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serial_thrilla
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- Mar 25, 2014
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Hello and welcome all to the mid-season snapshot of the match thread activity for each of the Sweet FA teams. With WaynesWorld19 having departed us, I have taken on the burden of compiling this data and presenting it to for your pleasure.
With this being only a mid-season snapshot, I am not going to focus on trends compared to last season - but merely comparing teams based on the previous 8 weeks. The follow-up to this analysis at the end of the season will go into a lot more detail...assuming I can get the previous raw data off Wayne (EDIT: Wayne has kindly transferred me the spreadsheets).
The usual caveat applies here, where it's stated that this data is purely a measure of quantity...not quality. These numbers are however a good indicator of the health of the league, and may give us an indication of which clubs are in greater need of new posters going forward for the good of the league.
As a reference, here are the previous articles authored by Wayne and Ant Bear:
Season 24 Analysis
Season 25 Analysis
Season 26 Analysis
Season 27 Analysis
Season 28 Analysis
Season 29 Analysis
So let's get straight into it:
As has been discussed at length this season already, the three most active teams in match threads in S30 so far are the Bombers, Dragons and Bears. There is then a large gap down to the Roys, followed by the Hawk and Royals; and with the six least active teams all reasonably similar.
Looking at the average posters per week, the stand out achievement is the Royals with more average posters than positions on the field! The Dragons, Bears and Roys have benefitted greatly from off-season recruitment, and also have over 18 posters a week. There is some concern about the Warriors, Gumbies and Wonders though: with an average of less than 15 posters per week.
On the bright side though, all teams have managed to have over 20 players post in match threads this season. Even though they're not all posting every week, this is a wonderful indicator of the strength of the league this season.
Not only do these charts reinforce how active the Dragons, Bombers, Bears and Roys have been this season, but those of you will recall that in Season 28 there were teams that failed to post 100 times in a match thread on occasion. Whereas now, teams are generally producing 300+ posts each match thread, with a fair proportion exceeding 600! For those of you with a defensive mindset: the Demons are the only team that have managed to "restrict" the Bombers to less than 900 posts (R8)!
Now this is an interesting data set. It shows the number of posters at each club, broken down into categories of >x number of posts per week. Depending on what you consider to be an acceptable number to be "active" you can rank the clubs, you can put greater emphasis on a particular table. The Dragons top all three tables, and the Warriors are at the bottom - but it is curious to see some movement from some of the other sides. Take for instance the Roys: they have the equal fourth most posters with an average of of 5+ posts per week, but only the ninth most posters with an average of 20+ posts per week - whilst the Bears trend the other way: they only have the eighth most posters with 5+ posts per week, but the fourth most with 20+ per week.
In yellow we have tables that show how dominant teams are in match threads, and the ever contentious "match thread wins" category. Ideally a good match thread sees both sides post in equal amounts throughout the week, as they engage and interact with each other leading up to the Sunday game. However some times teams are forced to chat among themselves if their opponents are inactive or a little inwardly focused. Given that all sides have not played each other yet, there is not a whole lot to take out of this at the midpoint of the season, although there are close similarities already with overall posting numbers. The most intriguing part of these two tables are that the Bombers "lost" a match thread for the first time in many season - during their R3 slogathon against the Dragons.
The third table is a lot more interesting though: it shows percentage of each teams' match thread posts contributed by the top 5 posters at each club. Obviously the lower the number the better for this figure, as it shows less of a reliance on a handful of posters. The huge red flag here are the Warriors: where their top five posters generate over 84% of the Warriors' match thread posts!
The tables in green also give a good indication of the spread of posting numbers across a team's squad. In a perfect word a team will have 20 posters each providing 5% of their team's posts - so the middle table is a very good one to measure club posting health. The Royals (10) are the standout club using this metric, but most of the other clubs have good numbers with 7-9 posters providing 5+% of their team's posts. The only concerns are the Wonders and the Warriors, both with only 5 posters in this category. What is even more concerning is that these same two clubs are also at the bottom of the left table, with only 8-9 posters with over 2% of their teams' overall contribution.
