The NBA 2010/11 Thread

[baywatch5]

ATS - TIMBERWOLVES -4 - x1 unit play WINNER +1 unit
write up - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_4821.html

 

[Cruiser23]

2/1

ATS : 37 - 35 - 4 (-5.74 Units)
O/U : 23 - 9 - 1 (+34.03 Units)
H2H : 1 - 2 - 0 (-2.13 Units)
H2H Margin: 0 - 1 - 0 (-0.50 Units)
Player T/H2H : 2 - 4 - 0 (-6.30 Units)
Multi : 7 - 5 - 0 (+11.61 Units)
Quarters Lines : 30 - 17 - 2 (+25.30 Units)
Quarter Totals: 2 - 1 - 0 (+3.41 Units)
Half Lines: 15 - 8 - 0 (+15.67 Units)
Half Totals 0 - 0 - 0 (0.00 Units)
Line/OU: 1 - 0 - 0 (+5.20 Units)
Team Totals : 1 - 1 - 0 (-0.71 Units)
Other : 1 - 2 - 0 (+3.50 Units)

YTD : 120 - 85 - 7 (+88.75 Units)

4 Units Washington/New Orleans Under 187 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) WIN (+3.64 Units)
3 Units Miami/Golden State Under 205.5 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) LOSS (-3 Units)
3 Units Dallas/Mlwaukee 1st Quarter Over 45.5 @ $1.90 (Centrebet) LOSS (-3 Units)
3 Units Minnesota -1.5 1st Quarter over New Jersey @ $1.91 (Centrebet) WIN (+2.73 Units)
2.5 Units San Antonio into Minnesota @ $2.04 (Sportingbet) WIN (+2.60 Units)
2.5 Units Washington +0.5 1st Quarter over New Orleans @ $1.91 (Centrebet) LOSS (-2.5 Units)

Daily Total - +0.47

 

[Cruiser23]

Leans...

Washington 1st Quarter over New Orleans & Washington/New Orleans Under 187 - New Orleans usually start slow away from home and after a big win yesterday against Boston, there could be a let down early. Wizards are fairly good early at home, they come out with a lot of energy. Unders is really just a strong play because of the trends. Everything with regards to trends points to this stay Under, add to the fact it's a new year, good play here i think.

Minnesota 1st Quarter over New Jersey - Wolves are normally good at home early and the Nets are playing their 3rd in 4 all on the road and have a few days off after so i think they may be a looking ahead to a break.

Miami/Golden State Under 205.5 - Miami will look to get back to playing D after they let 115 against the Houston. They are back home and i think Golden State struggle to score here. Miami close out the 3 very very well, one of the best in the league and the Warriors don't have bigs to worry the Heat.

Milwaukee/Dallas 1st Quarter Over 45.5 - Bucks normally start off well at home whilst Dallas are send in the league in 1st quarter scoring away from home. Stats wise, average wise, this first quarter hits 52 but you are getting at bit of points off here because of the total.

Write-ups in the morning. There may be a few others as their are some lines not out.

Wizards/New Orleans Under 187
Wizards 1st Quarter over New Orleans
Minnesota 1st Quarter over New Jersey
Miami/Golden State Under 205.5
Milwaukee/Dallas 1st Quarter Over 45.5

 

[KP78]

Leans...

Washington 1st Quarter over New Orleans & Washington/New Orleans Under -

Minnesota 1st Quarter over New Jersey & Minnesota -4 over New Jersey -

Miami/Golden State Under 204.5 -

Write-ups in the morning. There may be a few others as their are some lines not out.

Just a short note to let you know that your work is really appreciated here mate. I honestly think you cap better than most if not all of the people on SBR. Thanks again for the great advice

 

[IDIG]

My plays for today -
GSW/Miami under 204
Nets/T'wolves over 204
Utah -6.5
NOH/Wizards under 186.5
Bulls/Cavs under 189.5
Mavs/Bucks under 179

Loving the unders these days which have been money for the most part. Hoping for a few sluggish players and a couple of sore heads after NYE

Interesting stat i found, Wizards are on a 10 game unders streak lol I'd very rarely bet with this trend but against NOH who are 3-13 away i couldn't resist.

