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Makybe Diva Stakes

  • Thread starter Thread starter starz
  • Start date Start date
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starz said:
Smart money coming for Marasco now, Zipping is still overs and will shorten.

Final summary and updated odds
Betting: Good

True odds
Marasco 1.65
Zipping 4.50
Apache Cat 5.50
Tawqeet 25
Maldivian 25
Blue Monday 27
Gallic 80
Annekov 100
Click to expand...


Youre true odds market is to 115%. You obviously have no idea what true odds actually means. Suggest you read something on framing a market properly.
 
Considering Zipping's about $12 under,the rest is about right.
Just knock off 15% for that miscalculation & its a betfair market

seth
 
That may be right but even that isnt true odds. True odds is a market to 100% because that represents the true chances of each horse winning the race.
 

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Almost Famous said:
If you think that Marasco is a true $1.65 chance you have a h3ll of a lot to learn about price assessment. Add in the fact that youve framed your market to 123% and its clear you havnt got the faintest idea what youre doing.
Click to expand...

Almost Famous said:
Youre true odds market is to 115%. You obviously have no idea what true odds actually means. Suggest you read something on framing a market properly.
Click to expand...

Get off your high horse mate, do you ever have anything positive to add?
You sit there with a calculator and nit-pick because the % is a little off, get a life.

If i were you i would keep quiet for a while, your recent track record is absolutely woeful.
"She should stay in Adelaide for the Penny Edition. At least shed get a WFA win that way."
http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showpost.php?p=8573116&postcount=8
Deary me...


Thanks for the tips starz followed your advice and backed Mighty M at 2.5 (nobody can get those odds now) wins pulling a cart imo. Also on Zipping and followed your Danehill Stakes tips.
Cheers

hellraiser
 
Dear oh dear Hellraiser, dont tell me youre another who is content with mediocrity? If youre happy to frame your own markets to 120% and the like and lose as a result of it, who am I to try educate you. Youre clearly beyond help if you cant understand the basics of probability.
 
Tassie Bulldog said:
And Starz, what can I say - Zipping. Won't say anything as I'm sure you will :D
Click to expand...

It ran well but from memory it did the same last year???

The big M does the job,niiice!
Fred says he'll back up next week at MV,what a preview that'll be.

seth
 

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Almost Famous said:
So much for being lucky to see black figures lol.
Click to expand...

Well thats what I rated it and got it wrong but it was a very pleasant surprise. Have a look at your ratings before having a crack at somebody else. $3 each of 2 was worse than the $5.5 for Zipping

Still reckon he would have been close to even money if everybody didn't get sucked into the track bias.
 
Not really. The only thing that was off to any degree was Apache Cats price. My Marasco price was pretty close to the mark.
 
lol, read the thread again look at all those mugs laughing at starz.
As always starz gets the last laugh.

Marasco $2.50 win - collect
Zipping $3.75 place - collect

Great call, never in doubt.
 
Tell the whole story Starz
3 picks under $6 in the Danehill & didnt manage a placegetter
Conveniently no mention of that race?

seth
 
That just confirmed what I already knew, Zipping and Marasco are the true odds joint Cox Plate favourites and Melbourne Cup favourite.
Both ended up running home in the same sectional time, so that’s a worry for Marasco against a Zipping first up at 80% with more improvement. Beadman gave Marasco the perfect ride money was in the bag at the 600.

Ever notice how Nostradamous and I are never in the same room?
 
hellraiser said:
lol, read the thread again look at all those mugs laughing at starz.
As always starz gets the last laugh.

Marasco $2.50 win - collect
Zipping $3.75 place - collect

Great call, never in doubt.
Click to expand...

Cheers mate, if i can help someone get a winner and make a profit then that's what it's all about.

Hope they don’t bother with apologies or this thread could quadruple in size.
 

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Now, now Starz no need to rub it in...

Very good run from Zipping.

And yes, he did run well first up last spring, just as he ran well on almost every other time he was turned out. Very honest horse and with more ability than most give him credit for.

There does seem to be a real dislike for the poor horse on here, can't imagine why. His record speaks for itself. His WFA form is decent. He was cruelled by poor barriers in the cups last year. The question remains on how strong he is over 2 miles but let's face it - only one non-Jap horse beat him home over 2 miles last year and that horse didn't back up two weeks running, and cop barrier 19.
 

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