AFL 2022 AFL Round 10

[dontlimitme]

Qualche buon treno?

realmente no

 

[GROTTO]

Qualche buon treno?

realmente no

pessimi treni

 

[Pacman82]

Curnow 2+
Franklin 2+
Silvagni 2+
Ladhams 2+
@20.91 PB

Missed the game but saw Ladhams had 2 behinds last week..

 

[jikost]

Devon Smith

5

Devon Smith

Age

32

Ht

176cm

Wt

78kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.8

5star

K

11.1

4star

HB

7.8

5star

M

3.3

3star

T

5.3

5star

G

0.9

4star

D

16.3

4star

K

9.1

4star

HB

7.1

4star

M

2.3

2star

T

5.0

5star

G

0.6

4star

D

15.6

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

4.0

5star

G

0.2

3star

AGS $2.50 pb. Playing for his career... Hit the scoreboard in his last 15 matches.

2+ @ $12
3+ @ $51

 

[Atavistic]

Devon Smith AGS $2.50 pb. Playing for his career... Hit the scoreboard in his last 15 matches.

2+ @ $12
3+ @ $51

Spud, but maybe worth it at those odds.

 

[Pacman82]

Dogs could be less reliant on Naughton again considering his knee's still heavily strapped..

Treloar 3+ (200th game)
Dunkley 2+ (Kicked 3 last week as well)
Bontempelli 2+ (1.2 last week, listed FP again)
@85.91 PB Boosted

 

[BloodRet]

Devon Smith AGS $2.50 pb. Playing for his career... Hit the scoreboard in his last 15 matches.

2+ @ $12
3+ @ $51

crushed

 

[EFL Boy]

crushed

$2.05 365

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Devon Smith AGS $2.50 pb. Playing for his career... Hit the scoreboard in his last 15 matches.

2+ @ $12
3+ @ $51

Plays for his career every week

 

[GROTTO]

Plays for his career every week

Its how I like my goal scorers to be.

It also means they will be selfish and not hand off freebies.

 

[jikost]

Ben Brown

50

Ben Brown

Age

33

Ht

200cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.7

3star

K

7.7

3star

HB

3.0

3star

M

4.8

5star

T

1.2

3star

G

2.2

5star

D

7.9

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

1.6

1star

M

3.7

4star

T

0.9

2star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.0

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.4

3star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

1.2

4star

10+ @ $81 sb BYO. I mean, if Josh Bruce

17

Josh Bruce

Age

33

Ht

198cm

Wt

97kg

Pos.

D/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.2

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

4.6

3star

M

4.5

4star

T

2.1

4star

MG

90.4

1star

D

8.9

2star

K

3.5

1star

HB

5.4

3star

M

2.5

3star

T

1.3

2star

MG

90.4

2star

D

11.2

3star

K

5.6

3star

HB

5.6

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

0.8

3star

can kick 10...

 

[Fizza]

Josh Rachele is 3.15 @ SB for 2+, best I can find across most bookies. Feel like it's value, if nothing else maybe in a multi too.

 

[GROTTO]

Ben Brown 10+ @ $81 sb BYO. I mean, if Josh Bruce can kick 10...

Thats a Hail Mary on Sunday.

 

[bulletride]

Always a terrible idea backing any goalkickers from North but Jed Anderson

17

Jed Anderson

Age

31

Ht

179cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.3

4star

K

7.8

3star

HB

8.5

5star

M

2.2

2star

T

4.7

5star

CL

3.0

4star

D

17.0

4star

K

10.5

4star

HB

6.5

4star

M

2.7

3star

T

4.8

5star

CL

3.7

5star

D

10.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

2.6

4star

CL

1.4

4star

named FP again and with Greenwood, JHF and Simpkin back he can probably go back to playing that promised forward role after having to play midfield last week.

AGS $2.90 PB
2+ $14
3+ $67

 

[Bazza97]

King 4+
Gresham 2+
Rachele 2+
$27 SB

 

[Ohh Ok]

1u - Multi - $11.67 - Ladbrokes
⁃ Carlton 1st Qtr/Sydney 2nd Half
⁃ Geelong 2nd Qtr
⁃ Bulldogs 1st Qtr/Bulldogs SU
Reasoning in individual plays.

2.5u - Carlton 1st Qtr +0.5 - $1.90 - Ladbrokes
Carlton ranked 3rd and 6th for 1st and 2nd qtrs whilst Sydney ranked 11th and 8th.

2.5u - Sydney 2nd Half - $1.87 - Ladbrokes
Sydney ranked 4th and 1st for 3rd and 4th qtrs who’s Carlton ranked 13th and 12th. Sydney ranked 2nd and 7th for 3rd and 4th qtrs in 2021, Carlton a very different side so not reading too much into their form last year.

2.75u - Papley 2+ goals - $2.05 - TopSport
1.5u - Papley 3+ goals - $4.10 - TopSport
0.75u - Papley 4+ goals - $10 - TopSport
Papley off the back of his strongest game of the season. Love the match up against Carlton. Friday night under the lights at Marvel to look forward to.

2.5u - Saad 20+ disposals - $1.80 - PointsBet
Has a 6/8 record on the season. Williams out means extra kick ins for him.

4u - Geelong 2nd Qtr - $1.64 - Ladbrokes
Geelong ranked 1st whilst Port ranked 16th. Geelong also ranked 1st in this Qtr in 2021, Port however ranked 4th. Happy to back Geelong on their home deck with a couple strong ins.

