Game Day Freo v Blues - Round 16 2015

[Grape Bear]

they are called upsets because those games aren't 50/50, if it was equal pegging once a game starts the term upset would never be used.

Mate. Stop trying to learn math off the bookies. It doesn't matter what the BETTING odds are. In the real world, it's just simple probablity.

Two teams contesting one game. Therefore, either team can have one of two outcomes, they'll either win or lose. A one in two chance of winning or losing. (of course a draw is a possible result, so maybe I should say 1 in 3, but it happens so rarely I'm not even going to include that for simplicity of argument).

 

[meima]

Mate I remember back in the 80's when the Hawks were in every grand final, around this time of the year they would scratch out a few ugly wins against bottom sides, the Eagles of the early nineties did the same. I'm not saying we are as good as those sides but it doesn't mean we need to start slitting our wrists just yet. No doubt Hawthorn are the team to beat but we probably knew that at the beginning of the year. We only need to beat them once.

Mate the team you mention all got premiership . RTB Is great but occasionally need to learn new stuff and examine why so close yet so far with st kilda and freo.

 

[Banker]

Banker i respect the pessimism, we have looked like the worst tp of the ladder side in years BUT if you isolate this game, to me it looks like we are on the up. We def played better than the bris win and of course the hawks loss. Some important piecesof the puzzle played nicely today (mayne, sandi, pav, mundy, hill).

Kids arent gonna win us a flag this year its those guys playing well that ounts for eeverything

Still feel we can bring on one kid.

Look at Subans output it's horrible and costly. Surely if Blakely can get 10 disposals it will be better.

 

[Lach72]

He´s a defensive forward. His job is to lock the ball in the forward 50 so he had to grab it and bring it to ground and hope that a pack formed.

Lol

 

[Freeeoo]

Mate the team you mention all got premiership . RTB Is great but occasionally need to learn new stuff and examine why so close yet so far with st kilda and freo.

Yes those teams won flags, that's my point....

 

[Reginald Perrin]

Mate. Stop trying to learn math off the bookies. It doesn't matter what the BETTING odds are. In the real world, it's just simple probablity.

Two teams contesting one game. Therefore, either team can have one of two outcomes, they'll either win or lose. A one in two chance of winning or losing. (of course a draw is a possible result, so maybe I should say 1 in 3, but it happens so rarely I'm not even going to include that for simplicity of argument).

Might I respectfully suggest that applying math to footy is ridonculous. If you think Hawthon V Brisbane right now would be a 50/50 contest, that's madness.

 

[Grape Bear]

Might I respectfully suggest that applying math to footy is ridonculous. If you think Hawthon V Brisbane right now would be a 50/50 contest, that's madness.

Hahaha, I am just going straight logic ignoring form. Betting logic is completely different.

Going on straight logic means outcomes like Essendon beating Hawthorn can apply to any game at any given time.

 

[Mudd]

Might I respectfully suggest that applying math to footy is ridonculous. If you think Hawthon V Brisbane right now would be a 50/50 contest, that's madness.

are you suggesting that if hawthorn vs brisbane played 10 times that brisbane wouldn't win 5 of them?

 

[meima]

Might I respectfully suggest that applying math to footy is ridonculous. If you think Hawthon V Brisbane right now would be a 50/50 contest, that's madness.

Dont be cruel giving people eat sour grape. Remember we are 13-2

 

[Grape Bear]

Oh my God, did no one teach probablity in school?

 

[Mudd]

Dont be cruel giving people eat sour grape. Remember we are 13-2

i'm still not sure if you are a troll

 

[Grape Bear]

Dont be cruel giving people eat sour grape. Remember we are 13-2

Are you even old enough to post?

 

[holy diver]

Oh my God, did no one teach probablity in school?

There is no room for probability when one can frame an argument any way they want to..

ie but the bookies say...

or the way this game will be represented in the media (see the angle the commentators call a game).

 

[Ragtooth]

I'd hate to see how people would react if we were not ontop of the ladder.

I'm surprised we actually kicked close to 100 points! The game didn't feel like it haha. Here hoping that it was a step in the right direction to get out of the rut!

 

[holy diver]

..also when you consider the O'Reilly trade you'll realise we are miles in front of Carlton due to the fact we've set them backwards for about 15 years so far.... and that's with them trading in Judd.

 

[Mudd]

I'd hate to see how people would react if we were not ontop of the ladder.

interesting point, reactions would probably be less drastic if we were currently sitting mid table.

i think what is making people frustrated is how far off we are our early season form.

 

[Reginald Perrin]

are you suggesting that if hawthorn vs brisbane played 10 times that brisbane wouldn't win 5 of them?

Shocking news isn't it?

 

[Reginald Perrin]

Dont be cruel giving people eat sour grape. Remember we are 13-2

You really should try to keep this persona consistent. Your grasp of English ebbs and flows like the vomit on the floor of the bus back from a Swan River cruise.

 

[meima]

You really should try to keep this persona consistent. Your grasp of English ebbs and flows like the vomit on the floor of the bus back from a Swan River cruise.

Yes my English footy professor , thanks for your constructive criticisms.