AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

[Del125763]

Betdeluxe also have a Promo for tonights game, 4 legs at odds of $4.00+ or more

View attachment 1353780


Im on a bit of a run with them, so lets go for another one:

Sydney to win by 1-39 pts
Hayward to kick 2+ Goals
Over 147.5 pts
Hayward to score a goal in the 1st Half

Odds: $12

(Note: The same bet at Sportsbet would pay 17.25)




I think Sydney this season will play a bit more direct and look to move the ball forward which is a bit of an indicator for tonight. I mean last week only 1 of their players managed 25+ Disposals.

I’m 2 from 2 From Betluxe Promo.

I’ve been having some shocking luck on the SGM option with Sportsbet so it look like luck has changed with a new bookie.

 

[Del125763]

Thing is with the Betdeluxe bonuses is you have to use them within 5 days.

 

[Pacman82]

I noticed Josh Daicos

7

Josh Daicos

Age

27

Ht

178cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.6

4star

K

8.3

3star

HB

7.3

5star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.6

5star

MG

230.5

4star

D

16.2

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.5

4star

MG

230.5

4star

D

13.8

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

4.2

5star

is named FP, 2+@5, 3+@17, 4+@79 & 5+@276 all SB.

 

[Del125763]

PointsBet spreads for Swans v Geelong Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

View attachment 1353673



First thing first Heeney and Parker lines are too high. Yes they did get high scores last week in 432 and 490 respectively. For you guys that took the 3.50 on Franklin 2+ goals/10+ Disposals, i worked out he averages 11.63 disposals a game in his last 2 seasons. You probably need the Bud to kick 3 goals for that Overs to land.

My tips for this match using $1 stakes:

Heeney- UNDER 183
Parker - UNDER 170
Franklin- NO PLAY
Florent- OVER 56
Warner- NO PLAY
Gulden- OVER 38
Hayward- OVER 30
Rowbottom-OVER 29
Dangerfield- NO PLAY
Hawkins- NO PLAY
Duncan- NO PLAY
Cam Guthrie- NO PLAY
Tuohy - OVER 55
Parfitt- NO PLAY
Selwood-NO PLAY

Result of my plays on the Swans v Cats Stat Multiplier

Heeney -$357
Parker +$170
Florent -$56
Gulden +$182
Hayward +$24
Rowbottom +$13
Tuohy +0

Net: -$24

 

[Robo87]

I noticed Josh Daicos is named FP, 2+@5, 3+@17, 4+@79 & 5+@276 all SB.

& which seems to have pushed De goey to the middle. Maybe Pies trying to get an advantage in the center? but i suspect these two players might chop and change between mid and fwd roles during game, giving each other fwd rests or going where needed according to the coach. So i'll predict degoey and daicos both share some time fwd at different periods of the game. (&WHE listed on the wing where Daicos was last week.)
those are good odds if he gets enough time fwd tho.

 

[freo_leo29]

I don't quote every post that I tail on here as I'm sure others don't

simply liking a post is enough to indicate that you're tailing IMO

If you didn't like the bet then you wouldn't like the post

Maybe we should designate on of the react buttons on this board as the official tailing react

 

[BloodRet]

Was on before it had even sailed through LOL early crow never in doubt

 

[Robo87]

View attachment 1354624

Was on before it had even sailed through LOL

did you yell out to him: "dont you miss, i have money on this kick"

 

[Del125763]

Do people in here reckon the Bud can get to 1100 next?

 

[BloodRet]

did you yell out to him: "dont you miss, i have money on this kick"

I actually forgot about my 4+ bet until just recently

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

Bonus bet prayer

 

[md20]

Has anyone mentioned Crisp or Lipinski for 30+?
Crisp is $3.50 and Lipinski $4 on Pointsbet.
I'm torn.
Lipinski hit 30 last week and seems to look good in his new role at Collingwood.
Crisp was quiet but we know he can rack them up whether he plays mid or off half back.
Lipinski the better value imo.

Sacrificing a coffee today for this:
O. Henry 5+
P. Lipinski 30+
$212 (SB)



On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[kicksome]

I cant find a hell of a lot of value for the bombers v lions game, so i'll stick with my cam raynor bet for now.
kicked 2 behinds last week, against harder opposition, plonked in the forward pocket. Under the roof so perfect conditions. im on for
2+ $4
3+ $11 @ PB

also considering linc mcarthy.
kicked 2.2 last week,
2+ $2.75
3+ $6.50
4+ $21 @ PB

 

[kicksome]

waiting for markets to come up for the westcoast norf game, there is a bloke coming in for west coast called Jack williams whos a key forward.
"At 198cm, Williams is a good size for a key position target and booted 40 goals from 15 games in the WAFL Colts competition last year. "
I smell a train

 

[srobbo]

Joe D 4+
Fort AGS

$7.50 boosted SB

Joe kicked 4.3 v port & had that brain fart handball on HT in the goalsquare. Don’t see how he doesn’t get 8-10 shots on goal under the roof today against Stewart.

