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Rowell and Anderson affected by Petracca maybe?
Otherwise solid team. Love it.
Thats the risk with those two but Gold Coasts first 6 games are obscenely easily. They both averaged +20 against their first 6 opponents vs what they're priced at

Can't see the point of Ridley, he's already done a hammy in preseason.

Isn't Bryan unlikely for R1?

Is Bruhn even in Geelong's best team?

Ridley I have replacements lined up but he's so underpriced that if he gets 3-4 price movements it's worth it. Bryan should play R1 from what I'm hearing if not can consider just Reidy if he plays.

Bruhn yes should be in their best team and is seriously underpriced but if he's not named I'll swap structure
 
Well this is certainly a team.

View attachment 2501935

$531K in le puswah
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With 10 teams on R0, and any premo you take on R0 copping about a 40-50 points in the round they are missing (meaning they are about 35k overpriced for the first 8 rounds, after which you're getting more value on premos)

Seems like theres less choice than I've ever seen before at the top end. Unless you think one of the above 550k's is going to put 10 points on their avg in the first 10 weeks. Maybe the GC lads can

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With 10 teams on R0, and any premo you take on R0 copping about a 40-50 points in the round they are missing (meaning they are about 35k overpriced for the first 8 rounds, after which you're getting more value on premos)

Seems like theres less choice than I've ever seen before at the top end. Unless you think one of the above 550k's is going to put 10 points on their avg in the first 10 weeks. Maybe the GC lads can

View attachment 2502357
It’s slim pickings for premos without the double bye. Looking at taking one premo from each of the early bye rounds.

R2 - Naicos, think he’s slightly underpriced.
R3 - Maybe Bont so I don’t have to grab him later or Gulden, think he’s slightly underpriced also.
R4 - Like Whitfield, NAS, Sinclair and keen on Callaghan but likely upgrade into him.
 
Thats the risk with those two but Gold Coasts first 6 games are obscenely easily. They both averaged +20 against their first 6 opponents vs what they're priced at



Ridley I have replacements lined up but he's so underpriced that if he gets 3-4 price movements it's worth it. Bryan should play R1 from what I'm hearing if not can consider just Reidy if he plays.

Bruhn yes should be in their best team and is seriously underpriced but if he's not named I'll swap structure

Bruhn will 100 % be in our best 23. My only question mark is on his conditioning running out games with that long out and how it affects his scoring but at that price im taking him.
 

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It’s slim pickings for premos without the double bye. Looking at taking one premo from each of the early bye rounds.

R2 - Naicos, think he’s slightly underpriced.
R3 - Maybe Bont so I don’t have to grab him later or Gulden, think he’s slightly underpriced also.
R4 - Like Whitfield, NAS, Sinclair and keen on Callaghan but likely upgrade into him.
Even Just comparing Calla and Serong

Calla is already priced 6.2 ppg above Serong, but if we average out the ~115 from Calla to the ~60 of your 19th, you lose 55 there, so you need that 55 spread over 8 weeks, about 7ppg.

Basically by picking Calla over Serong you are backing him to be about 13 ppg better (week 1-8). It's a call you can make but that seems a lot riskier than just taking the safe bet
 
Even Just comparing Calla and Serong

Calla is already priced 6.2 ppg above Serong, but if we average out the ~115 from Calla to the ~60 of your 19th, you lose 55 there, so you need that 55 spread over 8 weeks, about 7ppg.

Basically by picking Calla over Serong you are backing him to be about 13 ppg better (week 1-8). It's a call you can make but that seems a lot riskier than just taking the safe bet
Which is why leaning towards Calla as an upgrade target and until Serong shows he can handle a tag I won’t pick him.

From those I listed with the round 4 bye I’m thinking Whitfield is the least risky which is wild given his injury history.
 
Bruhn will 100 % be in our best 23. My only question mark is on his conditioning running out games with that long out and how it affects his scoring but at that price im taking him.
You have added Smith and Worpel since he hurt his finger and missed a whole year. And he wasn't very good anyway. Smith/Holmes/Atkins/Worpel then Bruhn? So 5th at best.
 

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For a team with over 500k in the bank, i think its fairly strong.

View attachment 2502512
But you essentially start with less trades as you need to do more upgrades through the year.

If you used that $500k to turn, for example, Langford into Daicos/Butters/Rowell and Treloar or JdG into Petracca you are getting two players everyone will have at the cost of no trades.

Sure if you wait you can pick off the "right" option but you are burning trades to catch up to the teams that started more premo's.
 
I think Bryan will be quite popular as R2 if he plays Round 1.
No ****ing around in the ruck line, so Flex for me. He's this years Flynn.

If he's not ready round 1 you could probably start whichever ruck Essendon play then downgrade to him on the bubble.
 
But you essentially start with less trades as you need to do more upgrades through the year.

If you used that $500k to turn, for example, Langford until Daicos/Butters/Rowell and Treloar or JdG into Petracca you are getting two players everyone will have at the cost of no trades.

Sure if you wait you can pick off the "right" option but you are burning trades to catch up to the teams that started more premo's.
I guess im trialing the idea that apart from about 5 guns i picked, every player will score considerably above their price point. Also, if you think about it, its really only starting 1 trade behind as i have a rookie while everyone else has a premium. With the extra cash gen from that rookie, the hope is that i 'get that trade back'. May not work, but it could.
 
I guess im trialing the idea that apart from about 5 guns i picked, every player will score considerably above their price point. Also, if you think about it, its really only starting 1 trade behind as i have a rookie while everyone else has a premium. With the extra cash gen from that rookie, the hope is that i 'get that trade back'. May not work, but it could.

Something I’ve done the past few years with good early season success is to load up on midpricers and combine rookie corrections and upgrade trades.

You’re going to burn 4-6 trades the opening few weeks on corrections. If those 6 trades include 3 upgrades, 3 gun rookies and you nail 2 midpricers that tends to put you in front of the curve
 
You have added Smith and Worpel since he hurt his finger and missed a whole year. And he wasn't very good anyway. Smith/Holmes/Atkins/Worpel then Bruhn? So 5th at best.

Smith plays a completely different role as an outside runner as does max Holmes. The finals showed very much that we need an inside mid which is why we had guys like mullin and Bowes pinch hitting in there and with respect tanner is much better than them. Our only better inside mid than him is atkins at 30 and thats about it. Plenty of room for tanner and worpel. The club rate him and he will be best 23. My only question is around the endurance and what impact that will have on his scoring.
 

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