The Goodwood / SA Derby Preview

[pizzor]

Adelaide's biggest race day is on this Sunday at Morphettville and has on offer two races filled with history.

The Goodwood

This is in some way a weaker version of the Goodwood with the major sprint stars staying at home or retired such as the champion Takeover Target who took this race last year. Very open race with the Mark Kavanagh trained Catapulted a deserved clear favourite at 3.60 after a strong win the Group 3 DC Mackay on the 17th of April ahead of Blahnik(51.00) who finished 9th and will also contest this race. While 3 other Victorian runners also head the market in Velocitea (6.00), Rostova (8.00) and Captain Coltish (9.50) while the rest are in double digit territory with consistent sprinter Beltrois, first up specialist Huxssen and backmarker Perturbo.

Prediction: Perturbo to sweep from the outside after some flashing performances at Saturday races here in Melbourne.

SA Derby

South Australia's premier 3yo race. The Victorian presence is felt here also four Victorians at the head of the market with Victoria Derby runner-up Extra Zero (6.50), Snowden trained Kidnapped (drift to 5.50), Greg Eurell trained Red Colossus (4.60) and the rock solid Second King (6.50). Others are all double figures but Tenzing (26.00 to 19.00) is getting some backing from the punters.

But it looks like after taking out the W.A.T.C Derby as a state last week with the David Hayes trained Chartruex, the Victorians look a class above here and one of the four Victorian runners at the top of the market should take this out.

Prediction: Two progressive wins at Listed level at 1800 and 2014m and with more improvement expected over this distance, Red Colossus will be the choice of the four but any four of the market leaders can take this out and yes, sympathy for Greg Eurell who got star sprinter Mic Mac taken away from him after being transferred to another stable might of played a role in this selection.


Correct Weight Racing and resident tipster The Advisor will be covering Saturday and also Sunday's Racing this weekend and watch for the coverage on the three big days of the Warnambool carnival next week.

 

[Hoffy95]

Very keen on Red Collosus.

This should suit perfectly. Have backed it last 3 starts.

Was Cox Plate nommed last year before it even ran I believe. That shows this distance is where they expect it to shine. Didn't get the clearest path home last start, but still found plenty to get up.

 

[pizzor]

Yeah it will be a good race the SA Derby and The Goodwood also so wide open.


Just a notification to subscribers one bet for the SA Derby has been put up as the early prices at the corporates are up and will be followed by 1 or 2 more on Saturday Night/Sunday Morning. The Saturday tips are also up for tomorrow's meeting at Caulfield.

 

[Pixies]

I'd be all over Purturbo (opened $61 ias but was backed into $26 last night), but a bit of a concern backing up from last weekend and having to travel to Adelaide. Got a bit on it at those odds just in case though. Velocitea should win.

Not keen on Red Colossus in the derby, just not confident at this distance. I like Sherpa Tenzing E/W after a good 3rd in the St Ledger but again a concern backing up from melb last w/e.

 

[Ron]

Who could forget this day last year, when the all up of Takeover target and Rebel Raider was the easiest collect in racing history.

Hopefully we can get it that easy again, but i doubt it'll be with this card.

I think Red Colossus in the derby should get up if he can run the distance, otherwise Extra Zero will have no probs running out the distance.

As for the Goodwood it is very open. I like Rostova, won here not long ago. Slightly concerned that she raced in Adelaide, went on to Sydney and now back to Adelaide. But she is a classy girl and i think she will win.

 

[cortez]

Keen on Rostova. Not far away when beaten by better company last start, also ran well over the track/distance for a win a couple of starts back... I took the $12 offered earlier in the week.

 

[Hoffy95]

Velocitea looks the one in the Goodwood. Meets Rostova 3kgs to the better this time around which might flip the coin on the Sangster result. Run out next to each other and could be a good quinella option.

Big fan of Orbit Express. Back in top form and should be there abouts.

 

[Rough_Edges]

Captain Coltish
Extra Zero

 

[Ricketts]

Second King and Beltrois.

 

[pizzor]

Rest of the tips are up for Sunday's two meetings from The Advisor. For the people who are subscribers.

 

[pizzor]

Market Movers for SA Derby

Kidnapped after drift to 6.00 is now back to 5.00
Tenzing 19.00 into 11.00
Second King solid at 6.50

Market Movers for Goodwood

Orbit Express 21.00 into 15.00
Catapulted 3.80 into 3.50

and at massive odds
Likeable Will 200-1 into 100-1.

 

[pizzor]

Put $10 for fun on Pertubo when it was on 38 on betfair now its 23 lol.

 

[pizzor]

I feel sorry for all the people who had money on Stirling Grove.

 

[pizzor]

The Advisor lost both.

Spurcific - One paced.
Zantelagh - Blew the start no chance.

 

[danielz_23]

Missed getting my money on Fairy Oak (r.3), then lost it on Elumino (r.4) ... that is the game though!

Red Colossus / Captain Coltish in the big ones

 

[pizzor]

Fantastic run by Majestic Music always runs well at Morphettville.

 

[pizzor]

What a race very close.

 

[pizzor]

Velocitea looks the one in the Goodwood. Meets Rostova 3kgs to the better this time around which might flip the coin on the Sangster result. Run out next to each other and could be a good quinella option.

Big fan of Orbit Express. Back in top form and should be there abouts.

Nice pick

 

[danielz_23]

Nice pick

It was, I thought it and Captain Coltish were the value. I went with Captain though.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

had a good day at morphetville, 2 big winners Fairy Oak and Faldane in the last won over $500, won $330 on Faldane in the last spewin i went the bookies though when i backed it was 17/1 at bookies and $20 on the TAB played safe and went the bookies $15 e/w..... it drifted to $32 on the tote!