AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 0 - OPENING ROUND.

[balmainforever]

 

[scottyt2]

maybe its just to early to check but PointsBet not doing spreads?

They're gone..too many people tailing those bets last year...think i remember only 3 or 4 players were listed by at the end of last season

 

[Robo87]

Will day forward pocket, already on him but could kick a couple

come on, your name is kicksome not 'kick a couple'.

 

[demon_fanatic]

They're gone..too many people tailing those bets last year...think i remember only 3 or 4 players were listed by at the end of last season

yeh I'd say they got hammered by some smart people doing first goal accelarators or multipliers if they had inside knowledge on positional changes etc.. pretty weak but as they'd make a fair bit still I feel off people losing.. would be great if a new company came out with spreads to take control of the market but I doubt it will happen.. Spreads only really left are nba and its not even for basic player pts/rebounds now its multipliers/game line and totals only

then some obscure soccer leagues not the main 4-5 , college basketball and maybe usa hockey/baseball unsure on those 2...

 

[demon_fanatic]

Mitchell playing funny buggers Hardwick named full back? hasn't the talk all pre season been Hardwick training as a forward and definite to play there ? I hope so!

Also Jordan is crazy good odds 15 plus $1.70 pb and 20 + 3.00... it's 1.08 and 1.33 15 at tab/b365 respectively.. should see plenty of time around ball/wing with Gulden out and was their best basically in practise match with 26 touches.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Mitchell playing funny buggers Hardwick named full back? hasn't the talk all pre season been Hardwick training as a forward and definite to play there ? I hope so!

Also Jordan is crazy good odds 15 plus $1.70 pb and 20 + 3.00... it's 1.08 and 1.33 15 at tab/b365 respectively.. should see plenty of time around ball/wing with Gulden out and was their best basically in practise match with 26 touches.Think he will follow around Day or Newcombe for fair chunks which should see him drawn to the ball

 

[HTPunter]

hoping two games go under 110.5 is just burning money lol when is the last time that happened ever not including covid shortened quarters?

At odds of $101 each you realise I don’t need 2 to go under? Just 1? And I can have another 90 odd attempts at it…

Edit: wait I’m assuming you thought it was a multi? It isn’t. Each game is standalone.

 

[HTPunter]

Getting offered 300% of original stake cash out for the 3+ and 250% of stake for 2+ now. I'll be seeing it out though

I split the stake on these bets and take the cash out on 1 of the bets to make the overall bet a free hit.

If the odds don’t come in & I don’t get a cash out profit, I just cash out stake prior the game - only do it on B365 as everywhere else is a small loss for cash out.

I.e I planned on putting $10 on Sicily 3 goals
So put $20 on Sicily 3 but split into 2x $10 bets means I’ve got $10 riding and cashed out the other for $30. If his odds didn’t change I’d have just cashed out for $10 anyway

 

[Del125763]

Sportsbet Free Hit for Friday Night

Heeney AGS 1st Half
Rampe 15+ Disposals
Hawks +1.5 handicap to lead at 3/4 time

Odds: $18 (1u). Done a slightly modified version of Heeney AGS 1st Half/Rampe 14+ Disposals/Hawks +0.5 HT handicap at similar odds.

Heeney AGS 1st Qtr
Rampe 15+ Disposals
Hawks +1.5 handicap lead at 3/4 time

Odds: $30.25 (0.1u)

Heeney picked up 3 goals and 3 Brownlow votes last years encounter. Will get chances , just a matter of how well he converts on the night.

Rampe is the speculative bet there as mentioned before. But Sportsbet have slightly reduced odds of $3.70 for 15+ which is still good enough in my book.


Straight Up bets:

Rampe 19+ Disposals @ $9 (1u)
Rampe 24+ Disposals @ $26 (0.5u)
Rampe 29+ Disposals @ $51 (0.25u)
Odds from TAB- as they are offering the 1 disposal insurance.



The last game Gulden didn't play in, Rampe picked up 29 disposals.

