Ipl 3

[Ill Chicken]

Finally one of the bookies (Sportsbet) has a market up on the leading run scorers.

Last year's winner Hayden is at 21 (he was 23 last year) and while he maybe getting on, he is a complete player and worth a bet. Again I would only be looking at the top three bats from each team as there is only limited opportunity for the middle order.

Along with Hayden, I would look at Warner, Dilshan, De Villiers (generally bats at 4), Gambhir, Raina and R. Sharma.Throw Tendulkar in as a saver.

 

[adii_7]

hodge..

 

[Ill Chicken]

The quality of batsmen in the top order that he has to compete with, would require a standout performance from Hodge.

http://stats.cricinfo.com/ipl/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=3519;type=tournament

http://stats.cricinfo.com/ipl2009/e...most_runs_career.html?id=4801;type=tournament

 

[Ferris_rules]

Finally one of the bookies (Sportsbet) has a market up on the leading run scorers.

Last year's winner Hayden is at 21 (he was 23 last year) and while he maybe getting on, he is a complete player and worth a bet. Again I would only be looking at the top three bats from each team as there is only limited opportunity for the middle order.

Along with Hayden, I would look at Warner, Dilshan, De Villiers (generally bats at 4), Gambhir, Raina and R. Sharma.Throw Tendulkar in as a saver.

I wouldnt include Tendulkar this isnt his forte this kind of cricket!

Sehwag should do well IMO. Gambhir has been injured of late.

Raina a chance unlikely for Rohit Sharma to feature.

Dilshan would be a good bet too.

There is just way too many options the mind boggles lol.

 

[Ill Chicken]

I'd only place Tendulkar in because of his recent form.

Sehwag and Gilchrist I have over looked because while they are able to play a standout innings, they aren't likely to consistently produce starts throughout the tournament.

Looking at the teams a bit closer now, I'd probably stay away from Gambhir and only go with Warner/De Villiers. Dehli have a reason top order, so there should be a fair competition for runs.

 

[Ferris_rules]

I'd only place Tendulkar in because of his recent form.

Sehwag and Gilchrist I have over looked because while they are able to play a standout innings, they aren't likely to consistently produce starts throughout the tournament.

Looking at the teams a bit closer now, I'd probably stay away from Gambhir and only go with Warner/De Villiers. Dehli have a reason top order, so there should be a fair competition for runs.

From an Indian cricket perspective the IPL should have occurred when Sachin was in his early to mid 20's where he had the ability to play regular explosive cricket of this nature. Injuries and age suggest to play every ball with explosive power is not something he can sustain. Then again in IPL batting for about 5 overs is enough to do damage.

Although his 175 score against us suggests there is a lot of petrol in the tank similarly with the 200.

Which by the way I rate the 175 more so than the 200. Simply because of the situation at hand and the explosive nature of that innings.

 

[Notorious_29]

$10 each on Sehwag and Warner.

 

[Ill Chicken]

Sportingbet have followed up with a market but only for the teams so far. They have leading runs/wickets for each team and leading wicket taker. I assume leading run scorer market will be up for them shortly as well.

Shaun Tait is at 10's, which is ridiculously short if you ask me.

 

[Ferris_rules]

Sportingbet have followed up with a market but only for the teams so far. They have leading runs/wickets for each team and leading wicket taker. I assume leading run scorer market will be up for them shortly as well.

Shaun Tait is at 10's, which is ridiculously short if you ask me.

hmmm remember this is Indian pitches, Tait may indeed struggle.

The pitches will be tailored for big scores. I think the spinners may surprise.

May have a look at Kumble or Harbhajan.

Vettori as a smokey too......

 

[AhSteveSteve27]

This is a tournament where I feel some kind of strategy could go pretty well, maybe a blind underdog/favourite thing would go alright.

 

[Ill Chicken]

hodge..

Hodge wouldn't be a bad bet in the Australian Only Most Runs. He is at $8 in the Sportingbet market.

 

[Ill Chicken]

Probably one bloke worth having in there as well is Eoin Morgan, he is a roughy but seriously has the talent there. As long as he doesn't get called up for test selection and depending on his county, he is pretty good value at 41/51.

