the_big_sav]

nankervis @ $81 for n.s on tab

in the wet vs stanley. not bad roughie

 

[iluvparis]

nankervis @ $81 for n.s on tab

in the wet vs stanley. not bad roughie

Last ruck to win it plz

 

[The_Steadier]

Strange. Sportsbet will only let you multi NS winner with the GF winner if they're on opposite sides now. I got on geelong+dangerfield yesterday but can't do that now

If you willing to cop a minor restriction on winning margin (u39 points), you can still get the desired effect and multi NS with the various tri bet 'either team' options.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Catch the eye......indigenous reference?


View attachment 989343

Now that you mention it he does have Cyril like tendencies.

 

[the_big_sav]

Last ruck to win it plz

haha i think dear from hawthorn in 91? doesn't that mean we're due?

its 2020, why not

 

[ShaunWDT]

Danger or Dusty only have to play out 4 quarters and theyll win the Medal there's no value in that market when its media awarded.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

What price will you give me on the winner to not be Dusty or Danger???

If Geelong win, the fairytale end for the NS is Gary Ablett. It will be his last game and he'd only have to play a solid game with a goal or two for the voters to give it to him. He was 34-1 yesterday. Now around 23-1, so still very good value. Can't see him getting it if Richmond win though, and my lean is to the Tigers. Worth a nibble at those odds.