AFL 2022 AFL Round 10

[jikost]

Daniel Rioli

17

Daniel Rioli

Age

28

Ht

179cm

Wt

78kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.2

3star

K

5.8

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.7

3star

T

3.2

5star

MG

179.2

3star

D

8.1

2star

K

4.9

2star

HB

3.3

2star

M

2.0

2star

T

2.6

4star

MG

144.9

3star

D

9.0

3star

K

3.8

2star

HB

5.2

4star

M

0.8

1star

T

3.8

5star

MG

160.2

3star

20+ @ $2.3 tab.
Liam Baker

3

Liam Baker

Age

27

Ht

173cm

Wt

72kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.7

4star

K

7.8

3star

HB

7.9

5star

M

3.2

3star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.7

3star

D

14.6

4star

K

6.8

3star

HB

7.9

4star

M

3.8

4star

T

1.8

3star

CL

0.5

3star

D

14.4

4star

K

6.2

3star

HB

8.2

5star

M

1.6

2star

T

1.8

4star

CL

1.2

4star

20+ @ $2.75 tab.

Both had 24 last week. Rioli has cleared 20 in his last 3 matches. Baker 2/3 since returning to the backline.

 

[The_Steadier]

All signs point to the papsmear kicking a bag right?

Most goals G1 @ 7, or 4+ @ 7.75.

Also having a nibble at syd kennedy most possies G2 @ $15 in case horse throws him in the middle to cover rowbottom out (while also trying to counter cripps/walsh on the inside.)
(Jpk @ $6 for 25+ too.)

Hewett most possies G1 @ $6 is ok too against his old mob- low 30's possies will win the group I reckon.

 

[BloodRet]

Yep all over the papsmear

Also got Walsh 2 Florent 2 @84

Walsh kicked a couple, least CBA % of any Carlton mid last week too. Florent will benefit up the ground in this weeks team without rowbottom.

Don’t mind Justin mccinnerney either for the same reason 2, 3 @12, 51 pb

Hickey 3, 4@85, 701

Ladhams 4, 5 @84, 701

Up against de koning only really, one of them should be able to benefit

 

[Del125763]

PointsBet Spread Multipliers for tonights game:



Tips using the $1 staking system and some reasons behind bets:

Heeney UNDER 112- has picked up only 44 disposals in his last 3 games. Carltons midfield will be expected to win the battle in the middle in this one. So can Heeney getting his 15-16 disposals or so in this game. But id be wary thinking he is a shoe-in for anything 20+ Disposals or more. Although $2.70 for 20+ is tempting.
Mills OVER 68- Now the Sydney Swans main man. His table average over the past 2 seasons for me is a play at this line.
Cripps UNDER 312- The line is way too high . Only gone above 364, 6 times during the last 26 games. This is the banker for tonight (last time i said that he went over). You would probably still win this bet if he kicked exactly 2 goals.
Sam Wicks OVER 21- cheap play for a player that has potential to kick 3+ Goals tonight
Hayward OVER 42- can see him obliging with at least 2 goals tonight
Matthew Kennedy UNDER 82- like Heeney doesnt rack up as much as the ball as he used to. Would be prepared to cop a loss if he got around 12 kicks or less, 10 handballs or less.
Charlie Curnow

35

Charlie Curnow

Age

28

Ht

194cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.3

3star

K

9.7

4star

HB

3.6

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.3

5star

No current season stats available

D

10.8

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

4.4

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.6

4star

G

0.8

4star

OVER 73- should get enough opportunities tonight to snag a big bag. Without Harry McKay

10

Harry Mckay

Age

27

Ht

200cm

Wt

106kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.9

3star

K

7.5

3star

HB

2.4

2star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

1.4

5star

D

6.6

1star

K

4.6

2star

HB

2.0

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

2star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.8

3star

K

6.8

3star

HB

2.0

2star

M

4.4

4star

T

0.8

3star

G

2.0

5star

, it will be a question whether he can convert his opportunities.
All the other players are NO PLAYS for me.

 

[Del125763]

BetRight Requests . Do any appeal?

 

[Del125763]

I could genuinely see a scenario tonight where Carlton win and Patty Cripps kicks 0 goals.

