AFL 2022 AFL Round 9

[Selim]

Jeez that’s unlucky man missed from in front too

i think it was when poulter ran to far but Lippa was out in space running into 50 would of been a simple kick aswell

 

[pendlebury_10]

Connor West had 21 disposals last week from 56% TOG. Eagles missing so many mids West should be around the ball all match.

20+ @ $2.75 tab
25+ @ $10
30+ @ $51

Same game multi trick is going off tap for West:
20+ @ $4.90
25+ @ $23
30+ @ $301

Clark is also available to juice. I've had a stab at this:

 

[Atavistic]

Greg Clark 80+ fantasy points @2.30 at Neds.

Racked up 110 in his first game.

 

[demon_fanatic]

melbourne could be peppering the goals... who takes kick ins with no Hurn?? Witherden?? maybe possibly Duggan or Mcgovern too?? ball should be down there a bit think I'll play disposals on the three of Witherden/Mcgov/Duggan... No Gaff and Redden has gone 120/124 fantasy past two weeks looks like he's got his fitness about him unlike many teammates yet his line is 90.5.. I am guessing they are taking into account Melbourne having so much of the first use of the ball and the higher numbers they produce disposals wise compared to Reddens last two opponents Richmond and Brisbane both lower disposal sides?? still I'll play the 90.5... Clark at 70.5 is also very playable.. he knows what this caper is about and I think even if he is a bit more quiet he should be pushing in the 60 to 70 range... anything slightly above an average game and he clears...

 

[tangolikelama]

Tiges h2h
Bolton 2+
Short 25+
Newcombe 20+
Moore AGS

50 @4.75 bet return

 

[tangolikelama]

Georgiades 2+
Finlayson 3+
Larkey AGS
SPP AGS
Gray AGS
Wines 25+

50 @11 bet return

 

[md20]

I haven't been able to watch much football the last couple of weeks.
Is Koschitzke playing forward, ruck, or both?

On SM-S906E using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

I haven't been able to watch much football the last couple of weeks.
Is Koschitzke playing forward, ruck, or both?

On SM-S906E using BigFooty.com mobile app

Fwd

 

[mac23]

Same game multi trick is going off tap for West:
20+ @ $4.90
25+ @ $23
30+ @ $301

Clark is also available to juice. I've had a stab at this:View attachment 1399325

Aaaaand I’m banned from placing SGM’s with TAB

 

[pendlebury_10]

Aaaaand I’m banned from placing SGM’s with TAB

Their standard SGM are pretty average anyway

 

[Del125763]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier Spreads for Collingwood v Western Bulldogs. To be honest it looks like they have nailed their lines this week. I cant be tempted to take any OVERS.

View attachment 1398642


Most of the averages are higher than their OVERS line. I do like the one play however on Darcy Cameron. Can See De Goey and/or Bont combining for 4+ Goals though. But these players can be volatile in terms of time spent in forward and midfield.

Bulldogs players have a higher ceiling whilst Collingwood players based on the way they played in 2021 were quite slow, which probably pushed those averages down a fair bit.


So Ill stick with the one play for that match.

OVERS 35 Darcy Cameron

Result for the Collingwood v Bulldogs game

Cameron -$35

 

[GROTTO]

Aaaaand I’m banned from placing SGM’s with TAB

Im sorry but unfortunatley you lose your degeneracy status when the books ban/limit you from anything.

 

[Young Gun #6]

Same game multi trick is going off tap for West:
20+ @ $4.90
25+ @ $23
30+ @ $301

Clark is also available to juice. I've had a stab at this:View attachment 1399325

Wouldn’t accept me doing the 25 $23 one

 

[Del125763]

Cross Sport Multi

Jordan Poole 4+ Threes in Game 6 of the NBA Playoffs v Memphis
Over 164.5 pts in St.Kilda v Geelong

Odds: $8.15

 

[freo_leo29]

I doubt Tab pays out the SGM trick

Swear they have been to court for bets that play into each other, saying they were errors

 

[jikost]

Greg Clark 80+ fantasy points @2.30 at Neds.

Racked up 110 in his first game.

Like it. I've taken both West and Clark on pb.

