AFL 2022 AFL Round 6

[balmainforever]

 

[GROTTO]

Where is everyone?

 

[GROTTO]

The Hawkins train vs North will begin at $2 for 6+

 

[Robo87]

like 1u multi - Dees, lions-18.5, crows +26.5 @4.88 lads boost.

 

[dontlimitme]

remember for next weeks lots of games at the weird grounds, manuka oval/mars stadium/blundstone/utas and NO games at marvel. so consider when going for trains etc <3

 

[NonPhixion]

tough games, hard to see any value on the lines this week.

 

[GROTTO]

like 1u multi - Dees, lions-18.5, crows +26.5 @4.88 lads boost.

Like the Lions line and Port line.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

remember for next weeks lots of games at the weird grounds, manuka oval/mars stadium/blundstone/utas and NO games at marvel. so consider when going for trains etc <3

I wasn't aware of that. Just checked the fixture, there's two games in Tassie on the same weekend?

What's going on there? Is the Docklands stadium being used for some other event this weekend?

In any case, one of Cameron or Hawkins (or both) should take North to the cleaners.

But there won't be any value. Between the major books, I'd expect both big cats to be $6 - $8 for 5+ at best.

What odds are you expecting for Toby Greene goals?

Last three matches at Manuka (latest to earliest): 4.1, 5.1, 0.0 (38 touches).

 

[benji21]

Gws aren't as good at Manuka, expect saints will be 1.6 by game start.

 

[Jugada]

Gws aren't as good at Manuka, expect saints will be 1.6 by game start.

Slightly worse but not by a lot.

69% @ Manuka vs 72% @ GIANTS since 2015

 

[Del125763]

The Hawkins train vs North will begin at $2 for 6+

Going to have a stab at the PointsBet Player Points line for North Melbourne v Geelong. Usually they use a 3 point spread for their Player Points:


Hawkins UNDER 21, OVER 24
Jeremy Cameron UNDER 21, OVER 24
Stengle UNDER 11, OVER 14
Dangerfield UNDER 9, OVER 12
Close UNDER 9, OVER 12
Larkey UNDER 10, OVER 13
(Maximum Winnings limited to 50 x your initial stake)

just some early thoughts on the spreads. Do agree with the early sentiment on here, not really sure what to expect of these 'suburban' type grounds. Weather in Hobart looks ok as well from when I last checked.

Maybe on Sunday we could a player big not a 10 goal bag but maybe a 12 goal+ bag?

 

[Del125763]

Had you gone OVERS on the Hawthorn listed players on PointsBet today (Gunston, Breust, Koschitzke and Mitch Lewis) on the spreads for all players. For a $1 stake each , you would have gained $4 overall.

Hawthorn did better than I expected and it wouldnt have been a bet that I would have got excited about pre-game.

 

[Del125763]

Although a combo of Jeremy Cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

32

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

and Hawkins Total Match points, using a 3 point spread of say:

UNDER 42, OVER 45

would get a few punters interested. 7 goals+ as a combo is roughly a 50:50 (or 55:45 if your feeling bullish) chance in my book. Its one of the markets will monitor in the #BYOSportsbet when they launch their odds.

 

[Atavistic]

Fully expecting either BloodRet or Mouncey to start a Greene train.

 

[freo_leo29]

Seem over the odds. Krueger kicked 2 in both matches so far. Bombers conceded most goal, defence lacks height also.
Bobby also seems value

Dang Kreuger already into 2.85

Was going to hammer those 4.60 odds

 

[dontlimitme]

Jai Newcombe 20 disposals @ 1.98 Neds. Unload. Coming off 31 vs Geelong, kids a star.

 

[freo_leo29]

Jai Newcombe 20 disposals @ 1.98 Neds. Unload. Coming off 31 vs Geelong, kids a star.

into 1.73 already

Neds limits must be super low, within minutes these lines are moving

 

[mac23]

Gws aren't as good at Manuka, expect saints will be 1.6 by game start.

Agree, hammering the -1.5 at Neds expect a decent middling opportunity.

 

[Atavistic]

Flynn AGS @3.90? With Preuss coming back, if he stays in, he plays forward more?

 

[mac23]

Newcombe 25+ $3.05 Neds

 

[kicksome]

J newcomb 25+
Moore 2+
Bruest 2+

$12.75

 

[kicksome]

Also like:
Kruger 2+3+. - $2.85/$7.50 could of easily enough had 4 last week
Degoey 3+4+ - $3.15/$7

 

[GROTTO]

Fully expecting either BloodRet or Mouncey to start a Greene train.

 

[jikost]

Do we give Berry another go? He spent 1/3 of the match on the pine, but at least the role was there attending 70% of CB's.


Sloane isn't returning (didn't attend CB's anyway) so unless they bring back Schoenberg (unlikely), the Crows probably go with the same midfield mix again. The odds aren't as good this week, but I think 20-25 is well within reach. A higher TOG % certainly wouldn't hurt.

20+ @ $4.25 365
25+ @ $18

 

[mac23]

Do we give Berry another go? He spent 1/3 of the match on the pine, but at least the role was there attending 70% of CB's.

View attachment 1377798
Sloane isn't returning (didn't attend CB's anyway) so unless they bring back Schoenberg (unlikely), the Crows probably go with the same midfield mix again. The odds aren't as good this week, but I think 20-25 is well within reach. A higher TOG % certainly wouldn't hurt.

20+ @ $4.25 365
25+ @ $18