Here's a couple of bonus tables for guero and Barrybran to nerd over.
Over the next two posts I will have a closer look at each club's posting performance over the first eight rounds:
With this being only a mid-season snapshot, I am not going to focus on trends compared to last season - but merely comparing teams based on the previous 8 weeks. The follow-up to this analysis at the end of the season will go into a lot more detail...assuming I can get the previous raw data off Wayne (EDIT: Wayne has kindly transferred me the spreadsheets).
The usual caveat applies here, where it's stated that this data is purely a measure of quantity...not quality. These numbers are however a good indicator of the health of the league, and may give us an indication of which clubs are in greater need of new posters going forward for the good of the league.
As a reference, here are the previous articles authored by Wayne and Ant Bear:
Season 24 Analysis
Season 25 Analysis
Season 26 Analysis
Season 27 Analysis
Season 28 Analysis
Season 29 Analysis
So let's get straight into it:
As has been discussed at length this season already, the three most active teams in match threads in S30 so far are the Bombers, Dragons and Bears. There is then a large gap down to the Roys, followed by the Hawk and Royals; and with the six least active teams all reasonably similar.
Looking at the average posters per week, the stand out achievement is the Royals with more average posters than positions on the field! The Dragons, Bears and Roys have benefitted greatly from off-season recruitment, and also have over 18 posters a week. There is some concern about the Warriors, Gumbies and Wonders though: with an average of less than 15 posters per week.
On the bright side though, all teams have managed to have over 20 players post in match threads this season. Even though they're not all posting every week, this is a wonderful indicator of the strength of the league this season.
Not only do these charts reinforce how active the Dragons, Bombers, Bears and Roys have been this season, but those of you will recall that in Season 28 there were teams that failed to post 100 times in a match thread on occasion. Whereas now, teams are generally producing 300+ posts each match thread, with a fair proportion exceeding 600! For those of you with a defensive mindset: the Demons are the only team that have managed to "restrict" the Bombers to less than 900 posts (R8)!
Now this is an interesting data set. It shows the number of posters at each club, broken down into categories of >x number of posts per week. Depending on what you consider to be an acceptable number to be "active" you can rank the clubs, you can put greater emphasis on a particular table. The Dragons top all three tables, and the Warriors are at the bottom - but it is curious to see some movement from some of the other sides. Take for instance the Roys: they have the equal fourth most posters with an average of of 5+ posts per week, but only the ninth most posters with an average of 20+ posts per week - whilst the Bears trend the other way: they only have the eighth most posters with 5+ posts per week, but the fourth most with 20+ per week.
In yellow we have tables that show how dominant teams are in match threads, and the ever contentious "match thread wins" category. Ideally a good match thread sees both sides post in equal amounts throughout the week, as they engage and interact with each other leading up to the Sunday game. However some times teams are forced to chat among themselves if their opponents are inactive or a little inwardly focused. Given that all sides have not played each other yet, there is not a whole lot to take out of this at the midpoint of the season, although there are close similarities already with overall posting numbers. The most intriguing part of these two tables are that the Bombers "lost" a match thread for the first time in many season - during their R3 slogathon against the Dragons.
The third table is a lot more interesting though: it shows percentage of each teams' match thread posts contributed by the top 5 posters at each club. Obviously the lower the number the better for this figure, as it shows less of a reliance on a handful of posters. The huge red flag here are the Warriors: where their top five posters generate over 84% of the Warriors' match thread posts!
The tables in green also give a good indication of the spread of posting numbers across a team's squad. In a perfect word a team will have 20 posters each providing 5% of their team's posts - so the middle table is a very good one to measure club posting health. The Royals (10) are the standout club using this metric, but most of the other clubs have good numbers with 7-9 posters providing 5+% of their team's posts. The only concerns are the Wonders and the Warriors, both with only 5 posters in this category. What is even more concerning is that these same two clubs are also at the bottom of the left table, with only 8-9 posters with over 2% of their teams' overall contribution.
Here's a couple of bonus tables for guero and Barrybran to nerd over.
Over the next two posts I will have a closer look at each club's posting performance over the first eight rounds:
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