4u - Western Bulldogs 1st Qtr/Western Bulldogs SU - $1.94 - Ladbrokes
Bulldogs ranked 4th whilst Gold Coast ranked 16th. 2021 data had the Dogs ranked 1st and Gold Coast 17th. Currently 71% of teams winning the first quarter are going on to win the game. Gold Coast played in testing conditions on the weekend and have two days less break compared the the dogs which would hurt their prep coming into this one. The dogs ran away comfortable winners and given their current ladder position every game is a must win. Naughton touch and go, but sounds as though he should get up.

4u - Simpkin 25+ disposals - $1.80 - TAB
A player of his potential with league high CBA numbers should be doing a better than he is, even playing for North. 50% this season on the line but 15/22 including 8/11 after the bye in 2021. Numbers closer to where he should be. Should be able to find the footy much like Kelly was able to in the weekend with not a lot of effort being put in to shut him down with the Dees out to a cushy lead.

4u - Brad Crouch

5

Brad Crouch

Age

31

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

26.1

5star

K

12.1

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

2.7

3star

T

5.5

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

20.3

5star

K

11.1

4star

HB

9.1

5star

M

1.5

2star

T

3.9

5star

CL

4.6

5star

D

21.6

5star

K

10.0

4star

HB

11.6

5star

M

3.4

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

2.6

5star

over 26.5 disposals - $1.77 - PointsBet
A disposal or two too low. 7/9 on the season. Steele out meaning role improves. Big motivational factor against his old side.

 

[redstarforever_]

just some basic bets tomoz night to win me a lil money for a huge saturday boys and plus i kinda hate sydney cause they constantly go in that chip mark game

Otherwise if i was betting normal id go motlop or Wicks

then hit swans/over 172.5 $3.30

 

[The_Steadier]

Sam has given the green light to putting tmitch back on the ball where he belongs.

Was at 2.85 for 30+ and 7.25 for 35+, but still decent at the current 2.15 and 4.80.

Is good value still at 4.25 for most possies G1.

Also like mitch lewis for most goals @ 5.90 with Adams out.
Lions share the goals around and lewis might play a bit of a lone hand.

Gws win 1-39 @ 2.35 is nice, taking the saints and north at their lines too.

 

[The_Steadier]

These are all bangers I reckon.

Ryder will play more fwd after kicking goals last week- marshall should have a big one vs newbie strachan.

Jones has been playing low TOG and outside while easing back in after time off.
I'm expecting him to be nominated to fill part of the gap left by steele now hes had a handful of vfl and afl games back.

Smith should get plenty of pill- looks like they briefly tried pushing him up the ground, but now looks back at home down back- as i say every week, we love giving the ball to opposition backman (laird will get a million possies too).

 

[dontlimitme]

View attachment 1404181

These are all bangers I reckon.

Ryder will play more fwd after kicking goals last week- marshall should have a big one vs newbie strachan.

Jones has been playing low TOG and outside while easing back in after time off.
I'm expecting him to be nominated to fill part of the gap left by steele now hes had a handful of vfl and afl games back.

Smith should get plenty of pill- looks like they briefly tried pushing him up the ground, but now looks back at home down back- as i say every week, we love giving the ball to opposition backman (laird will get a million possies too).

you're a banger. TAILED

 

[Nuggetz]

View attachment 1404181

These are all bangers I reckon.

Ryder will play more fwd after kicking goals last week- marshall should have a big one vs newbie strachan.

Jones has been playing low TOG and outside while easing back in after time off.
I'm expecting him to be nominated to fill part of the gap left by steele now hes had a handful of vfl and afl games back.

Smith should get plenty of pill- looks like they briefly tried pushing him up the ground, but now looks back at home down back- as i say every week, we love giving the ball to opposition backman (laird will get a million possies too).

Isnt Marshall carrying an injury? I like this bet but a bit iffy on Marshall

 

[Pacman82]

Sam has given the green light to putting tmitch back on the ball where he belongs.

Was at 2.85 for 30+ and 7.25 for 35+, but still decent at the current 2.15 and 4.80.

Is good value still at 4.25 for most possies G1.

Also like mitch lewis for most goals @ 5.90 with Adams out.
Lions share the goals around and lewis might play a bit of a lone hand.

Gws win 1-39 @ 2.35 is nice, taking the saints and north

Breust has managed to evade our backline down in Tassie the last couple of games, 3 goals both times, kicked 3.1 last match in about 2 1/2 quarters before being subbed out with injury, $3.50 for a repeat performance.

Breust 3+
Cameron 3+
Bailey 2+
Mitchell 30+
@30.5 SB pwd

 

[Pacman82]

0.5u on SB's powered mug bet, Draw At End Of Any Quarter @16.36 for tonight's game

 

[The_Steadier]

Isnt Marshall carrying an injury? I like this bet but a bit iffy on Marshall

Agree, that's the leg I'm least confident on.

Copped a bad thigh cork a couple of weeks ago, but is over it now.

Is managing an ankle too, but it's nothing too serious- was back up to 83% TOG last week.

15 isn't a massive bar for him to hit if ryder plays fwd lots and just does the centre bounce taps (which I think will happen).

 

[Nuggetz]

Agree, that's the leg I'm least confident on.

Copped a bad thigh cork a couple of weeks ago, but is over it now.

Is managing an ankle too, but it's nothing too serious- was back up to 83% TOG last week.

15 isn't a massive bar for him to hit if ryder plays fwd lots and just does the centre bounce taps (which I think will happen).

Fair enough, i've tailled. Good spot!