Fort $1.83 after kicking 2 last week seems a safe add on with our under sized backline.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

SGM - Merrett, Parish, Neale, all 25+ disposals, Daniher 2 goals (first time playing against his old team?), Brisbane h2h - $3 (TS) - 1u

Dan Houston

9

Dan Houston

Age

29

Ht

186cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.2

5star

K

11.8

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

4.9

5star

T

3.0

5star

MG

289.2

4star

D

17.6

4star

K

11.6

4star

HB

6.0

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.4

4star

MG

319.9

5star

D

16.6

4star

K

12.4

5star

HB

4.2

4star

M

7.0

5star

T

2.6

4star

MG

279.8

5star

(Port) - disposal line is -23.5 @ $1.77, $2.10 25+ disposals, $4.40 30+ disposals, $21 35 disposals (TS). He got 36 disposals last week. 1u on -23.5, 1u on 25+, 0.5u on 30+, 0.5u on 35+

Pies, Lions, Port, Dees, all h2h @ $3.33 - 2u

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I noticed Josh Daicos is named FP, 2+@5, 3+@17, 4+@79 & 5+@276 all SB.

In 53 games of AFL football he has never kicked more than two goals.

He has had 3+ scoring shots just three times in his career (2.2, 1.2, 1.2).

There's almost no reason to think this is a train worth boarding.

I'm on for 0.5u each 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+ ($4, $12, $46, $201)

 

[GROTTO]

In 53 games of AFL football he has never kicked more than two goals.

He has had 3+ scoring shots just three times in his career (2.2, 1.2, 1.2).

There's almost no reason to think this is a train worth boarding.

I'm on for 0.5u each 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+ ($4, $12, $46, $201)

If he kicks 5+, I wont post for a week on here.

 

[GROTTO]

I noticed Josh Daicos is named FP, 2+@5, 3+@17, 4+@79 & 5+@276 all SB.

You should have just said Daicos, gives you a free hit of being right if the brother kicks a bag.

 

[dontlimitme]

incredible photo from last night

 

[mouncey2franklin]

My bets for Collingwood Adelaide

de Goey 1u each 3+ @ $4.75, 4+ @ $13, 5+ @ $41, 6+ @ $101 (all tab)

Elliott 1u each 4+ @ $7, 5+ @ $19, 6+ @67 (all tab)

Kreuger 1u 2+ @ $5 (sb), 1u 3+ @ $15 (sb), 1u 4+ @ $51 (pb)*, 2u 5+ @ $235 (sb trick)

Gollant 1u each 3+ @ $8.50, 4+ @ $26, 5+ @ $128 (all sb)

Pedlar 1u each 2+ @ $8, 3+ @ $34, 4+ @ $151, 5+ @ $1801 (all sb)

Cook 1u each 2+ @ $7, 3+ @ $26, 4+ @ $141, 5+ @ $851 (all sb)

J Daicos 0.5u each 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+ ($4, $12, $46, $201)

EDIT: Forgot McReary 2u AGS @ $2.05 (tab)

Total outlay: 27u

 

[kicksome]

J Daicos 0.5u each 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+ ($4, $12, $46, $201)

This is the only one I'm not on.
So that tells me I better have a go

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Rachele 2
Rowe 2
Elliott 2
Mihocek 2

@ 25 SB

De Goey 2
Dawson 2
Rowe 2

@ 45 SB

Dawson 2,3 @ 6,28.50 SB and 4 @ 125 365.

 

[Pacman82]

In 53 games of AFL football he has never kicked more than two goals.

He has had 3+ scoring shots just three times in his career (2.2, 1.2, 1.2).

There's almost no reason to think this is a train worth boarding.

I'm on for 0.5u each 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+ ($4, $12, $46, $201)

That big galoot Cox won't be taking up valuable fwd line space & fellow goal sneak Bianco's been sidelined. It's a bit ambitious but I've boarded.. 2-3 goals is a juicy leg for a multi as well so went this too

Daicos 3+
Rachele 3+
@84 SB

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

That big galoot Cox won't be taking up valuable fwd line space & fellow goal sneak Bianco's been sidelined. It's a bit ambitious but I've boarded.. 2-3 goals is a juicy leg for a multi as well so went this too

Daicos 3+
Rachele 3+
@84 SB

Only getting 47s for those two, even powered wouldn’t get to 84?