AFL 2020 - AFL Round 16 (no aftertiming allowed)

Remove this Banner Ad

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,948
1,319
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Yet another wonderful round of compressed schedule games.

3u WB +9.5, 0.5u WB 40+ ($21). 4th qtr bets and 4th qtr margins to come.

WB with the bye coming off a loss vs WC with a 5 day break. With no Shuey or Gaff their midfield starts to lack grunt and depth. They looked tired against Ess and their a poor 4th qtr to begin with.

Bit of a free roll here on the line. I think it shortens regardless but McGovern is in doubt and there's a good chance that other players get managed (Nic Nat?).

I think WB should be favs here and think if they are on then a chance they steamroll a tired / injury depleted WC hence WB 40+.

2u StK -18.5. Dire straits for Hawks here coming off a terrible loss. Good chance they blood some youngsters in this game.

2u GWS -15.5. I love backing against terrible teams getting a win late in the season. Excellent chance they'll be flat.

They're are alot of games with teams off a bye facing teams off a 5 day break. Likely to be a massive advantage.
 
Last edited:

FadingTheFave

Rookie
Jun 25, 2016
47
76
AFL Club
St Kilda
2u - WBD +8.5/SYD H2H @4.67

Think Bulldogs will push the Eagles with extra rest and a finals spot still up for grabs although Wood and Vandermeer are losses. Sydney should be favourite after comfortably beating a finals contender while Carlton will likely have a let down now they are no longer in contention.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
45,663
52,448
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
The scores of the last 5 games are depressing. I don’t know how anyone can bet on goal scorers especially to kick 3.
+1

Kicking 3 goals in Corona 2020* is really like the olds days of a bag of 10 from the 2000s. :drunk:

Im not even sure thats even an exaggeration either. :think:

Probably the most depressing moment for me, when the penny dropped was when Rankine was show ponying and running into an open goal and hit the post against the Blues a couple rounds back.

FFS kicking a goal is like diamonds and Rankine has a lazy arrogant shot at goal.
 

langdon19

All Australian
Dec 2, 2008
896
599
perth
AFL Club
West Coast
The scores of the last 5 games are depressing. I don’t know how anyone can bet on goal scorers especially to kick 3.
The drop in scoring is off the charts. Even when you factor in the short quarters and correct for that. It’s not just the shortened quarters, the scoring is down down down on previous seasons.
 

HTPunter

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 27, 2014
5,787
6,989
AFL Club
North Melbourne
The drop in scoring is off the charts. Even when you factor in the short quarters and correct for that. It’s not just the shortened quarters, the scoring is down down down on previous seasons.
Yep seems so many games are decided by a 50/60ish winning score, no way an extra 4 minutes a quarter changes that dramatically.
 

GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
45,663
52,448
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Yep seems so many games are decided by a 50/60ish winning score, no way an extra 4 minutes a quarter changes that dramatically.
The 4 minutes would allow more opportunities for junk time goals, however the bigger problem though is that players cannot kick to save their lives.

I just cannot understand how players are regularly shanking kicks, where it goes literally out of bounds.
 

Ah12

Senior List
Jan 24, 2019
246
285
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Mason wood 2 or more
Xavier duursma 15+
$15.50 Power played on SB

He hasnt kicked many this year but kicked 2.1 last week. I also like Aaron Hall or Jack Zieball for 2 or more both $7.50.

I expect this to be a free flowing game and port to have a lot of the ball. Duursma had 20 last week and i expect him to be good for 15 ($1.91) SB.
 

HTPunter

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 27, 2014
5,787
6,989
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Sam Gray had a fantastic 3 year run against us where he kicked 4 goals in 3 games consecutively while also averaging about 24 touches against us too.

I wonder who will get his fill in today. While I agree with the above about betting on multiple goalscorers, I still think it's a likely match for a few goals (Ports way).

Rozee might play a similar high forward game as Gray did v North in those games, or Robbie Gray. Either could get hold of the North defence quite easily. North have had 4 kicked on them by Sexton and Miers, Wingard kicked 3, Aarts kicked 2.3,Wallis kicked 2,

Rozee 2G ($5), 3G ($19), 4G ($81) - SB
Gray 2G ($2.88), 3G ($8), 4G ($26) - SB
 

Bazza97

Premiership Player
Nov 17, 2016
3,789
3,794
Melbourne
AFL Club
Melbourne
Forgot that today's game was the start of round 16

Bets for today

SGM Dixon 2+, Gray AGS & Marshall AGS $3 SB
Marshall 2+ $2.75 NEDS
Rozee AGS $1.85 TAB
Rozee 2+ $5 SB
Farrell AGS $1.75 TAB
Zurhaar AGS $1.70 TAB
Zurhaar 2+ $4.25 TAB
Hall AGS $2.40 TAB
Hosie AGS $2.50 TAB
Hosie 2+ $9 SB
 

Bazza97

Premiership Player
Nov 17, 2016
3,789
3,794
Melbourne
AFL Club
Melbourne
Yeah I'm big on Rozee for goals today. He's one of those players who I think will lift their scoring output before the finals. Kicked 29 goals last year out of 22 games but only kicked 5 goals out of 11 games this year. Think he's got a good opportunity today to hit the scoreboard against a team near the bottom of the ladder.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

TryAnHit

Team Captain
Mar 1, 2012
578
716
AFL Club
Adelaide
People seem to forget that all games are now in QLD with high humidity at night.
Games up there have always been of lowering scoring as a dry ball gets wet so fast
 

md20

Debutant
Apr 24, 2020
104
108
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Also tired of the low scoring so might have a shot at Most Goals instead of trying to pick 2+, 3+, 4+ goals etc.
1 goal these days is a good chance of a player winning Most Goals..

Looking at having a go at
R. Gray Most Goals $9 (SB)

Only $5.50 on Lads. .
Mid sized forwards seem to hit the score board against North.
Notable ones are:
A. Sexton 4.0 (Most goals)
G. Miers 4.0 (Most goals)
S. McAdam 2.2
D. Cuningham 2.2, M. Kennedy 2.1, J. Newnes 2.0
J. Aarts 2.3, D. Martin 2.0 (Most goals)
D. Zaharakis 3.2 (Most Goals)

Was also looking at Z. Butters $15 may also be worth a shot, but reading through this thread I am also interested in C. Rozee $18.

Can anyone tell me what the go is with Most Goals if multiple players kick the same total?
Do behinds come into it?

On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

Bazza97

Premiership Player
Nov 17, 2016
3,789
3,794
Melbourne
AFL Club
Melbourne
Chucked a bonus bet on Rozee 2+, Gray AGS & Marshall AGS $10.25 SB

Also in case Rozee doesn’t get 2+, got on Rozee AGS, Gray AGS & Marshall $3.60 boosted to $3.85 SB
 
Last edited:

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
4,143
5,795
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Wingman goals.png


Amon has kicked a goal in 2 from his last 4 (one of the matches he went goalless he kicked 0.2) and kicked 2 against North last time.

Polec has kicked a goal in 2 from his 3, and comes in fresh.

I can see this being a shitshow of a match, so under 118.5

(Warning to those who might tail this bet: I'm genuinely cursed at the moment. I mean it.)
 

NYRB

Premiership Player
Oct 6, 2011
3,903
1,476
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
The drop in scoring is off the charts. Even when you factor in the short quarters and correct for that. It’s not just the shortened quarters, the scoring is down down down on previous seasons.
I reckon reduced quarters is part of the reason but I swear there used to be alot more late time or junk time goals late in prior seasons. Fitness is one thing and usually the better teams would push on against a younger or more inexperienced line up.
 

Top Bottom