The NBA 2010/11 Thread
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I agree. Thanks to a meaningless Dallas 3 with 1 second to go OKC -2.5 / U192.5 falls over at the death, as have about ten other bets in the last three days. NBA game lines are getting very tight.
Barnzy
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Haha, that was weird. SBR is going to be screaming "fix" like they always do.
Can't believe didn't following through with OKC 2nd half bet. At least TT of over 97 got up.
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NBA game lines are getting very tight.
Just have to pick the right ones. Usually NOH and Milwaukee games. Occasional Boston game too.
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Barnzy
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Funny that Heat just played the Bucks and are playing them the very next game at Milwaukee.
Love the line at the moment for Heat at -6.5. They play hard on the road and have won 11 in a row. Seems Bucks getting a few extra points based off the fact they're playing at home. I expect that line to move higher soon. No reason to not keep riding the Heat train.
Love the line at the moment for Heat at -6.5. They play hard on the road and have won 11 in a row. Seems Bucks getting a few extra points based off the fact they're playing at home. I expect that line to move higher soon. No reason to not keep riding the Heat train.
Bic
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lol Denver...
Like...
Nets, Pacers, Bulls, Suns over.
Like...
Nets, Pacers, Bulls, Suns over.
Bic
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Yer take Melo off on 26 points 
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Tomorrows plays
New York v Phoenix over 218.pts
Phily v Bulls under 191.5
New Jersey +5.5pts v Wizards
Portland -2.5pts v Wolves
Warriors -9.5pts v Cavs
New York v Phoenix over 218.pts
Phily v Bulls under 191.5
New Jersey +5.5pts v Wizards
Portland -2.5pts v Wolves
Warriors -9.5pts v Cavs
Doing decent job h2h betting recently. Followed Memphis good run and Denvers bad run. For tomorrow I like
Knicks over Suns. It may be away but Amare will rape with 30+ here.
Knicks over Suns. It may be away but Amare will rape with 30+ here.
Barnzy
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I like the Knicks too. Suns are a mess at the moment, only averaging 92 points over the last 3 games and 3-7 in the last 10. Think the Knicks can take the confidence over from the Spurs game and do the job here. Also, as I said before I like Miami against the Bucks who they just beat a few days ago. Won 11 in a row on the road by an average of 15 points.
Bets so far:
4 units Miami -6 @ 1.83
4 units Boston/Miami/Orlando @ 1.89
4 units Heat -1/Knicks +9.5 @ 1.70
3 units Bulls ML @ 1.83
3 units NJ vs Washington under 191.5 @ 1.80
3 units NY Knicks +2 @ 1.90
3 unit Spurs -4.5 @ 1.74
3 units Memphis ML @ 1.74
3 units Memphis -0.5 1st quarter
1 unit Heat -1/Celtics -2/Magic -2/GSW -3/Memphis +5/Knicks +9.5 @ 4.67
Bets so far:
4 units Miami -6 @ 1.83
4 units Boston/Miami/Orlando @ 1.89
4 units Heat -1/Knicks +9.5 @ 1.70
3 units Bulls ML @ 1.83
3 units NJ vs Washington under 191.5 @ 1.80
3 units NY Knicks +2 @ 1.90
3 unit Spurs -4.5 @ 1.74
3 units Memphis ML @ 1.74
3 units Memphis -0.5 1st quarter
1 unit Heat -1/Celtics -2/Magic -2/GSW -3/Memphis +5/Knicks +9.5 @ 4.67
nailed the cousins bet.. it moved from 2.10 to 1.90 so a fair few others must of liked the value.. got jibbed on my others the lines cost me bad the extra 0.5!!! had Nene +8.5 reb he got 8, had Billups +16.5 he got 16 and like many the Melo at 26.5 and he got 26.. damn denver for not staying close!!!
tommorow i only looked briefly but i think nets win in washington or at least stay close.. they are very competitive with Brook and Harris firing
tommorow i only looked briefly but i think nets win in washington or at least stay close.. they are very competitive with Brook and Harris firing
My plays for tomorrow are -
Bulls +1
Spurs -6
Knicks/Suns under 218
Bulls line is probably a trap but they have smashed the 6ers the last 3 times. Spurs coming off 2 losses will punish the Pacers and the Suns are playing a totally different brand of ball these days.
Fade me for profits, i haven't been going great the last couple of days
Bulls +1
Spurs -6
Knicks/Suns under 218
Bulls line is probably a trap but they have smashed the 6ers the last 3 times. Spurs coming off 2 losses will punish the Pacers and the Suns are playing a totally different brand of ball these days.
Fade me for profits, i haven't been going great the last couple of days
Bic
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Pacers are good at home... Don't underestimate them. Line moved quickly from 6.5 to 6 as well.
