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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 15

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Tailed this on SB As the Friday Night free hit and tailing 56 punters on Dabble on this one. Didnt have much time to do much research with: work commitments this week, planning holidays/business trips, watching Euros and all.


Screenshot 2024-06-21 at 9.11.13 AM.png Screenshot 2024-06-21 at 9.11.28 AM.png

PS : At the time of writing its now into $111.


A chance of getting up?
 
I'm either going to lose a little money on North this week or make a heap. Going same 1/4 time result, a 33+ margin to North, against a worse opponent. Odds are 101-1 at SB. Last week was probably a one-off, though.

Will also try North 37+ half time margin, plus North H2H.
Wasn’t a bad bet until the media decided to give the Demons a boot up the ass this week

Doesn’t help it being at the MCG either, will be a freezing night so can’t really see it being high scoring
 
Wasn’t a bad bet until the media decided to give the Demons a boot up the ass this week

Doesn’t help it being at the MCG either, will be a freezing night so can’t really see it being high scoring
Yeah I think I’m gonna have a big play on the unders. Time to learn my lesson with mcg night games in the winter
 
Tailed this on SB As the Friday Night free hit and tailing 56 punters on Dabble on this one. Didnt have much time to do much research with: work commitments this week, planning holidays/business trips, watching Euros and all.


View attachment 2025365View attachment 2025364

PS : At the time of writing its now into $111.


A chance of getting up?

It's not bad.

Of course none of the (individual) legs are a huge risk but the combo is very unlikely. I think the biggest risk legs would be.

Stewart - might get tagged by Cincotta
Hollands - can have very quiet nights (10-12 touches)
Saad - often gets high teens
Dangerfield - coming off an injury

Still for $111 ($128 boosted), it's in with a shout.

Brad Close AGS $1.46 is pretty sexy for a guy that has goaled 12/13 games this year.

Now watch Stewart, Hollands, Saad and Dangerfield all hit and Close miss out :p
 

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Bilcavs 20+
Touk Miller AGS
Norf h2h

$66 sb

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
curnow 3
cameron 2
O henry 2
owies 2
z william
miers
hewett
bowes
tuohy
duncan

$1001

cant lose

LOVE IT!

Kept 7 of your 10.

But made three swaps that are much shorter odds, but somehow the combo still maintains the $1001

Out: Owies 2, Bowes 1, Duncan 1 (Which multi to $26.75)
In: Holmes 1, Close 1, McKay 1 (Which multi to $3.40)

Some really weird things happen when you start approaching $1001. Adding/subtracting legs swings overall odds much more/less than would be suggested by straight juice.
 

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Free hit

2 Henry
1 close, Williams, stengle, owies
@6

Henry coming back from injury but he is their most targeted forward when playing so I’m backing in Tony from skins

View attachment 2025586

Dune Wow GIF


TAILED
 

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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 15

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