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AFL Round 4 Odds

  • Thread starter Thread starter Gets!
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Have had a horrible start to the Footy punt but am confident of turning it around this week.

Bulldogs half time/full time double at $1.80- Richmond are struggling at the moment and surely the Dogs have to improve from their last 2 performances, the key is stopping Richardson do that and they win easily.

Collingwood at $1.88 looks good- Playing some reasonable football at the moment. I think Port will struggle to kick a big enough score.

Brisbane -19.5 at $1.90- Kangaroos are pathetic, the slowest team ever to play VFL/AFL they have no leg speed a part from 3 guys. No structure up forward, no one to stop Brown.

Essendon at $2.20 looks alright with Lucas and Lloyd in good form and with the Saints weakness down back i think they can kick a big enough score to win. Gehrig out is a massive loss. If Michael and Fletcher can keep Koschitzke and Riewoldt to 3 goals each i think that will be good enough for Essendon to win.
 
Brisbane -19.5 at $1.90- Kangaroos are pathetic, the slowest team ever to play VFL/AFL they have no leg speed a part from 3 guys. No structure up forward, no one to stop Brown.
They are painful to watch at the moment the Roos. Losing Thompson ****ed them big time. That said, they've been trying very hard. I'm actually thinking of taking them at the points, because they will try and do what they did last week against the Hawks and it could be a low-scoring game.

Essendon v St Kilda is a tough one to pick. I think the Saints have more class at the moment but remember the Blues kind of own the Bombers in the past few years (apart from that 99 point result), so that might be part of why they lost. So it will be a battle of the big forwards, we won't be able to exploit the Bombers in height like we did with the Doggies.

Adelaide drifting out to 1.83, even better value.
 
Deledio 1.90 vs Gilbee 1.80 most disposals...Gilbee lookin good at those odds. Also an eight-player most disposals market:

Boyd $5.25
Foley 4.50
Hargrave 8
Higgins 7
Kane Johnson 5.50
McMahon 6
Newman 8
Tambling 7.50

Boyd and Foley smash the rest of that group, Foley looks nice at 4.50
 
Taking a punt on Melbourne at $2.62. No real reason, just think they're over the odds against a Freo team coming off a derby, no Longmuir and at the MCG.

A bit of fire from the Dees would be nice.
I definitely think they are a bit over the odds but what I saw last week against the Cats was pathetic, they have no structure without Neitz and Robbo. Rivers is back this week, so is Pickett, but I can't pick the Dees with confidence.

Then again, remember the golden rule: whenever Freo are favourites, they crumble :)
 

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Deledio 1.90 vs Gilbee 1.80 most disposals...Gilbee lookin good at those odds. Also an eight-player most disposals market:

Boyd $5.25
Foley 4.50
Hargrave 8
Higgins 7
Kane Johnson 5.50
McMahon 6
Newman 8
Tambling 7.50

Boyd and Foley smash the rest of that group, Foley looks nice at 4.50

If Cross doesn't come up, Boyd's odds will look even better.
 
Deledio 1.90 vs Gilbee 1.80 most disposals...Gilbee lookin good at those odds. Also an eight-player most disposals market:

Boyd $5.25
Foley 4.50
Hargrave 8
Higgins 7
Kane Johnson 5.50
McMahon 6
Newman 8
Tambling 7.50

Boyd and Foley smash the rest of that group, Foley looks nice at 4.50

There is absolutely no value in this market at all. If you are betting on this all I can say is good luck beating a 129% book.
 
Deledio 1.90 vs Gilbee 1.80 most disposals...Gilbee lookin good at those odds. Also an eight-player most disposals market:

Boyd $5.25
Foley 4.50
Hargrave 8
Higgins 7
Kane Johnson 5.50
McMahon 6
Newman 8
Tambling 7.50

Boyd and Foley smash the rest of that group, Foley looks nice at 4.50

Is this on TAB Sportsbet?
I`ll be having McMahon if the $6 is on offer when I get there tonight. Has beaten Boyd every week so far
 

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Had $200 on the Dogs outright, and also $100 on them to win the opening quarter.

Think the Adelaide game is the only other game I will touch this weekend.
 
Had $200 on the Dogs outright, and also $100 on them to win the opening quarter.

Think the Adelaide game is the only other game I will touch this weekend.

Had 200 on dogs @ 2.25 at 39.5 or under.Was really tensed in the last few mintues when cooney kicked a goal and dogs jumped to a 44 point lead :D
 
Very happy that I didn't take the Dogs over 39.5.

Had 100 on them outright, and another 20 over 15.5.

Also had a tenner on them to lead by between 25 and 36 at half time. Very surprised it came up :thumbsu:
 
Had 200 on dogs @ 2.25 at 39.5 or under.Was really tensed in the last few mintues when cooney kicked a goal and dogs jumped to a 44 point lead :D

Well Done TP!

Oh and with regards to the Adelaide game...when I posted that I completely forgot about Truck. If he plays I will put $300 on them. If he doesn't, I will just watch the game without having to worry about a double whammy if we lost ;)
 

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