AFL 2023 - AFL Round 12

[balmainforever]

 

[bulletride]

tarryn thomas 4.33 for 20+ at 365

any north fans know where he'll be playing

Came here to ask the same thing, from a quick browse of the North board it sounds like he's been playing off half back. Hoping having both him and Hall in the same side can free up Sheezel to play forward.

2+ $7.50 TS
3+ $26 TS
4+ $91 SB

 

[Del125763]

If Tigers win this might be worth a dabble? I dont think there is too much between the two teams personally.

 

[bulletride]

Finn Callaghan 4+ tackles $3.55 Betright. Had a big bump in CBAs without Kelly in the side last week up to 44% which saw him lay 5 tackles, much higher than his season average of 0.6 per game when playing purely on the wing.

 

[Selim]

Greene 2+
Hogan 2+
Riewoldt 2+
Martin 1+
Ryan 1+
Daniel 1+
Cadman 1+
@19

Hogan 3-5 @3.95, 9.50, 26

Added Riewoldt 3-5 same odds as hogan

Cadman 3+ @16

I have no faith anything gets up and that will be me done until next Sunday

 

[Del125763]

Richmond lost their last 4 against the Giants at the Sydney Showgrounds. This was when in a period Richmond was in their premiership years too. So it doesnt seem like a happy hunting ground for them despite the odds being relatively close to 50:50 for the game.

And added to that this Richmond seems to be on a bit of a decline.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Added Riewoldt 3-5 same odds as hogan

Cadman 3+ @16

I have no faith anything gets up and that will be me done until next Sunday

Isn’t Riewoldt playing injured?

Has kicked 3 goals in the past 5 weeks.

 

[miracleman]

Massimo DAmbrosio named forward pocket, playing in tippas role? not 100% sure but worth a peanut

Goals
2/3/4 TAB $10/$50/$350

 

[Suncraze]

Giants -1.5 $1.90

 

[X_box_X]

Get on Himmelberg of the Demons to get most disposals in the Giants v Tigers match.

 

[X_box_X]

Giants -1.5 $1.90

Betfair premium tax, hey?

 

[Swansong05]

tarryn thomas 4.33 for 20+ at 365

any north fans know where he'll be playing

I'm no north fan but I'm pretty sure he'll be playing at marvel stadium , hope that helps

 

[dontlimitme]

I'm no north fan but I'm pretty sure he'll be playing at marvel stadium , hope that helps

 

[ferrisb]

TAB have blocked me from using the SGM multi trick...

Edit: they have blocked me from placing any SGMs.

 

[bulletride]

TAB have blocked me from using the SGM multi trick...

Happens to us all eventually, did you at least manage a good win before they did?

 

[GotGameButNoName]

TAB have blocked me from using the SGM multi trick...

How?

 

[ferrisb]

Happens to us all eventually, did you at least manage a good win before they did?

Not really.

 

[Del125763]

Might be one to keep an eye out on in-play betting but there should be a wind advantage kicking to the left of screen today. 20km/hour winds during the game expected. From Google Earth (2nd image)

 

[dontlimitme]

Might be one to keep an eye out on in-play betting but there should be a wind advantage kicking to the left of screen today. 20km/hour winds during the game expected. From Google Earth (2nd image)

View attachment 1704190

View attachment 1704191

what's the air pressure like

 

[GROTTO]

Get on Himmelberg of the Demons to get most disposals in the Giants v Tigers match.


View attachment 1704163

Its foreshadowing where he will play in 2024.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Stringer 4 and 5 last 2 games against North

On board for 4,5,6

 

[HTPunter]

Massimo DAmbrosio named forward pocket, playing in tippas role? not 100% sure but worth a peanut

Goals
2/3/4 TAB $10/$50/$350

3 goals sounds like his max I reckon on his absolute best day.

But Stringer and Langford will be the ones able to truly cut North up.

 

[kicksome]

im on langford
3/4/5
$3.20/ $7.50 / $15

pointsbet

 

[toenail11]

Cadman odds are just too juicy to say no
2-4 @4.60,15,61 sb

On Samson Ryan as well 3,4 @7,22

 

[Del125763]

AFL Stat Multiplier Spreads for Giants v Richmond. Trends based on past 3 years for players. A few reasoning behind of each of the plays.


$1 Stakes

Brent Daniels

16

Brent Daniels

Age

26

Ht

172cm

Wt

75kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.9

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

6.5

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

2.9

4star

G

0.4

3star

D

10.3

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

1.9

2star

T

1.9

3star

G

0.0

1star

D

9.0

3star

K

3.6

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

3.0

5star

G

0.8

4star

UNDER 107- this is about 45 points too high. Had a good game last week but 2 goals still should be able to see profit on this selection. I dont also recall him from the past being in the triple digit line.

Callan Ward

8

Callan Ward

Age

35

Ht

187cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.8

5star

K

11.2

4star

HB

11.5

5star

M

3.8

4star

T

4.3

5star

CL

5.4

5star

D

17.8

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

8.8

4star

M

2.3

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

3.3

4star

D

10.0

3star

K

4.4

2star

HB

5.6

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

1.8

4star

OVER 48- Have him pencilled in for a goal today, and his averages from last 3 seasons suggets an over is a solid play.

Shai Bolton

10

Shai Bolton

Age

27

Ht

176cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.3

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

12.7

3star

K

9.2

4star

HB

3.5

2star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.7

4star

CL

1.8

4star

D

9.2

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.0

1star

UNDER 214- To keep it simple , he goes under this line in 45 of his last 54 games. He also averages 142.12 in the stat multiplier in last 3 seasons.

Graham OVER 38- Can oblige with a goal and with a low line.

$0.75 Stakes

Coniglio OVER 97- I feel this is a better selection than taking him on for a goal at $2.50 or thereabouts with sportsbooks. A goal will cover his 97 line based on stats.

$0.50 Stakes

Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

24

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

OVER 92- Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

24

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

plays better in home fixtures than away fixtures. Home fixtures= Showgrounds/Manuka Oval/Sydney Olympic Stadium (Accor Stadium). Some interesting stats, in the last 55 AFL games: Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

24

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

has 16 goals from 24 home games. And at the same time, Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

24

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

has 6 goals from 31 away games. So he clearly is a player that prefers home surroundings. And I missed out on the week he got 1071 in his Stat Multiplier down at Manuka. Lets go against the trend and back him in for a goal today.


Note Graham- has changed to 41 line now at the time of writing, which Ill use in my final P & L.

 

[kicksome]

timmy toranto kicked 4.1 last week, up against his old mob and his old stomping ground.

2+ $3.50
3+ $10.50

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