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AFL 2020 - AFL Round 18 (no aftertiming allowed)

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Bit of a gut feel but do like Caddy for a goal today (Caddy AGS $2.40 TAB). Had a look at his stats, has played seven games this year and has not kicked a goal (He's kicked 2 behinds in 2020). Reckon he's due for one tonight, even if he does play wing I can see him getting on the end of one pushing forward but reckon we could see him forward with Lynch out of the side.
 

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Adelaide oval for Twilight/Night matches is a high scoring ground than Metricon is for night matches. (for this season anyway) There are a couple of outliers in here, the Port v Richmond game was an unbelievably good game, and there is a strong chance we may see that final in a couple of weeks time with rested up players. (May keep that in mind when betting the totals in a couple of weeks) The 2nd half outlier is Essendon v Hawthorn. Hawthorn I think have been struggling to pace their games this season.


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1st Half at AO in 2020 for Twilight /Night matches:
Average 63.38
Median 62

2nd Half at AO in 2020 for Twilight/Night matches:
Average 62.62
Median 63


The projected totals should be around 124-127.


But i think thats a bit too high, with rain forecast and Richmond without Tom Lynch. I've taken Under 116.5 points at even money.
 
Adelaide oval for Twilight/Night matches is a high scoring ground than Metricon is for night matches. (for this season anyway) There are a couple of outliers in here, the Port v Richmond game was an unbelievably good game, and there is a strong chance we may see that final in a couple of weeks time with rested up players. (May keep that in mind when betting the totals in a couple of weeks) The 2nd half outlier is Essendon v Hawthorn. Hawthorn I think have been struggling to pace their games this season.


View attachment 965350


View attachment 965353

1st Half at AO in 2020 for Twilight /Night matches:
Average 63.38
Median 62

2nd Half at AO in 2020 for Twilight/Night matches:
Average 62.62
Median 63


The projected totals should be around 124-127.


But i think thats a bit too high, with rain forecast and Richmond without Tom Lynch. I've taken Under 116.5 points at even money.
you have the best graphs NYRB.
 
Bit of a gut feel but do like Caddy for a goal today (Caddy AGS $2.40 TAB). Had a look at his stats, has played seven games this year and has not kicked a goal (He's kicked 2 behinds in 2020). Reckon he's due for one tonight, even if he does play wing I can see him getting on the end of one pushing forward but reckon we could see him forward with Lynch out of the side.
On this too, come in from 2.60 to 2.25 on Topsport. Looking through their line-up I think he has to at least spend some time forward, they've got wingers in Pickett/McIntosh and possibly Rioli.
 

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This is my opinion but no groundsmen should be allowed to water pitches pre-game. Let them play in the natural conditions.............you would be seething if you had bets on goalscorers or overs here.
 
Bit of a gut feel but do like Caddy for a goal today (Caddy AGS $2.40 TAB). Had a look at his stats, has played seven games this year and has not kicked a goal (He's kicked 2 behinds in 2020). Reckon he's due for one tonight, even if he does play wing I can see him getting on the end of one pushing forward but reckon we could see him forward with Lynch out of the side.

I doubted him looking at his stats, but nice pick. You got home early.
Also Nice seeing 3g kicked in first 8 minutes..
 

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1u Cameron ags, mcinerney ags, bris win @3.56 lads
0.5u Cameron ags, mcinerney 2g+, bris win @12.50 sb
0.2u Cameron ags, mcinerney 3g+, bris win @68 sb

Eddie betts ok odds imo-
Earlier in the year (rnd6) he hadn’t scored more than 1 for a couple games and sb had $5 odds for 2g+ for him, he then had a good game and kicked 4. His Odds were slashed the week after again.
1.5u betts ags @1.80 b365
0.7u betts 2g+ @4.50 lads/sb
0.3u betts 3g+ @19 tab
0.1u betts 4g+ @81 lads (edit: is @91 sb)
 
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De Koning AGS $3.25 b365 - Pittonet named in the ruck, De Koning named forward, he hasn't kicked a goal in 6 games this year (kicked 2 behinds this year), reckon he's due for one
Cuningham AGS $3 NEDS - Should've kicked one last week, I'm backing him again
De Koning AGS, Cuningham AGS & McInerney AGS $20.42 boosted to $24.30 NEDS - really sneaky multi this one
 

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AFL 2020 - AFL Round 18 (no aftertiming allowed)

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