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Hot Tip For NBA

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Phil McCreviss

Norm Smith Medallist
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Guys,

I very rarely post on here as I have my own tipping website but here is a hot tip for today:

NBA
Indiana @ Washington - total game points under 202. Both teams have been ordinary on the offensive side this year.

Vegas haven't adjusted to these sides at all. Good value opportunity for those interested
 

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Nice tip phil.. pity you didn't tell us about his earlier :p. I have 17 (that I won from betting on Sachin to top score in the cricket). And I have nothing to do with it :(. :confused:
 
Sorry mate I have a subscription service and it wouldnt be fair if I kept posting tips for free on here when customers are paying. I may do it occasionally if I see some real value in the odd 1 or 2 bets.:thumbsu:
 
Suns vs Bulls today at over 201 pts looks ok. Both are high scoring teams.

Have you watched Chicago this year? One of the leagues worst FG% shooting teams, worst FT% (with Big Ben what do you expect?) and no intensity on the boards. Coupled with the fact that Phoenix have only cracked the 100 point mark on a couple of occasions, don't expect this to be a shootout. Vegas have been lean on the line for a very good reason.;)
 
Have you watched Chicago this year? One of the leagues worst FG% shooting teams, worst FT% (with Big Ben what do you expect?) and no intensity on the boards. Coupled with the fact that Phoenix have only cracked the 100 point mark on a couple of occasions, don't expect this to be a shootout. Vegas have been lean on the line for a very good reason.;)

It's not a good idea to look at Chicago's early start, all their main guys are playing WELL below their true numbers. It's only a matter of time before they rebound. It's the same team from last year, and teams just don't get that much worse with the same personnel.

I'd be more concerned about Phoenix. I've watched them a couple of times, and they look average. Grant Hill is struggling and Amare keeps getting in foul trouble at the C position. Plus Bell is out.

I definitely think there's some value in taking Chicago today.
 
It's not a good idea to look at Chicago's early start, all their main guys are playing WELL below their true numbers. It's only a matter of time before they rebound. It's the same team from last year, and teams just don't get that much worse with the same personnel.

I'd be more concerned about Phoenix. I've watched them a couple of times, and they look average. Grant Hill is struggling and Amare keeps getting in foul trouble at the C position. Plus Bell is out.

I definitely think there's some value in taking Chicago today.

No value in Chicago today as their road trips to the West Coast have historically been terrible. 2 from 10 record ATS from my calculations.
 
No value in Chicago today as their road trips to the West Coast have historically been terrible. 2 from 10 record ATS from my calculations.
It's even worse. The Bulls have struggled mightily on their annual November trip - which occurs when the circus comes to the United Center - compiling a 5-47 record since Michael Jordan left the team in 1998.
 

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It's even worse. The Bulls have struggled mightily on their annual November trip - which occurs when the circus comes to the United Center - compiling a 5-47 record since Michael Jordan left the team in 1998.

Collapsed in the last quarter, but hung with Phoenix for most of the game.

Their record post-Jordan isn't really relevant btw, since that was a different team. Last year's team had a fantastic point differential, which is a key indicator, as well as great perimiter defense, which matches up well against Phoenix.

Last year they lost by 1 point on a Barbosa 3 at home, and beat Phoenix by 13 @ Phoenix.

I'd be on the look-out for value on Chicago in the next couple of weeks whilst their record is still poor.
 
Collapsed in the last quarter, but hung with Phoenix for most of the game.

Their record post-Jordan isn't really relevant btw, since that was a different team. Last year's team had a fantastic point differential, which is a key indicator, as well as great perimiter defense, which matches up well against Phoenix.
Agreed in that it has little influence over future results with different sets of circumstances at play, but still a damning stat.
I'd be on the look-out for value on Chicago in the next couple of weeks whilst their record is still poor.
Yup, they're better than their record. Tough road trip to work through though.
congrats on the tip despite the knockers. ;)
Cheers. I had a decent collect.:)
 
One of the games i like today is Miami and Boston Under 184.5. With Boston being one of the best defensive teams and Miami one of the worst offensive teams, i can see Miami only managing about 60 points for the game.
 

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One of the games i like today is Miami and Boston Under 184.5. With Boston being one of the best defensive teams and Miami one of the worst offensive teams, i can see Miami only managing about 60 points for the game.

I am not on that game but any team that is coming off a run like the Heat will play high tempo to try and get their rhythm back. As a over and under bettor its tough to know which way this will go - if Heat get in to a zone then they will likely cover that line. It seems a bit too lean for me. Best of luck if you get on.:thumbsu:
 
I cant figure Bulls out so im gonna stay away until they start playing some consistent ball. Pretty lucky that over bet against PHX won, Bulls are the 3rd worst scoring team in the league so far this year.
 
One of the games i like today is Miami and Boston Under 184.5. With Boston being one of the best defensive teams and Miami one of the worst offensive teams, i can see Miami only managing about 60 points for the game.

Probably sweated out that last couple of minutes

183 :thumbsu:
 

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