Clark 80+ @ $2.35
Clark 90+ @ $4
Clark 100+ @ $8
Clark 110+ @ $14
Clark 120+ @ $34

West 80+ @ $2.7
West 90+ @ $5
West 100+ @ $9.5
West 110+ @ $19

West over 69.5/Clark over 72.5 @ $3.48
West over 80/Clark over 80 @ $6.8

 

[demon_fanatic]

So whos going to kick in whos normally 2nd in line when hurn plays?? Witherden?

 

[Young Gun #6]

So whos going to kick in whos normally 2nd in line when hurn plays?? Witherden?

witherden for sure

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u - Thomas over 18.5 disposals - $1.80 - TopSport
Hitting three of the North mids today but they all stand out as value. Thomas has had a pretty unsettled season this year with injuries and even knocks during games affecting his ability to get solid totals. Hasn’t cleared this year but went 9/11 after the bye last year. With Greenwood and JHF out of the side today, and the midfield looking thin, he should really be having a strong run at it.

4u - Butters over 22.5 disposals - $1.87 - PointsBet
Butters another one who ha roughed it at times with injuries, he however sits 5/8 on his line for the season. He too, has had a couple tough games, one with a heavy knock during the game, another where he played sick. Discount those games and he’s at 5/6, pretty solid. Throughout the season his midfield minutes have been a bit up and done as Boak’s role has often changed a bit to help the progression of Rozee/Butters. Today stands outs as an opportunity to see Butters play increased midfield minutes against a weak unit, and a team that gives up the second most disposals in the comp.

2.5u - Georgiades 2+ goals - $2.26 - TopSport
1.5u - Georgiades 3+ goals - $4.70 - TopSport
0.5u - Georgiades 4+ goals - $12 - TopSport
0.5u - Georgiades 5+ goals - $34 - TopSport
Have been pretty keen on betting around the key forwards against North Melbourne this week, especially when Ben Mckay

32

Ben Mckay

Age

27

Ht

202cm

Wt

104kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.5

2star

K

3.7

1star

HB

3.8

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

1.7

4star

MG

77.2

1star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.5

3star

T

1.5

2star

MG

88.5

2star

D

7.0

2star

K

3.4

2star

HB

3.6

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

67.8

1star

has been out of the side. This game for Port comes up as an interesting one, as Dixon looks set to come back into the side over the next 1-2 weeks, it really shapes up as the forward fighting for their spot in the side. Georgiades is the guy that I want to bet today, biggest odds of the three but least goals. He however has had more scoring 2 more scoring shots than Marshall and the same as Finlayson highlighting his ability to impact the scoreboard. Not expecting him to attract the first defender today with some strong players inside the Port forward line, this should free him up a bit, and with a lot on the line he’ll be looking for a bag. Port also a side that like to put a big score on if they get in front of a team, and with their current ladder position and poor percentage, they’ll be looking for a big impact on the scoreboard.

 

[Cuzz09]

Boak
2+ $7.75
3+ $31

Wines
2+ $9
3+ $34

On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[TheCandyMan]

Darcy 2+ v witts $5.10 worth a stab

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[bato]

Gotta back the man in form. Lynch 15 touches 2.20 | 20 touches 6.75

Will be close I reckon.

 

[jikost]

Without McKay, can't see these two having a quiet afternoon.

 

[Geead]

Without McKay, can't see these two having a quiet afternoon.

View attachment 1399545

No JHF in the middle either, this game could be a blowout

 

[Geead]

So far my plays for this round are

Boak 2/3/4

Finlayson 6

Long 2/3

Billings 5

Soligo 3/4

Curtis 4/5

Jeffrey 2/3/4

Stone 1/2

I'm on a five or six week skid, so not betting as much as earlier in the year.

I really should quit altogether until next year but I'm hooked, and still playing with house money.

If none of the bets above hit, I might have to message the mods to ban me from this sub for a month.

I waste way too much time here.

Same + getting sick of the bookies shitty odds, 1.10 for a campaigner to score a goal is ridiculous, let alone the 1.01 for actual goalscorers. Probs will take a few weeks off if this one is a bad round.