Danger Mouse
Club Legend
Gold Coast
Race 1 - Mister Chequebook - 2 starts ago led the 3 wide line, home in 29.0. Last sstart circled around into the death and got nailed right on the line by the horse trailing him Scarecrow in 30.0. Good enough to go very close here. Nothings running any better on form.
Race 2 - Seymour Blue Jean - Fascinating race! I went into detail, then deleted it, changed my selection to Zane Patrick then deleted it and now i'm back to Jeremiah Shannon and now i'm not. This race i have put a heap of thought into. Mainly thinking about horses who run fast mile rates, but slower last halves. The best horses can do it, like I Am Sam for example, poured the speed on the whole way, beaten in a 30.0 final split not long ago in unreal time. Anyway Jeremiah Shannon 3 starts ago, rated 1.57.3, out in 27.5, home in 29.5 beaten 1m. Then led the 3 wide line beaten 10m in a 27.8, so about 28.5? Then again rated a fast mile rate 1.56.8 never stopping for air, home in 28.6 beaten 6m. Now his closing sectionals are not the best when leading but i'm not going on that, i'm going on the overall mile rate which is very quick. Zane Patrick and Aussie Patch both rated around 28.4 last start on the way home, Zane Patrick had no luck last start, went to the line untouched. Seymour Blue Jean which might go right under the rader beaten 32m in 28.4, sounds bad right? The mile rate was 1.58.4, home 28.4 over the 2100 and he was first up. Very quick run throughout, including the lead time. Entitled to drop out first up, no other horse in this race would have finished much closer! Previous form before the spell has him breaking 29 on the run home fequently. When he resumed from a spell last time in work, he was running home in 28s.
So it's hard to know what to do here so i'm going to go for the value. I could go Jeremiah Shannon, Zane Patrick, Aussie Patch or Seymour Blue Jean very easily. Throw a dart at the 4!
Seymour Blue Jean because i believe he will be skipped by most people. Besides he should pay huge! Is he a good thing? Certainly not but he will be value, the key to making money!
Race 3 - Jimmy Ultimate/Redfern Boy - I hate this race, very, very even field. Jimmy Ultimate is the best of them and Redfern Boy could be a big blowout if he gets a trail into the race which is very likely as he'll ease back and hopefully follow Jimmy Ultimate everywhere.
Race 4 - Shandor Beach - Sat 4 back on the rails, leader was home in 28.7. Was spotting him a good 20m, beaten 14m, made some ground. Not overly confident but he could pay 50.00
... The Victorian runner, Tommy Knocker is prolly the one to beat.
Race 5 - Maid Easy - Sat 3 back on the fence, got out, stormed home, 28.8. Ran around say 28? Good enough for me! Runs her best races driven freezing cold, won't be overly excited if shes hunted out of the gate. Just has to slot in and take a sit on whoever wants the death which will put her in great striking distance with her whirlwind finish.
Race 6 - Ta Nova Scotia - Led, went very quickly in front, only home in 31.7 but the mile rate was good. If he finds the front the front again he'll give a great site. Count Charmez ran a good last half when leading last start, todays hes off the 30m, i'll wait and see him do it from behind before i commit to him.
Race 7 - Mountain Rainbow - Sat last, swept over the top of Miss Bulle in 28.9. I'm sooooooooooooooooooooooooo confident he can reel these in. Only 7 horse field which really suits him right down to the ground, you know he'll be thundering home! If he pays at least 2.00, i reckon it's value. I really believe hes an odds on shot here. Needs to be driven cold, no death seat for the love of god! Just sit back, then unleash hell on them at the 400m! Okay i'm getting ahead of myself again! Further looking at the field. Miss Bulle should slot in right behind the leader and sprint lane! Hmmm, damn it! There goes my nearly good thing! Oh well, he'll still go mighty close anyway, besides i'm not betting on draws!
Race 8 - Monty Rules looks a certainty but yes i know there are no certainties! Last 2 runs in far, far harder class. 3 runs back against similar crap, sat last, Pulled 4 wide spotting the leaders 16m, won in 29.6. Ran around 28.3? I expect this to win and win well.
