Opinion Finals Calculation

[Equus]

I stumbled across a fantastic blog by a mad keen Richmond supporter who lives in Sydney. The best thing about it is that he provides a methodical, logical and calculated route on how to play finals and what has to fall into place to attain that special 13 wins.

He treats the season like the US Electoral campaign. And it is a fantastic read with a great review at the end of each game.

This is a sample of what he provides - Round 1 2013

13 wins seems to be the AFL’s equivalent of 270 electoral votes. Teams who can manage to find 13 wins should get a seat at the table in September.
Finding 13 wins, which allows only 9 losses (Richmond lost six by less than 13 points last year), is where it gets hard. I’ve got four clear standout teams in the competition (Hawthorn, Sydney, West Coast and Collingwood), if Richmond were to lose to each of them that only allows five more. Including the two games against Carlton and the game in god forsaken Cairns.
My attempt at how Richmond can get to the magical 13 figure is below:
Wins:

• One of the two matches against Carlton
• Two against St Kilda
• Two against Footscray
• One of the two matches against Essendon
• The games against Brisbane, GWS, Melbourne, Gold Coast and Port
• Two of the six games (in Melbourne) against Collingwood, Geelong, Hawthorn, Fremantle, Adelaide and North Melbourne

Losses:

• West Coast, Fremantle and Sydney away.

Preferred results of the next round:
Adelaide vs Essendon
Fremantle vs West Coast
Footscray vs Brisbane
GWS vs Sydney
Gold Coast vs St Kilda
Melbourne vs Port (doesn’t matter)
North Melbourne vs Collingwood
Hawthorn vs Geelong

If you like more of that, check out his blog - http://sjhross.com/2013/04/

 

[Nuffers]

Awesome stuff

 

[Put a Lids on it]

I like it, I think the cats game is 50/50 being at the G. Expect a win this time.

 

[nut]

My expections aren't making finals now. It's top 4

 

[SA TIGER]

We will be perfectly placed if we are placed at 4 wins from the first 6 rounds.
So far so good, but it is imperative to win at least one of the next three matches againbst more difficult opposition.
Then we have Port at AAMI in R7, not an easy one anymore!

 

[Pasquali]

I stumbled across a fantastic blog by a mad keen Richmond supporter who lives in Sydney. The best thing about it is that he provides a methodical, logical and calculated route on how to play finals and what has to fall into place to attain that special 13 wins.

He treats the season like the US Electoral campaign. And it is a fantastic read with a great review at the end of each game.

This is a sample of what he provides - Round 1 2013



If you like more of that, check out his blog - http://sjhross.com/2013/04/

I always get in trouble for the early crow.. whether it be calling our horse 100m from the winning post or calling the Tigers as Top 8 side.. Unless the wheels fall off, we will play finals. Chocco is doing wonderful things for this club and we now have a list which goes down to having people like Nahas, Aaron Edwards, Griffiths, Astbury, Foley, Vlaustin and White missing from the starting 22....

 

["The Roar Is Back"]

Beauty a ladder predictor thread 3 rounds in .

 

[tugga]

I can't respect the opinion of someone who calls a club Footscray when they haven't been Footscray for more than 15 years.

 

[tugga]

Actually, it's not a bad blog.

 

[_Wang_]

My expections aren't making finals now. It's top 4

THE ****ING LID IS OFF NUT MY MAN.. Its time to dust off that tigers tea towel and bring it to games!!

 

[nut]

THE ******* LID IS OFF NUT MY MAN.. Its time to dust off that tigers tea towel and bring it to games!!

The platipus might get a gig as well.....LMAO

 

[_Wang_]

The platipus might get a gig as well.....LMAO

Hahaah lmaoo

 

[Pounce]

That blog isn't a bad read. I like the different way he thinks about Richmond making finals.

 

[Equus]

Yeah. It's quite methodical adn considers a lot of scenarios.

 

[jesterx]

I can't respect the opinion of someone who calls a club Footscray when they haven't been Footscray for more than 15 years.

Actually, it's not a bad blog.

world's quickest turn around

 

[JR#8]

I follow him on twitter. Good poster.

 

[Dusty Cotch]

Yeah great.... but you needed 14 wins to get in last year i wont relax until we get another 11.

 

[Harmichael]

I can't respect the opinion of someone who calls a club Footscray when they haven't been Footscray for more than 15 years.

Why not? It's their real name. No such suburb as "Western".

 

[Handsuper47]

Yeah great.... but you needed 14 wins to get in last year i wont relax until we get another 11.

3 down, so far so good! Just keep plucking away one week at a time.

 

[3rdManUp]

Why not? It's their real name. No such suburb as "Western".

Agreed, always be Footscray to me. Why did they change it in the first place? If they did it for marketing purposes to have a broader appeal then to me, that equates to selling part of your soul.

Imagine if we became the Eastern Tigers? it wouldn't be the same

 

[DerpWerls]

If you are a punter and still not convinced we will get there, we are $3.40 to miss the top 8.

 

[tugga]

world's quickest turn around

Yes, I actually started reading it rather than potting it and was pleasantly surprised. Might have even been quicker than Deledio's goal on sunday.