I dont take a great deal of notice regarding line movements. Last night i put on Kings Nuggets under 209 and checked it out today and it had come in to 206.5 so i figured i'd done well getting in early as all the late money had come in for the unders. I think they covered half way through the last 
You reckon i should've played the middle there or 2.5 points isn't enough of a difference?
You reckon i should've played the middle there or 2.5 points isn't enough of a difference?
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Starting to despise the days with plenty of games, again. Going through the card, like a fair few plays but not sure whether i want to put out so many units. Cutting down the plays hurts.
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Leans...
Washington/New Jersey Under 189 - Wizards are tough at home and the Under are 12 - 4. Wizards are also on a 3 game losing streak which has lead to Under hitting on 7 of 8 which seems to indicate and up in defence or a lack of play on offence. They were on a Unders streak until their last game. They gave up 100 only for the 2nd time in 10 games, i think defence might be name of the game. Plus Saunders has told Wall to cool his jets because going full pace doesn't help the team. Nets are off a big win against the Bulls and the Unders have been dominating in games where the Nets play losing teams, 8 - 2. Wall and Hinrich can stay in front of Harris, Lopez is a slight danger but i think this stays Under.
Indiana 1st Half against San Antonio - I think the Pacers come out tough here like they normally do against winning teams. The Spurs will be looking to bounce back after two losses but they won't unless they emphasis defence. I don't think on the back of a 3 game road trip in 4 days is the time to do it. Pacers get a poor closing out team here in the Spurs who give up almost 40% from the field and i struggle to see them containing Granger. Pacers one of the best first half teams at home i think they can get it done. The Pacers offence is struggling so it's hard to back a total. Off a long break, O'Brien should have sorted a few things out, think they come out and stick with the Spurs who may have a slight hangover from a tough loss.
Philadelphia over Chicago, Philadelphia 1st Quarter over Chicago & Philadelphia/Chicago Under 191 - Think this is a great spot for the Sixers. They got absolutely humiliated against Chicago a few weeks ago you can be sure they'll be up for the this. Chicago has Boston tomorrow night, massive rivalry between those two and really think this is a look ahead game here and they play flat. Sixers play very well against winning teams, they are 11 - 4 ATS and are also 11 - 4 ATS at home. Sixers too good on the day i feel. Under 10 - 6 when Chicago are away and the Under 11 - 5 when the Sixers play a winning team.
Toronto +9.5 against Boston & Toronto 1st Quarter against Boston - Another good spot here i think with Boston off a big win against San Antonio and has Chicago tomorrow. They are an experienced team and they may be off as they know which games to turn up. Toronto seems back into their offence stride and aren't too bad early while Boston seem to have struggled early of late. Think Toronto can stay under the total here.
Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah & Memphis -1 over Utah - Probably the best play on the card today, Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah. Utah are pathetic early, only worry is they got smashed at home and may look to bounce back, just don't think it's in their nature. Memphis playing really well since the break and are 7 - 0 ATS off an upset win and 12 - 5 ATS against winning teams. They'll turn up at home here against a struggling Utah team and get the job done. There is one worry, Utah are 5 - 2 ATS after getting done as a favourite.
Miami -6.5 over Milwaukee - Rolling with the "Super Friends".
New York +1.5 against Phoneix - So many trends points to an easy cover for New York here. Them playing road games, as an underdog, off an upset win as an underdog. The only thing is they've got the Lakers next up.
Golden State -9 over Cleveland & Golden State 1st Half over Cleveland - Loving these plays as you take a look at Cleveland's losses away from home, and it doesn't matter who they play they get done by double digit regularly. They've lost their last 14 away from home, take out the Miami game which they had extra reason to turn up, and they have not kept the margin under 9 in their past 13 away games. Golden State have 18 of their next 22 at home and will be looking to things off to a good start. They've cover a fair few lately and Keith Smart has said he's got his rotations and will only play 8 each game. This means their 2nd quarter won't be take as much of a hit with their starters playing a fair few minutes. Cleveland are also missing Gibson and Parker whilst the Warriors are healthy for the first time this year. Blowout here, and early for mine. Lack of bench for the Cavs.
LA Lakers/New Orleans Under 190 - Lakers are hitting Unders at home and the Hornets after giving up 110 to the Warriors will get back to playing defence. They've also got added incentive with the Lakers beating them in New Orleans a week ago. Unders are also 7 - 4 when the Lakers play a winning team.