 

[AhSteveSteve27]

Dilshan and de Villiers are definitely value. With White's form of late, he should get more starts for Bangalore this time around, mightnt be a bad pick either. Sentimentally would love to see Marto carve up the IPL.

Delhi/Deccan final, Delhi winning.

 

[mike262]

In sportingbet there is a market titled 'to make the final'
Does anyone know if thiss refers to the grand final or just the finals in which the top 4 teams enter?

 

[Ill Chicken]

It would be the GF but hey why not try a rort.

 

[mike262]

Danm, im pretty confident mumbai indians will make finals but not sure if they can win a semi. and odds of 4.25 looked amazing

 

[mike262]

Some 2009 IPL run out stats. (not including finals)

Amount of games with over 1.5 run outs = 22
Amount of games with under 1.5 run outs = 34

Average amount of times each team is run out per game:
Deccan= 0.85
Dehli= 0.14
Kolkata= 0.53
Rajistan= 0.78
Punjab= 1.00
Bangalore= 0.42
Mumbai= 0.82
Chennai= 0.78

Note. Dehli was only every ran out 2wice in all of their games.This is prob due to their team having BIG hitters therefore there most likely to get out while going for big shots rather than trying to score 1 run. could be a good idea to play under 1.5 run outs in all of Dehli games.

Something to consider when playing this market.

 

[Ill Chicken]

Got on KKR at 4.1, hopefully some early wickets means I can lay off with a profit, if not the win.

 

[Innit]

Im on Sehwag and Gilly as the roughie - thought id go him as i think he will play all the games as an opener. will be hit or miss though

 

[Ill Chicken]

Laid them at 1.5, so secured a 105$ profit.

 

[Ill Chicken]

For leading wicket/runs markets I've backed;

Most Series Wickets:
Roelof Van Der Merwe @ 34.00

Piyush Chawla @ 41.00
Chaminda Vaas @ 67.00

Most Series Runs:
Eoin Morgan @ 41.00
AB de Villiers @ 23.00
Tillakaratne Dilshan @ 19.00
Matthew Hayden @ 19.00

 

[rossi]

Some 2009 IPL run out stats. (not including finals)

Amount of games with over 1.5 run outs = 22
Amount of games with under 1.5 run outs = 34

Average amount of times each team is run out per game:
Deccan= 0.85
Dehli= 0.14
Kolkata= 0.53
Rajistan= 0.78
Punjab= 1.00
Bangalore= 0.42
Mumbai= 0.82
Chennai= 0.78

Note. Dehli was only every ran out 2wice in all of their games.This is prob due to their team having BIG hitters therefore there most likely to get out while going for big shots rather than trying to score 1 run. could be a good idea to play under 1.5 run outs in all of Dehli games.

Something to consider when playing this market.

I had over 1.5 on the Mumbai game (win @2.35) last night and under on the Delhi game (loss @1.57) based on these stats. I'll try my luck again tonight with:
Kolkata Knight Riders vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Total Run Outs Under 1.5 @ 1.57 WIN
and
kings and chargers - Total Run Outs Over 1.5 @ 2.35 WIN

 

[mike262]

I had over 1.5 on the Mumbai game (win @2.35) last night and under on the Delhi game (loss @1.57) based on these stats. I'll try my luck again tonight with:
Kolkata Knight Riders vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Total Run Outs Under 1.5 @ 1.57
and
Kolkata Knight Riders vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Total Run Outs Over 1.5 @ 2.35

is the 2nd game ment to be kings and chargers?

 

[rossi]

is the 2nd game ment to be kings and chargers?

Haha yeah I had to check that I didn't bet twice on the same match there...

 

[mike262]

Now for Total ducks in 2009

Games with over 1.5 ducks in 2009= 25
Games with under 1.5 ducks in 2009= 29

Average amount of ducks in a batting innings:

Deccan= 1
Dehli= 0.64
Kolkata= 0.714
Rajistan= 1
Punjab= 0.64
Bangalore= 1
Mumbai= 0.76
Chennai= 0.615

Playing over seems more profitable than playing over in run outs.

Im missing 2 games in total games over/under but the averages of each team include all games the teams played (excluding finals).

EDIT: Just checked all 3 games so far have all gone over. might play the over on 2nights chargers v kings game (2.35)