 

[dontlimitme]

I could genuinely see a scenario tonight where Carlton win and Patty Cripps kicks 0 goals.

 

[BloodRet]

BetRight Requests . Do any appeal?

View attachment 1404423

4th from bottom is the worst value bet I’ve ever seen

 

[Del125763]

4th from bottom is the worst value bet I’ve ever seen

Id want at least 3.55 or more on that

 

[BloodRet]

Id want at least 3.55 or more on that

I wouldn’t even take that at 10

Unless the E at the end means every quarter?

 

[dontlimitme]

I wouldn’t even take that at 10

Unless the E at the end means every quarter?

think it does mean that

 

[BloodRet]

think it does mean that

Not that bad then

 

[Del125763]

I wouldn’t even take that at 10

Unless the E at the end means every quarter?

Yes think BetRight have done a spelling error there.


Anyway Id price it to score a goal in a Quarter of Football:

Walsh $6
Mills $7.50
Warner $5.50
Heeney $3.80
Hayward $3.60
Luke Parker $6.95

(Thats my prices without sneaking at Sportsbet odds)

 

[GROTTO]

I could genuinely see a scenario tonight where Carlton win and Patty Cripps kicks 0 goals.

I saw a scenario last week where Oliver Henry kick 0 goals and the Pies got smashed.

 

[targett]

Daniel Rioli

17

Daniel Rioli

Age

28

Ht

179cm

Wt

78kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.2

3star

K

5.8

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.7

3star

T

3.2

5star

MG

179.2

3star

D

8.1

2star

K

4.9

2star

HB

3.3

2star

M

2.0

2star

T

2.6

4star

MG

144.9

3star

D

9.0

3star

K

3.8

2star

HB

5.2

4star

M

0.8

1star

T

3.8

5star

MG

160.2

3star

Disposals

(u20.50) 1.83 pb

(o19.50) 2.10 tab

 

[FrankGrimes]

Do the swans tag?
Cripps might cop a tag, only player from my brief research was miller when gc thrashed them

 

[GROTTO]

Do the swans tag?
Cripps might cop a tag, only player from my brief research was miller when gc thrashed them

I hope they do tag him, Voss will just shove him to full forward.

 

[FrankGrimes]

I hope they do tag him, Voss will just shove him to full forward.

Unders for possessions and 2+ goals

 

[GROTTO]

BetRight Requests . Do any appeal?

View attachment 1404423

SOS,Curnow or Fish to score 1+ at 3.85 is damn good at the Dome.

 

[Del125763]

Do the swans tag?
Cripps might cop a tag, only player from my brief research was miller when gc thrashed them

Watching a few of the Swans games I dont think they do.

I can see Cripps getting his 30-35 disposals or so.

Carlton are a better contested disposals side this season.

 

[Del125763]

SOS,Curnow or Fish to score 1+ at 3.85 is damn good at the Dome.

If you prefer Patty Cripps to Fish

#BYOSportsbet is

SOS, Curnow and Patty Cripps to score 1+ at 2.50

 

[Del125763]

Net Contested Disposals Ranks

In 2022:

Carlton (2nd) +15.1 v +2.8 Swans (6th)

In 2021:

Carlton (16th) -7.0 v +4.0 Swans (6th)

Last seasons game

Carlton won the contested disposals 139-135 over the Swans.

I sense the Blues could win that count by a margin greater than 12 or so, which could help them going a long way to victory.

 

[GROTTO]

If you prefer Patty Cripps to Fish

#BYOSportsbet is

SOS, Curnow and Patty Cripps to score 1+ at 2.50

Thanks for the heads up, I did see that already.


No. Much prefer the one you stated. I really need to join them.

 

[GROTTO]

Unders for possessions and 2+ goals

Patrick "Charles Brownlow" Cripps more likely to get 3+ and 30+ at $8.

 

[GROTTO]

Blues by 39+ this week is free money.

Sydney beat a bunch of witches hats last weekend.

The Giants are having a stellar season I see…

Friday's Fun Facts with Grotto.

Under Horse, Sydney have only lost 4 games since 2019 by more than 40pts.

Incidentally they have not lost a game by more than 40pts in Victoria during that time.