 

[Borgsta]

My plays for today -
GSW/Miami under 204
Nets/T'wolves over 204
Utah -6.5
NOH/Wizards under 186.5
Bulls/Cavs under 189.5
Mavs/Bucks under 179

Loving the unders these days which have been money for the most part. Hoping for a few sluggish players and a couple of sore heads after NYE

Interesting stat i found, Wizards are on a 10 game unders streak lol I'd very rarely bet with this trend but against NOH who are 3-13 away i couldn't resist.

Bolded bets were my early leans.

Probably won't touch Miami game.

NOH / Wizards is a no brainer for unders IMO. Wash have only scored 95 or more in 3 of their last 11. NOH as we all know are a slow team.

Bulls and Cavs I might leave.

Mavs are without Dirk and Marion. Dallas have struggled to score big time without Dirk. The Bucks are a pretty good defensive team and play very slowly as well. Have only scored 90 or more in 1 of their last 6 games.

 

[Serum]

YTD 1-1

Todays Bets

2U Timberwolves-4 @$1.91
2U KingsNuggets u208.5@$1.91
2U Dallas -2 @$1.91
2U Wizards lead 1Q @$1.92
1.5U Dallas/Timberwolves@$2.52

Thoughts comments appreciated BOL everyone.

 

[IDIG]

Bolded bets were my early leans.

Probably won't touch Miami game.

NOH / Wizards is a no brainer for unders IMO. Wash have only scored 95 or more in 3 of their last 11. NOH as we all know are a slow team.

Bulls and Cavs I might leave.

Mavs are without Dirk and Marion. Dallas have struggled to score big time without Dirk. The Bucks are a pretty good defensive team and play very slowly as well. Have only scored 90 or more in 1 of their last 6 games.

Great minds man

On the Bulls, Cavs game, Bulls are 0-5 o/u their last 5 and Cavs 1-4 so it kind've left me no choice haha. Agree with your assessment of the Mavs game and with Jennings out, the Bucks best scorer, it seems the right play.

What do you think of OKC with the points? They've covered everytime when they've had 5+ points this year (4 times). It would be a brave man to bet against SAS at home though

 

[baywatch5]

adding play:

ATS - HORNETS -1.5 - x1 unit play WINNER
write up: http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_02.html

 

[IDIG]

YTD 1-1

Todays Bets

2U Timberwolves-4 @$1.91
2U KingsNuggets u208.5@$1.91
2U Dallas -2 @$1.91
2U Wizards lead 1Q @$1.92
1.5U Dallas/Timberwolves@$2.52

Thoughts comments appreciated BOL everyone.

Apart from Dallas who there's too much uncertainty about imo i don't mind them at all. T'wolves are a no touch team for me (and the Nets for that matter) but that would be the way i'd lean as well.

GL, hopefully a good new year in the NBA for us all.

 

[IDIG]

Blog looks great baywatch. 5-1 start too wooo

GL. I like the pick and your analysis.

 

[baywatch5]

My plays for today -
GSW/Miami under 204
Nets/T'wolves over 204
Utah -6.5
NOH/Wizards under 186.5
Bulls/Cavs under 189.5
Mavs/Bucks under 179

Loving the unders these days which have been money for the most part. Hoping for a few sluggish players and a couple of sore heads after NYE

Interesting stat i found, Wizards are on a 10 game unders streak lol I'd very rarely bet with this trend but against NOH who are 3-13 away i couldn't resist.

Blog looks great baywatch. 5-1 start too wooo

GL. I like the pick and your analysis.

Cheers mate. GL with your picks today also. I do like the Jazz

 

[PHX]

New Orleans @ 1.95 (betfair) is surely a gift. Sure the Hornets have a rubbish record on the road but it's the Wizards we are talking about here.

