AFL 2020 - AFL Round 4

[dontlimitme]

90$ Cripps under 24.5 disp/Ellis under 20.5 disp @ 3.25

ellis finishes with 20 phew

 

[5 Bucks]

McGrath got penalised for a kick out on the full but they didn't give him the disposal.

 

[5 Bucks]

And of course his line was 20.5

 

[GROTTO]

SMACK!!

 

[NonPhixion]

L.Murphy AGS $3 - lads

Also enticed by Rohan tomorrow. A real hot and cold player I know but he usually does damage against the weaker teams and tomorrow looks like the kind of game for him to kick a few, the good conditions always help him too.
2+$4.50
3+ $15
4+ $67 SB

 

[JuniorWatch]

Walters fantasy middle, over 75.5 bet easy under 81.5 pointsbet $1.88 each

Thanks, nice spot

 

[demon_fanatic]

Mitch Hannah AGS $2.10, he has good poise n goal sense and only plays exclusively forward. Odds are b365

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

Think the early game today could become a bloodbath. McStay 2+ $2.70(McAsey factor), Neale $2.60, Berry $2.05, McCluggage $2.05, Zorko $1.80 all AGS B365.
SGM Cameron 2+, Rayner, Berry, McStay, Zorko AGS $12 Ladbrokes

 

[Atavistic]

Think the early game today could become a bloodbath. McStay 2+ $2.70(McAsey factor), Neale $2.60, Berry $2.05, McCluggage $2.05, Zorko $1.80 all AGS B365.
SGM Cameron 2+, Rayner, Berry, McStay, Zorko AGS $12 Ladbrokes

I like Neale for AGS and 2+ $1.67 and $4.50 at SB. He's kicked goals in every game so far this year.

What about Wingard? Had two bags of 3 already this year. Wingard AGS, 2+ and 3+ for me.

I'm also on Jack Mahony from North. AGS@2.10 on SB and 2+@8.50 on BE.

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

I like Neale for AGS and 2+
What about Wingard? Had two bags of 3 already this year.
I'm also considering Jack Mahony from North. Maybe AGS and 2+

Think Wingard kicks atleast 1 v North based on his early form(I actually think they roll us at Marvel today & $2.50 is good value on that track)

 

[JuniorWatch]

Higgins u20 possessions $2.80 (b365)
Hurt his calf last week and should get Liam Shiels tag
Hedged with BetDeluxe promo Mitchell/Higgins 20+ each $4

 

[dontlimitme]

100$ Rayner AGS/Zorko AGS/Rohan AGS/Ablett AGS/Wingard AGS/Ziebell AGS @ $15.60 (SB)

 

[Vitalogy]

I'm jumping on North. Think they can beat the Hawks at Marvel.

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

 

[JuniorWatch]

Aaron Hall has been playing majority fwd pocket in the last few weeks.
1 goal 5 behinds in the last 2 weeks. Has butchered some sitters.
Kicked 1.3 against the Hawks last years.
Looooves behinds.
Should get some chances again this week.
AGS $2.88
2+ $14
3+ $101

 

[biggiemediums]

For no conceivable reason I put a sneaky $5 on Adelaide at $6.50.

 

[Parko31]

Adelaide playing too many talls Elliot, Frampton, O'Brien, Lynch and Tex.

 

[Parko31]

Aaron Hall has been playing majority fwd pocket in the last few weeks.
1 goal 5 behinds in the last 2 weeks. Has butchered some sitters.
Kicked 1.3 against the Hawks last years.
Looooves behinds.
Should get some chances again this week.
AGS $2.88
2+ $14
3+ $101

Looking at heats maps:
Plays centre/wing with stints forward

 

[sneak]

2u Adel vs Bris u137.5 @1.88

 

[Parko31]

I should follow Crows more closely. Havent seen much of Elliot for the Crows.

Late in for Fogarty, I was listening to SEN this week and not sure who was talking (of of their coaching staff)
They were saying that O'Brien can't handle full ruck minutes and he's fatiguing which is causing a lack of communication to the mids so they're going to look to him some help. They were tossing up between Frampton (saying he's a better Forward but not as good ruck) and Himmleberg (Not as good forward but a better ruck)
I guess they couldn't decide ha

 

[burge13]

Honestly i think the anytime goalscorer market should have a 'crows' option today. Still not even sure id bet us haha

 

[Parko31]

Jayden Hunt played as a permanent forward in round 2 and kicked 3 goals (Didn't play round 1 and of course round 3)
Named at FF today
1+1.62
2+4.20
3+14
SB

 

[Parko31]

Jayden Hunt played as a permanent forward in round 2 and kicked 3 goals (Didn't play round 1 and of course round 3)
Named at FF today
1+1.62
2+4.20
3+14
SB

Neale most disposals group 1
Hunt most goals group 1
$36
SB

 

[Parko31]

Sloane had 18 disposals round 1, in round 2 he got a corky and only played 48% ToG for 12 disposals, last week he only attended 5 centre bounces and was mainly seen in the backline, assuming he was still recovering from his corky.
With Matt Crouch out of the side this week he will most likely be fit again and around the ball all day.
$1.72 for 20+ disposals seems like good value
SB