AFL 2022 AFL Round 9

[Del125763]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier spreads for Saints v Geelong today:




Some tips and reasoning behind my tips

Gresham UNDER 110 (even though I expect the Saints to edge the midfield battle, this line is a tad too high for me given he hasnt scored in the last 2 games. 2 Goals+ from him today would spell a pretty bad outcome)
Max King

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

OVER 49 (can oblige with his 3 goals today)
Brad Crouch

5

Brad Crouch

Age

31

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

26.1

5star

K

12.1

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

2.7

3star

T

5.5

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

20.3

5star

K

11.1

4star

HB

9.1

5star

M

1.5

2star

T

3.9

5star

CL

4.6

5star

D

21.6

5star

K

10.0

4star

HB

11.6

5star

M

3.4

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

2.6

5star

OVER 67 (think with Billings in the lineup it may give a Saints midfielder a bit of a rest in the forward line as the game goes on)
Membrey OVER 64 (going based the tables he can cover this line)
McKenzie OVER 20 (averages 23 or so from his previous 2 seasons)
Marshall OVER 55 (with the inclusion of Paddy Ryder and being labelled in the forward line , today represents a day where can get 2+ goals if not more)
Steele OVER 88 (quite happy to take this line given I think the Saints midfield should do break even or better)
Mason Wood

32

Mason Wood

Age

32

Ht

192cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.3

2star

D

8.3

2star

K

2.7

1star

HB

5.7

3star

M

1.7

2star

T

1.3

2star

CL

0.0

1star

D

15.8

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.6

3star

OVER 37 (been labelled in the forward line and my expectation for him is to get at least 1 goal. Anything better would be a bonus)
Dangerfield UNDER 110 (his averages is below the line in his last 2 seasons based off the table values)
Isaac Smith

7

Isaac Smith

Age

36

Ht

188cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

13.0

5star

HB

8.4

5star

M

5.5

5star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.7

4star

D

19.4

4star

K

11.1

4star

HB

8.3

4star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.5

3star

CL

1.3

4star

D

19.2

5star

K

10.6

4star

HB

8.6

5star

M

7.6

5star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.6

3star

OVER 57 (him along with Hawkins are the players that have covered their lines in the past 2 seasons the highest)
Brad Close OVER 52 (he can get his 2 goals or so today)
Cam Guthrie OVER 38 (he can snag a goal today)
Selwood OVER 37 (for a player that averages 36.80 over the last 2 seasons - happy to take him on at this line)

 

[tangolikelama]

Yeah Jezza

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Bramble and DGB are having good games in the middle…..

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Amazing - Newcombe always racks it up in the 1st and then just falls off a cliff

They start tagging him. He’s a jet.

 

[Fizza]

Finlayson coming to the party

 

[Selim]

Marshall + Finlayson 4+ each @21

half way there boys go on with it

 

[Del125763]

Saints v Geelong

22+ Behinds and Membrey/Jeremy Cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

32

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

7+ Goals Combined

Odds: $13

Ill have a nibble on that.

 

[dontlimitme]

Saints v Geelong

22+ Behinds and Membrey/Jeremy Cameron 7+ Goals Combined

Odds: $13

Ill have a nibble on that.

you make the most random bets NYRB lol

 

[Selim]

3 more Lewis you can do it

 

[Selim]

give the kid a goal

 

[Del125763]

Zurhaar a greedy bastard.

 

[tangolikelama]

If Newcombe doesn't get to 20...

 

[Selim]

Cmon Zurhaar you should have 5 but atleast kick 1 or 2 more

 

[The_Steadier]

Like stewart @ 8.25 for most possies G1, my mob always give up decent possie numbers to loose backmen and he's been racking it up of late.

 

[Del125763]

Cmon Zurhaar you should have 5 but atleast kick 1 or 2 more

He heard you

 

[Selim]

He heard you

he was open for a handball and 4th there smh

 

[Del125763]

need to stock up for some food for the footy.


Be back in 20 minutes. Dont have much munchies to last me 3+ hours.

 

[dontlimitme]

need to stock up for some food for the footy.


Be back in 20 minutes. Dont have much munchies to last me 3+ hours.

thank you for letting us know

 

[Selim]

THE CHAD x2

 

[The_Steadier]

Billings and gresh should have plenty of time fwd today- we need to balance out the extra height we have with sharman in.

Billings 4+ via sgm trick $85 or $226 for 5+
Him for 2+ is ok value @ $5, same with gresh 2+ @ 3.70

Also like ross + 24.5, game points overs, king most goals.

 

[Geead]

CMON TODD 2 MORE PLS

 

[Bazza97]

Membrey 2+
Sharman AGS
Gresham AGS
$5 SB

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u - Geelong SU - $1.80 - Dabble
Have shown they’re willing to adapt and change game styles. Knocked off the Saints in each of their last 5 games against them. Saints have shown they can be vulnerable to teams willing to strangle the games.

4u - Guthrie 20+, Stewart 20+, Steele 25+ disposals - $1.80 - SB
Guthrie 7/8, should benefit a lot if Geelong go back to their possession football, went 21/23 last year and had two 36 disposal games on the Saints. Stewart 6/7 this year, 19/20 last year, Saints giving up a lot of footy to guys off half back. Steele 7/8 massive leader for them, will be in the middle getting dirty all afternoon

4u - Gresham under 22.5 disposals - $1.75 - PointsBet
Started the season hit with games of 24, 25, 32. Since then has gone under in 4/5 games. Last week saw Zak Jones

3

Zak Jones

Age

30

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.8

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

7.8

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

3.0

5star

CL

1.7

4star

D

19.1

4star

K

10.6

4star

HB

8.6

4star

M

3.4

3star

T

3.1

4star

CL

4.9

5star

D

7.0

2star

K

2.8

1star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.0

1star

T

1.6

4star

CL

1.0

3star

come back into the side and chew up a bunch of his midfield minutes and this week Billings returns who is also potential to chop in the midfield at time. Last week Geelong went back to their high possession style footy and if we see a repeat of this it’ll be even more difficult for Gresham to come by any disposals.

2u - Billings AGS - $1.87 - TopSport
First game of the season, should spend a bit of extra time in the forward line. Worked into fitness through the vfl kicking 1.0 and 1.2.

 

[tangolikelama]

Tiges 1-39 (I'm 3km from the G and its miserable and wet)
Dusty 2+ (Think he'll spend most of the game forward again particularly with Prestia back)
Wingard AGS (200th and a figjam)
Prestia 25.5+ (Bit iffy on this one..)
Newcombe 20+ (Ideal conditions for him)
Bruest AGS (Usually a given)

@16.25 bet return

Hope some of you campaigners tailed me again

 

[tangolikelama]

Ummm uh oh