Race 1 - Mister Chequebook - 2 starts ago led the 3 wide line, home in 29.0. Last sstart circled around into the death and got nailed right on the line by the horse trailing him Scarecrow in 30.0. Good enough to go very close here. Nothings running any better on form.
Race 2 - Seymour Blue Jean - Fascinating race! I went into detail, then deleted it, changed my selection to Zane Patrick then deleted it and now i'm back to Jeremiah Shannon and now i'm not. This race i have put a heap of thought into. Mainly thinking about horses who run fast mile rates, but slower last halves. The best horses can do it, like I Am Sam for example, poured the speed on the whole way, beaten in a 30.0 final split not long ago in unreal time. Anyway Jeremiah Shannon 3 starts ago, rated 1.57.3, out in 27.5, home in 29.5 beaten 1m. Then led the 3 wide line beaten 10m in a 27.8, so about 28.5? Then again rated a fast mile rate 1.56.8 never stopping for air, home in 28.6 beaten 6m. Now his closing sectionals are not the best when leading but i'm not going on that, i'm going on the overall mile rate which is very quick. Zane Patrick and Aussie Patch both rated around 28.4 last start on the way home, Zane Patrick had no luck last start, went to the line untouched. Seymour Blue Jean which might go right under the rader beaten 32m in 28.4, sounds bad right? The mile rate was 1.58.4, home 28.4 over the 2100 and he was first up. Very quick run throughout, including the lead time. Entitled to drop out first up, no other horse in this race would have finished much closer! Previous form before the spell has him breaking 29 on the run home fequently. When he resumed from a spell last time in work, he was running home in 28s.
So it's hard to know what to do here so i'm going to go for the value. I could go Jeremiah Shannon, Zane Patrick, Aussie Patch or Seymour Blue Jean very easily. Throw a dart at the 4!
Seymour Blue Jean because i believe he will be skipped by most people. Besides he should pay huge! Is he a good thing? Certainly not but he will be value, the key to making money!
Race 3 - Jimmy Ultimate/Redfern Boy - I hate this race, very, very even field. Jimmy Ultimate is the best of them and Redfern Boy could be a big blowout if he gets a trail into the race which is very likely as he'll ease back and hopefully follow Jimmy Ultimate everywhere.
Race 4 - Shandor Beach - Sat 4 back on the rails, leader was home in 28.7. Was spotting him a good 20m, beaten 14m, made some ground. Not overly confident but he could pay 50.00
... The Victorian runner, Tommy Knocker is prolly the one to beat.Race 5 - Maid Easy - Sat 3 back on the fence, got out, stormed home, 28.8. Ran around say 28? Good enough for me! Runs her best races driven freezing cold, won't be overly excited if shes hunted out of the gate. Just has to slot in and take a sit on whoever wants the death which will put her in great striking distance with her whirlwind finish.
Race 6 - Ta Nova Scotia - Led, went very quickly in front, only home in 31.7 but the mile rate was good. If he finds the front the front again he'll give a great site. Count Charmez ran a good last half when leading last start, todays hes off the 30m, i'll wait and see him do it from behind before i commit to him.
Race 7 - Mountain Rainbow - Sat last, swept over the top of Miss Bulle in 28.9. I'm sooooooooooooooooooooooooo confident he can reel these in. Only 7 horse field which really suits him right down to the ground, you know he'll be thundering home! If he pays at least 2.00, i reckon it's value. I really believe hes an odds on shot here. Needs to be driven cold, no death seat for the love of god! Just sit back, then unleash hell on them at the 400m! Okay i'm getting ahead of myself again! Further looking at the field. Miss Bulle should slot in right behind the leader and sprint lane! Hmmm, damn it! There goes my nearly good thing! Oh well, he'll still go mighty close anyway, besides i'm not betting on draws!
Race 8 - Monty Rules looks a certainty but yes i know there are no certainties! Last 2 runs in far, far harder class. 3 runs back against similar crap, sat last, Pulled 4 wide spotting the leaders 16m, won in 29.6. Ran around 28.3? I expect this to win and win well.
