Will the good d'ters pick Drummond and Chapman?

[Effes]

Incredibly small sample size and correlation =/= causation.

I guess that's what makes DT a great game, you believe there is little link while others think differently.

 

[RustNeverSleeps]

Chapman is having his best pre-season for some time. It seems he is going to rotate through the midfield (with Gary), is well priced at $410k and is now in his football prime in terms of skill, fitness and DT capability.

But, he burnt me badly last year and the bitter after-taste still lingers. It's almost as bad as Didak and Shaw.

Another problem is that Thompson/Geelong have employed the old Sheedy/Essendon tactic of not being forthcoming when it comes to injured players. Late withdrawals are a killer in DT. Late "unexpected" withdrawals are worse and give me nasty heartburn. Chapman has often contributed to this medical condition.

The mid-priced value players and rookies seem to be a bit more straight forward to identify this year. With the larger DT salary cap there's not going to be too much that separates the wheat from the chaff.

Chappie maybe the man...but be prepared to invest in some Alka-Seltzer.

 

[54Dogs]

Chapman is having his best pre-season for some time. It seems he is going to rotate through the midfield (with Gary), is well priced at $410k and is now in his football prime in terms of skill, fitness and DT capability.

But, he burnt me badly last year and the bitter after-taste still lingers. It's almost as bad as Didak and Shaw.

Another problem is that Thompson/Geelong have employed the old Sheedy/Essendon tactic of not being forthcoming when it comes to injured players. Late withdrawals are a killer in DT. Late "unexpected" withdrawals are worse and give me nasty heartburn. Chapman has often contributed to this medical condition.

The mid-priced value players and rookies seem to be a bit more straight forward to identify this year. With the larger DT salary cap there's not going to be too much that separates the wheat from the chaff.

Chappie maybe the man...but be prepared to invest in some Alka-Seltzer.

Especially when the Cats are 18-1 and he is "managed" for the last 3.

 

[LemmingMaster]

Especially when the Cats are 18-1 and he is "managed" for the last 3.

I would not be shocked in both comments, Cats look good for coming into round 20 being 18-1 and Chapman being nursed back into fitness.

There is no way the Cats will want to come into September with injured players, so there may be some "player management" in the final rounds.

 

[Athomas]

Chapman gun but he won't play 22. If you have any other risks (Drummond/Raines/Houlihan/Skip/Higgins) I'd stay clear.

 

[RWnBluey]

Chapman gun but he won't play 22. If you have any other risks (Drummond/Raines/Houlihan/Skip/Higgins) I'd stay clear.

Wouldn't call Higgins a "risk"... he will play every game this year if fit. His injuries have simply been unlucky, not ongoing injuries such as soft tissue problems.

 

[Schulzenfest]

I'm willing to take the risk on Chapman. I realize there's a big durability risk, but if he plays every game he could easily be the highest scoring forward in the competition, and it's not like he's never played every game before. And even assuming he misses three games, which seems fair enough, if he averages 100 (I think he'll average more personally but anyway) and your emergency averages 50 in those games, you're still getting 2050 points out of him, giving you an average of 93. I don't see anybody in his price range averaging much more than that, so I see it as a calculated risk. I recognize that he could miss more games, but a Didak or Johnson could also miss games (just because it hasn't happened much before doesn't mean it won't this year, look at Pavlich) and in the off-chance Chappy does play every game he'll be a very, very good pick.

 

[Athomas]

Wouldn't call Higgins a "risk"... he will play every game this year if fit. His injuries have simply been unlucky, not ongoing injuries such as soft tissue problems.

Maybe he's risky coz he's unlucky? But naaa point taken.

 

[FredNerk69]

Very hard to go past Chappy now. There is going to be a lot of unhappy coaches if he gets injured and i'll be one of them.
Now I just have to decide if I want to take the risk of two injury prone players and pick up Drummond as well.

 

[noffle]

Bump!

 

[Athomas]

Nice bump.

Chapman gun but he won't play 22. If you have any other risks (Drummond/Raines/Houlihan/Skip/Higgins) I'd stay clear.

What do I win?

Sadly picked them all except drummond LOL. Funny stuff.

 

[Virgil]

Meh. 785 points in 8 rounds is still better than the majority of the other options (not to mention him scoring 161 when I gave him the C ).

 

[Jaymin]

Yep, i'd still rather have him at this stage. If he misses 4-5 weeks, that would be a different story.

Premature Bump...

 

[favourites]

Yeah def Virgil. But what will you do now? 1 week becomes 3. Then he comes back, plays sore.... same old story with chappy.

 

[Cerpin Taxt]

You can keep telling yourself that if it makes you happy. Geelong can afford to rest players as often as they like. I'm not worried one bit.

 

[kangaroo19]

Yeah, unfortunately the problem with Geelong being so good is they can afford the luxury or resting 1 or 2 stars if there is a niggle. Obviously players like Ablett and Chapman have had a past with injuries so they're probably a bit more careful than other players such as Bartel and Corey.

Anyway, 785 from 8 games including a 0 is still more than most forwards are getting.

 

[noffle]

A sore back could be a sign that his hamstrings will start playing up again though.

 

[phealey]

I'd be surprised if he plays next week as well. Someone mentioned that SEN reported it as a 3 week injury.

 

[Wilso]

If worst comes to worst, we can claim him as a cash cow that made us 50k so we can all feel better about ourselves

 

[SkankDanker]

I'd be surprised if he plays next week as well. Someone mentioned that SEN reported it as a 3 week injury.

He rarely misses just one game but that is premature seeing SEN presumably have absolutely no idea what is wrong with him.

 

[LemmingMaster]

The forwards are really being a pain this year.

 

[Bond.ShaneBond]

If the injury stretches it just makes it easier to get Volt!

 

[Effes]

http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?p=14515918#post14515918

 

[shiva25]

Nice bump.



What do I win?

Sadly picked them all except drummond LOL. Funny stuff.

What do you want a gold medal.There arnt many players in the AFL that play all 22 games a year anyway so youve only predicted something that was highly likely to happen anyway so i cant understand what your on about.Every person who has entered a team in SC or DT has been affected by injuries already this year so its no surprise

 

[Athomas]

What do you want a gold medal.There arnt many players in the AFL that play all 22 games a year anyway so youve only predicted something that was highly likely to happen anyway so i cant understand what your on about.Every person who has entered a team in SC or DT has been affected by injuries already this year so its no surprise

I was actually emphasising the Raines/Skipworth/Higgins/Houlihan part.