Washington/New Jersey Under 189
Indiana 1st Half over San Antonio
Philadelphia over Chicago
Philadelphia 1st Quarter over Chicago
Toronto +9.5 against Boston
Toronto 1st Quarter against Boston
Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah
Memphis over Utah
Miami -6.5 over Milwaukee
New York +1.5 against Phoenix
Golden State -9.5 over Cleveland
Golden State 1st Half over Cleveland
New Orleans/LA Lakers Under 190
Washington/New Jersey Under 189 - Wizards are tough at home and the Under are 12 - 4. Wizards are also on a 3 game losing streak which has lead to Under hitting on 7 of 8 which seems to indicate and up in defence or a lack of play on offence. They were on a Unders streak until their last game. They gave up 100 only for the 2nd time in 10 games, i think defence might be name of the game. Plus Saunders has told Wall to cool his jets because going full pace doesn't help the team. Nets are off a big win against the Bulls and the Unders have been dominating in games where the Nets play losing teams, 8 - 2. Wall and Hinrich can stay in front of Harris, Lopez is a slight danger but i think this stays Under.
Indiana 1st Half against San Antonio - I think the Pacers come out tough here like they normally do against winning teams. The Spurs will be looking to bounce back after two losses but they won't unless they emphasis defence. I don't think on the back of a 3 game road trip in 4 days is the time to do it. Pacers get a poor closing out team here in the Spurs who give up almost 40% from the field and i struggle to see them containing Granger. Pacers one of the best first half teams at home i think they can get it done. The Pacers offence is struggling so it's hard to back a total. Off a long break, O'Brien should have sorted a few things out, think they come out and stick with the Spurs who may have a slight hangover from a tough loss.
Philadelphia over Chicago, Philadelphia 1st Quarter over Chicago & Philadelphia/Chicago Under 191 - Think this is a great spot for the Sixers. They got absolutely humiliated against Chicago a few weeks ago you can be sure they'll be up for the this. Chicago has Boston tomorrow night, massive rivalry between those two and really think this is a look ahead game here and they play flat. Sixers play very well against winning teams, they are 11 - 4 ATS and are also 11 - 4 ATS at home. Sixers too good on the day i feel. Under 10 - 6 when Chicago are away and the Under 11 - 5 when the Sixers play a winning team.
Toronto +9.5 against Boston & Toronto 1st Quarter against Boston - Another good spot here i think with Boston off a big win against San Antonio and has Chicago tomorrow. They are an experienced team and they may be off as they know which games to turn up. Toronto seems back into their offence stride and aren't too bad early while Boston seem to have struggled early of late. Think Toronto can stay under the total here.
Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah & Memphis -1 over Utah - Probably the best play on the card today, Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah. Utah are pathetic early, only worry is they got smashed at home and may look to bounce back, just don't think it's in their nature. Memphis playing really well since the break and are 7 - 0 ATS off an upset win and 12 - 5 ATS against winning teams. They'll turn up at home here against a struggling Utah team and get the job done. There is one worry, Utah are 5 - 2 ATS after getting done as a favourite.
Miami -6.5 over Milwaukee - Rolling with the "Super Friends".
New York +1.5 against Phoneix - So many trends points to an easy cover for New York here. Them playing road games, as an underdog, off an upset win as an underdog. The only thing is they've got the Lakers next up.
Golden State -9 over Cleveland & Golden State 1st Half over Cleveland - Loving these plays as you take a look at Cleveland's losses away from home, and it doesn't matter who they play they get done by double digit regularly. They've lost their last 14 away from home, take out the Miami game which they had extra reason to turn up, and they have not kept the margin under 9 in their past 13 away games. Golden State have 18 of their next 22 at home and will be looking to things off to a good start. They've cover a fair few lately and Keith Smart has said he's got his rotations and will only play 8 each game. This means their 2nd quarter won't be take as much of a hit with their starters playing a fair few minutes. Cleveland are also missing Gibson and Parker whilst the Warriors are healthy for the first time this year. Blowout here, and early for mine. Lack of bench for the Cavs.
LA Lakers/New Orleans Under 190 - Lakers are hitting Unders at home and the Hornets after giving up 110 to the Warriors will get back to playing defence. They've also got added incentive with the Lakers beating them in New Orleans a week ago. Unders are also 7 - 4 when the Lakers play a winning team.
Washington/New Jersey Under 189
Indiana 1st Half over San Antonio
Philadelphia over Chicago
Philadelphia 1st Quarter over Chicago
Toronto +9.5 against Boston
Toronto 1st Quarter against Boston
Memphis 1st Quarter over Utah
Memphis over Utah
Miami -6.5 over Milwaukee
New York +1.5 against Phoenix
Golden State -9.5 over Cleveland
Golden State 1st Half over Cleveland
New Orleans/LA Lakers Under 190
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As you can see, i need to start trimming. 
baywatch5
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ATS - KNICKS +2 (x1.5 unit play) WINNER
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_8726.html
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_8726.html
baywatch5
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As you can see, i need to start trimming.
Thats always tough
Agree with you on Memphis 1st Q being strongest, Have that one penciled in also. just waiting till opens
Goodluck today mate
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