 

[Davo75]

My crack for today

1. Golden State / Miami Under 204.5 @ $2.12
2. Milwaukee (Win) @ $2.22
3. Oklahoma (+6.5) @ $2.00
4. New Jersey / Minnesota Over 204.5 @ $1.95

Yankee

1 / 2 @ $4.71
1 / 3 @ $4.24
1 / 4 @ $4.13
2 / 3 @ $4.44
2 / 4 @ $4.33
3 / 4 @ $3.90
1/2/3 @ $9.41
1/2/4 @ $9.18
1/3/4 @ $8.27
2/3/4 @ $8.66
1/2/3/4 @ $18.35

0.5 Unit on each.

 

[Davo75]

Agree Baywatch, the blog looks fab

 

[IDIG]

New Orleans @ 1.95 (betfair) is surely a gift. Sure the Hornets have a rubbish record on the road but it's the Wizards we are talking about here.

Looks like the money's going the Wizards way, game is now PK. Strange.

 

[IDIG]

My crack for today

1. Golden State / Miami Under 204.5 @ $2.12
2. Milwaukee (Win) @ $2.22
3. Oklahoma (+6.5) @ $2.00
4. New Jersey / Minnesota Over 204.5 @ $1.95

Yankee

1 / 2 @ $4.71
1 / 3 @ $4.24
1 / 4 @ $4.13
2 / 3 @ $4.44
2 / 4 @ $4.33
3 / 4 @ $3.90
1/2/3 @ $9.41
1/2/4 @ $9.18
1/3/4 @ $8.27
2/3/4 @ $8.66
1/2/3/4 @ $18.35

0.5 Unit on each.

Nice, i was thinking about this type of betting. Have you been keeping track of your results? It's kind've hedging without having to hedge

 

[Borgsta]

Wiz are 8-7 @ home. NOH on a tough b2b.

NOH should win but they aren't a great team either.

 

[PHX]

Wiz are 8-7 @ home. NOH on a tough b2b.

NOH should win but they aren't a great team either.

Back to backs are never easy but this one is not that tough. Yes they played Boston but the game was a 3PM game so unlike most back to backs they would have got into Washington at a decent time and got a decent rest. The flight time to Washington from Boston would be 2 hours maximum.

The Wizards wins at home consist of Philly x2, Rockets (during their horror start), Raps, Grizz, Portland, Charlotte and Indy. Not exactly impressive. Portland the only +.500 team amongst them, and only just.

 

[Borgsta]

I meant the game against Boston was tough. I have no faith in NOH, like I said they should win but they aren't a great team.

 

[PHX]

I meant the game against Boston was tough. I have no faith in NOH, like I said they should win but they aren't a great team.

No doubting that, just relying on Washington being far worse. Chuck away Mr Blatche.

 

[Davo75]

Nice, i was thinking about this type of betting. Have you been keeping track of your results? It's kind've hedging without having to hedge

I've known about yankees for years, have had some success using it for place betting on the nags, sports prices around a similar price, I haven't kept records as a whole, but have had some nice wins and some complete disasters ie: you get nothing if only 1 of the 4 selections win, you recover some of your stake if 2 win, nice gain with 3, happy days if all 4 come in. Bit like investing on quaddies and trebles, smaller percentage than usual, but there are a number of methods about to have a bit of fun with applying to both racing and sports.

All I can suggest is practice without putting any investment on to get the hang of it first. I recently heard a suggestion with this, untested from my side, using 1 of your 4 selections as a real upset, then the other 3 as ones your confident about, hence my suggestion to practice prior to investing anything on it.

 

[DT_35]

Always f*cking New Orleans

 

[Davo75]

Been burnt by the Wizards playing at home previously so didn't have a crack this time. New Orleans aren't one of my faves either.

Looking like I'll get blown out the water with my first punt all the same

 

[IDIG]

Looks like a day of opposites ba bow.. gonna be a loonnnng day.