 

[dontlimitme]

free hit SB

Newc/D'ambro 20+
Jordon 15+
Hayward/Watson/Moore/Heeney AGS

8$

FOOTYS BACK

 

[Del125763]

AFL Fantasy and AFL Supercoach Dabble Multi:

Rowbottom Over 84.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Nick Blakey Over 76.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Oliver Florent Over 71.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Chad Warner Over 103.5 Supercoach Points
Dylan Moore Over 92.5 Supercoach Points

Odds: $26.75 (0.50u)

The worry for the above bet? Possibly Ollie Florent getting subbed off. All players cleared those lines comfortably in their last game between the two sides, by 14 points or more.

Rowbottom Over 84.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Nick Blakey Over 76.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Oliver Florent Over 71.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Chad Warner Over 103.5 Supercoach Points
Dylan Moore Over 92.5 Supercoach Points
Braeden Campbell Over 12 Disposals

Odds: $42.40 (0.25u)

Campbell got 5 disposals in the last game from 10% Time on Ground. If he is the sub, Id still feel confident he can clear a line of 12 disposals.




Odds: $80 (0.25u)


Lloyd cleared this line by about 48 points in the last between these two sides. Am aware that this game will be played on a slightly wet ground but given the choice of under or over, Id go over on that line.

 

[kicksome]

 

[mozz23]

Mitchell playing funny buggers Hardwick named full back? hasn't the talk all pre season been Hardwick training as a forward and definite to play there ? I hope so!

Also Jordan is crazy good odds 15 plus $1.70 pb and 20 + 3.00... it's 1.08 and 1.33 15 at tab/b365 respectively.. should see plenty of time around ball/wing with Gulden out and was their best basically in practise match with 26 touches.

tailed 15 $1.70 PB

20+ is 3.85 at dabble have also had a go at that

 

[GROTTO]

In South Australia we prefer these songs

 

[BloodRet]

Justin Mcinerney AGS, 2 @2.50, 11 dabble

Cox mentioned pre season running through the middle and up forward more. Kicked 0.2 pre season game. He runs and runs will get a couple looks

 

[dontlimitme]

Justin Mcinerney AGS, 2 @2.50, 11 dabble

Cox mentioned pre season running through the middle and up forward more. Kicked 0.2 pre season game. He runs and runs will get a couple looks

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Braeden campbell played a good chunk on the half forward flank in one of the praccies and kicked 4 sausages against gws. Also had a couple of pings at the big sticks but only kicked 2 behinds against the suns.
2+ $4.75
3+ $14
4+ $51 pointsbet

Some dude on the Sydney board reckons Braeden looked and moved like a lifetime small forward during the praccy.

I also found some other guy on the Sydney board saying their new style is more turnover-and-spread centric.

This will suit the high half forwards who can get on the end of a few.

My research is all based on confirmation bias and I'm still on tilt from last season, so take with it grain of ...

but...

Here's the first official GOAL TRAIN of 2025.

 

[the_big_sav]

$10 bonus bet from sportsbet to use on afl
newcombe 20+
heeney 20+
d'ambrosio 20+
warner 20+
florent 15+
battle 15+
blakey 15+
sheldrick 15+
amarty ags
watson ags
moore ags
papley ags
ginnivan ags
sicily ags
hayward ags
heeney ags
@42.25

 

[toenail11]

Sb free hit
Chol,MacDonald, Papley,heeney, Hayward
1 each @5

Sic/hardwick/campbell/adams trains

Lfg lads

 

[dontlimitme]

Sb free hit
Chol,MacDonald, Papley,heeney, Hayward
1 each @5

Sic/hardwick/campbell/hanily trains

Lfg lads

 

[tangolikelama]

Back to losing money - lessssgo

Hayward / Chol / Moore / Campbell AGS
Warner / Day/ Newcombe / Heeney 20+

@8.50

 

[dontlimitme]

Back to losing money - lessssgo

Hayward / Chol / Moore / Campbell AGS
Warner / Day/ Newcombe / Heeney 20+

@8.50

 

[BloodRet]

Back to losing money - lessssgo

Hayward / Chol / Moore / Campbell AGS
Warner / Day/ Newcombe / Heeney 20+

@8.50

 

[Play On Advantage]

Sicily 2/3 @ 8.50/47* and Campbell 2/3/4 @ 4.75/15.80/66* trains

*boosted

 

[Del125763]

Odds of $159. In case it turns into a slop in the wet:



0.5u on it

 

[BloodRet]

Odds of $159. In case it turns into a slop in the wet:

View attachment 2242610

0.5u on it

Suns shining but GL