A 1 year draft penalty is a 1 year penalty. A 4 year penalty is a 4 year penalty. Don't listen the Carlton excuses for their ineptitude. They still got plenty of number 1 picks.banned from the draft for four years would ruin the club on field for 15 years imo, all up its a 20 year punishment... that'd be a VERY hard pill to swallow.
I think they will lose their all their 1st and 2nd round draft picks for the next 2 years
If you don't get the draft picks your ladder position warrants this year you most likely don't improve and you get them next year so you are 1 year behind in a rebuild. If you go and get the likes of McKernan and then have to tank to get more early picks then you will look bad for longer but it is a function of management not draft penalities. If you get draft penalties while near the top of the ladder it will cause you even less longer term pain.
That said, I think your guess at penalties for Adelaide is about right.











