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AFL 2022 AFL Round 9

Line Winners?

  • Total voters
    15
  • Poll closed .

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MRCB12 said:
They need to start putting up no goals as an option and like <15 disp and <20 for some. $1.01 odds for AGS, 15 or 20 disp. Pffttt give us the option at then not achieving these then. Ridiculous odds
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It only changes when they stop getting action. Go elsewhere, the beauty of a competitive market
 
Completely agree burge.

Won’t be getting my money. Unfortuneatley though they’ll get enough from others at these odds I reckon.

I’m not betting on any these odds and never will. Too much risk for such short odds. Never worth it IMO. I’m always looking though.
 

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jikost said:
Surely West Coast have never been $19 at home before.
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North are $46 and +70.5 the following week vs Melbourne.

For the true degenerate, R9 Eagles and R10 North (both against Melbourne) as a multi is paying $874, Im not sure I can recall a bigger multi for just two teams to win before a game.

If you hit the SB boost button you probably could hit $1000. :drunk:
 
It appears that I posted this in the wrong round thread, most prices are gone though I believe now. Think Farrar might still be there. Would be wroth checking out the prices SB put up today if any of these interest you.

Feeling a bit flat after getting pumped on the weekend. Had a good Sunday so was nice to finish on a positive. Not as much early value around and have ended up taking a few scary picks by backing players that have been a let down recently.

2u - De Goey 25+ disposals - $2.55 - 365
Been burnt by him last couple weeks, was sick vs GC and may still have had some lingering effects on the weekend as he faded out in the fourth quarter only managing 2 disposals . Backing him to bounce back. Still big CBA numbers and should be getting this soon.

2u - Bontempelli 25+ disposals - $3 - 365
Wouldn’t be often you see the Bont at this sort of offer. Has had a slow season only clearing in 1/6, but you’d think the rest on the weekend would’ve done him the world of good. A bunch of calvary expected back for the Dogs this week which puts him in good stead to have a run in the guts. Only need to look back to last year where he went 20/26 to see how capable he was at clearing this line.

2.5u - Liam Baker 20+ disposals - $2.25 - 365
Had a very quiet first half game on the weekend only collecting 2 disposals in the first half. Has been successful in this position in the past. Good match up against Hawthorn who consistently give up 20+ to opposition defenders; Redman, Heppell, Hind, Cutler on the weekend, Brayshaw, Bowey, May the week prior and so on.

2.5u - Duncan 25+ disposals - $2.20 - 365
1u - Duncan 30+ disposals - $5.50 - 365
Geelong went back to the high possession game style on the weekend which worked effectively against the Giants. This was evidenced by them amassing 435 disposals (298 uncontested) compared to their rounds 1-7 average of 367 (222 uncontested). Duncan looked to be one of the main beneficiaries of this change amassing a game high 33 disposals. An absolute ball magnet on his day. As St Kilda love to move the ball with speed, I’m expecting Geelong to go back to this same game style to choke the Saints and upset their rhythm.

1.5u - Farrar 15+ disposals - $2.60 - TAB
Just playing the percentages on this one. Has hit in 8/13 games since 2021. +EV bet if he continues on the same trend line.

3u - Jackson 15+ disposals - $1.85 - 365
1.5u - Jackson 20+ disposals - $8.50 - 365
0.5u - Jackson 25+ disposals - $25 - 365
Calling a Max Gawn rest here! Gawn went for knee scans during the week and is currently touch and go whether he plays this week. This to me presents as a perfect opportunity to rest Gawn. This means Jackson full time in the ruck against a weak opponent. Fantastic opportunity for him to go big.
 
GROTTO said:
North are $46 and +70.5 the following week vs Melbourne.

For the true degenerate, R9 Eagles and R10 North (both against Melbourne) as a multi is paying $874, Im not sure I can recall a bigger multi for just two teams to win before a game.

If you hit the SB boost button you probably could hit $1000. :drunk:
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Tailed

On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
MRCB12 said:
Completely agree burge.

Won’t be getting my money. Unfortuneatley though they’ll get enough from others at these odds I reckon.

I’m not betting on any these odds and never will. Too much risk for such short odds. Never worth it IMO. I’m always looking though.
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Especially as weather changes from 22 and sun to 11 and over cast... usually affects the scoring a decent chunk
 
GROTTO said:
North are $46 and +70.5 the following week vs Melbourne.

For the true degenerate, R9 Eagles and R10 North (both against Melbourne) as a multi is paying $874, Im not sure I can recall a bigger multi for just two teams to win before a game.

If you hit the SB boost button you probably could hit $1000. :drunk:
Click to expand...
Which degenerate on here started hitting North at $46 ?:think:

SB has suspended betting. :D
 
His role can be a bit of a lottery, but I like David Swallow 25+ @ $4.75 TAB.

Last 3 weeks he has gone 27, 13, 24 with the 13 coming against Collingwood where he was stuck at half forward. The other two games he was back attending 70% of centre bounces. Hopefully Stuey Dewy keeps him on the pill against the Dockers.
 
pendlebury_10 said:
His role can be a bit of a lottery, but I like David Swallow 25+ @ $4.75 TAB.

Last 3 weeks he has gone 27, 13, 24 with the 13 coming against Collingwood where he was stuck at half forward. The other two games he was back attending 70% of centre bounces. Hopefully Stuey Dewy keeps him on the pill against the Dockers.
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Anderson is back tho also
 

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Bailey Williams played forward in the last quarter against Port. Had 3 disposals all deep in the Bulldogs forward 50 but didn't manage to hit the scoreboard. Bevo was throwing the magnets around (Khamis went back for example) so obviously no guarantees he plays forward Friday night, but I think it's worth putting a few dollars on just in case.

2+ @ $21 365
3+ @ $176
4+ @ $1000
 
Wil Powell 20+ @5.50 tab
25+ @26 tab
Had 19 last week and over 20 late last year afew times
 

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sneak said:
Wil Powell 20+ @5.50 tab
25+ @26 tab
Had 19 last week and over 20 late last year afew times
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Will Powell is a WA boy, so do feel that he lifts a gear when playing Fremantle.

Disposal wise from 3 games averages 21.33 (including the COVID year) against Freo in his career. (the best of all opponents)

Ive decided to chuck a Parlay involving:

Will Powell 20+ Disposals (3.30)
Tasmania Jackjumpers to beat Sydney Kings in Game 3 of the NBL Playoffs (3.20)

TAB Odds - Boosted 11.61
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Just read an article about max gawn on AFL app, he's been cleared of serious knee injury and is free to train this week. If he plays i reckon they won't risk him having too much time in the middle rucking, hopefully playing him forward. Reckon he's decent value at 2/3/4 $3.05, $8.25, $26
 

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