AFL 2021 AFL Round 16

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ok boys new round lets make some dosh
Miller 30+
Martin 20+
Short 20+
Ellis 20+
Pickett 15+
Ross 15+
Markov 15+
Fiorini 15+
@9.50

Riewoldt 3+
Lynch 3+
King 2 +
Corbett 2+
@26

Rankine
Sexton
Burgess
Flanders
Bolton
Martin
Aarts
Castagna
all 1 goal each
@62 boosted
 

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2u - Sam Day AGS - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
Is yet to hit the scoreboard in his two games since returning from injury. Isn’t quite good enough really, should be looking to capitalise on a weakened and sore Tigers defence. Great price for someone playing as a key forward.

1.5u - Dusty 25+ disposals, Dusty, Castagna AGS - $4.87 - TopSport
Match is set up well for Dusty. Tom Lynch in, Prestia and Lambert out means Dusty is freed up/required to play more midfield time. The tigers also find themselves in a tricky spot after last weeks poor performance and the mass of injuries they have making tonight a must win. Generally when Dusty is “at his best” and goes 25+ he also chimes in with a goal at some point. He generally doesn’t spend much time on the bench and takes his tests in the forward line. Castagna pops up at a big price off the back of some poor form and gives us overs in price. As one of the now more experienced guys in the team I’m expecting him to be leading from the front with his forward pressure and to cash in when given the opportunity.
 
PointsBet Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Goals x Handballs) for Richmond v Suns:

IN 2021OCCURRENCESOCCURRENCESOCCURRENCESSEASON AVERAGE MULTIPLIER
TOUK MILLERUNDER 75
9​
75-89OVER 89
4​
67.31​
IZAK RANKINEUNDER 51
10​
51-61
1​
OVER 61
3​
62.00​
DAVID SWALLOWUNDER 38
10​
38-46OVER 46
3​
33.77​
MATT ROWELLUNDER 45
4​
45-53OVER 53
0​
0.00​
BEN AINSWORTHUNDER 39
7​
39-47OVER 47
2​
42.11​
BEN KINGUNDER 24
7​
24-28
2​
OVER 28
5​
48.79​
SAM DAYUNDER 21
4​
21-25OVER 25
2.50​
ALEX SEXTONUNDER 26
4​
26-30
2​
OVER 30
4​
33.90​
SHAI BOLTONUNDER 174
7​
174-206
1​
OVER 206
4​
160.67​
DUSTIN MARTINUNDER 184
7​
184-214
2​
OVER 214
4​
215.38​
TOM LYNCHUNDER 61
7​
61-75
1​
OVER 75
2​
40.60​
JACK RIEWOLDTUNDER 66
11​
66-78OVER 78
3​
63.29​
JASON CASTAGNAUNDER 55
10​
55-65
1​
OVER 65
3​
63.29​
JAKE AARTSUNDER 56
9​
56-66
1​
OVER 66
4​
40.14​
JACK GRAHAMUNDER 50
9​
50-58
1​
OVER 58
4​
47.64​
SHANE EDWARDSUNDER 48
7​
48-56OVER 56
4​
57.55​
KAMDYN MCINTOSHUNDER 24
13​
24-28OVER 28
1​
2.77​
TRENT COTCHINUNDER 24
9​
24-28OVER 28
1​
8.40​
MARLION PICKETTUNDER 24
12​
24-28OVER 28
1​
3.08​
 
I mean beating Essendon is no real achievement. They've been flogged by the Swans, Dees, Cats, Lions and Saints this year. Fell in against the Giants.

A couple honourable losses and a win over the Dogs is all they have to hang their hat on this season.

Gold Coast are rubbish so not a game i want to get involved in really, just not going to be surprised if we see another lacklustre Tigs performance
I'm going to speculate we see a must win performance here for Rich so i'm on for 1u -26.5 and 1u -6.5 4th. If the game is close and Rich don't cover then they should clear out in the 4th. Far better 4th qtr team than GC.
 
My tips using the $1 stakes on the Stat Multiplier:

Touk Miller NO PLAY
Rankine NO PLAY
Swallow OVER 46
Rowell NO PLAY
Ainsworth NO PLAY
Ben King OVER 28
Sam Day NO PLAY
Sexton OVER 30
Bolton UNDER 174
Martin UNDER 184
Tom Lynch UNDER 61
Jack Riewoldt NO PLAY
Castagna OVER 65
Aarts NO PLAY
Jack Graham UNDER 50
Shane Edwards NO PLAY
McIntosh NO PLAY
Cotchin OVER 28
Pickett NO PLAY
 
I'm going to speculate we see a must win performance here for Rich so i'm on for 1u -26.5 and 1u -6.5 4th. If the game is close and Rich don't cover then they should clear out in the 4th. Far better 4th qtr team than GC.

Same sort of things could have been said last week vs St Kilda.

Could very well happen because the Suns are garbage I just have no faith in Tigs so sitting out
 

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Good start from Fiorini on the 80+ Fantasy bet. My god he is useless at using it through.
 

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