Opinion Will We Play Finals

[Optimistic Dog]

In a totally unpredictable season I will try some crystal balling

I think GWS, Crows, Cats and Port are safe for the 8. Do not think the saints will make it.

So that leaves Dees, 32 pts 114.37 Tigers 32 111.7 WCE 28 102.1, Dogs 28 97.0 , Swans 24 105.2, and Bombers 102.6


Dees
Now 32
Wins 5 = 20
? split evenly 4 = 8 50% points allocated ?
Total = 60


giving them 7 wins winning 2 of the ?


H Melbourne Mel Sydney ?
A Melbourne Mel Carlton W
H Melbourne Mel Adelaide ?
H Melbourne Mel Port Adelaide ?
A Melbourne Mel North Melbourne W
A Melbourne Mel Greater Western Sydney ?
H Melbourne Mel StKilda W
H Melbourne Mel Brisbane W
A Melbourne Mel Collingwood W

Tigers
Now 32
Wins 6 = 24
split evenly 2 = 4
Total = 60


giving them 7 wins winning one of the question marks

A Richmond Ric Port Adelaide L
A Richmond Ric StKilda W
H Richmond Ric Brisbane W
H Richmond Ric Greater Western Sydney ?
A Richmond Ric Gold Coast W
H Richmond Ric Hawthorn W
A Richmond Ric Geelong ?
A Richmond Ric Fremantle W
H Richmond Ric StKilda W

Eagles

Now 28
Wins 4 = 16
? split evenly 4 = 8
Total = 52


giving them 6 wins winning 2 of the question marks

A WCE WCE Western Bulldogs ?
H WCE WCE Port Adelaide ?
A WCE WCE Fremantle W
A WCE WCE Collingwood W
H WCE WCE Brisbane W
A WCE WCE StKilda ?
H WCE WCE Carlton W
A WCE WCE Greater Western Sydney L
H WCE WCE Adelaide ?

Dogs



Now 28
Wins 4 = 16
? split evenly 4 = 8
Total = 52

giving us 6 wins winning 2 of the ?s

H Western Bulldogs Wes WCE ?
A Western Bulldogs Wes Adelaide L
A Western Bulldogs Wes Carlton W
H Western Bulldogs Wes Gold Coast W
H Western Bulldogs Wes Essendon ?
A Western Bulldogs Wes Brisbane W
H Western Bulldogs Wes Greater Western Sydney ?
H Western Bulldogs Wes Port Adelaide ?
A Western Bulldogs Wes Hawthorn W

Swans

giving them 6 wins winning 2 of the ?

Now 24
Wins 4 = 16
? split evenly 4 = 8
Total = 48

A Sydney Syd Melbourne ?
H Sydney Syd Gold Coast W
A Sydney Syd Greater Western Sydney ?
H Sydney Syd StKilda ?
A Sydney Syd Hawthorn W
A Sydney Syd Geelong L
H Sydney Syd Fremantle W
A Sydney Syd Adelaide ?
H Sydney Syd Carlton W


Bombers

Now = 24
Wins 6 = 24
? split evenly 2 = 4
Total = 52

giving them 7 wins winning 1 of the ?

H Essendon Ess Brisbane W
A Essendon Ess Collingwood W
A Essendon Ess StKilda W
H Essendon Ess North Melbourne W
A Essendon Ess Western Bulldogs ?
H Essendon Ess Carlton W
H Essendon Ess Adelaide ?
A Essendon Ess Gold Coast W
H Essendon Ess Fremantle W


Final points

Melb 60
Richmond 60
Eagles 52
Dogs 52
Bombers 52
Swans 48

This would mean it would come down to percentage who will make the 8. We need to smash Eagles this building our % and reducing theirs. It is going be a tight squeeze

 

[Super Hans]

Yep. I think we'll end up in a knock out final vs Richmond or Melb.

 

[remember54]

I think it'll come down to the wire, with our (currently woeful) percentage being the key factor in whether we sneak into the eight or not. I'm not going to pretend to be an expert when it comes to the match-ups, but there seems to be a pretty even split between mediocre-to-rubbish teams versus clubs in the top four. If we're going to lose, we need to bring a damned close fight to it in order to get ahead of other teams with the same number of points as us.

Saturday's game against the Eagles will be the make-or-break moment in my opinion - the Coast beat us in Perth back in May, but have had a number of clangers since and will be playing on Doggies territory. If the Dogs can take them down with relative ease (i.e. not a one point win like that against Norf) then I'll be a lot more hopeful that the team is getting its act together and has a shot at the finals.

But at the end of it all, we won a miraculous GF last year from seventh, so if we end up around that spot this year I'll be happy that they're still in good form for the coming years.

 

[Bodicifer]

I don't think we will. I think realistically we played four perfect games last year and won a flag from 7th. We aren't going well enough.

 

[Wizard17]

It is okay Richmond will do an almighty choke and finish 9th again

 

[SayerTheCreator]

Every win is so important, and none are bankable (especially this season).

We're 2 games off being equal second so we're still a big chance.

 

[Bemoreboyddog]

I don't think we will. No where near good enough to be playing finals.

 

[Norm De Guerre]

 

[bresker]

The fact that St Kilda are currently in the 8 gives me hope. We are playing badly, but if they're in there it must be a bad year

 

[_Mike_]

As long as we make the 8, i really dont give a **** otherwise

 

[Yojimbo]

If we can maintain a KICK to HANDBALL ratio and the MC
can come to grips that certain players do not help that
situation eventuate even though they are good players
then we can have an influence at the pointy end.

We don't need massive changes just subtle tweaks like
the nipples of life.

 

[Super Hans]

I know it's dangerous with this year being so even, but this is what I got with a ladder predictor. Just shows how even it is.

As I said the other day, we can finish 4th or we could just as easily finish 10th. I think anyone from 11th upward on that ladder can make finals.

 

[Braybrook Son]

No

 

[Braybrook Son]

I know it's dangerous with this year being so even, but this is what I got with a ladder predictor. Just shows how even it is.

As I said the other day, we can finish 4th or we could just as easily finish 10th. I think anyone from 11th upward on that ladder can make finals.

You seriously think we can win 7 of the last 9 games? You sir and seriously deluded! In fact, I'll wager everything I own that we won't win 5 of the last 9!

 

[Super Hans]

You seriously think we can win 7 of the last 9 games? You sir and seriously deluded!

We'll see. We'll be favs in every game bar Adelaide and GWS.

 

[Mattdougie]

We'll see. We'll be favs in every game bar Adelaide and GWS.

Lol will we ?

Favs over Essendon and Port?

I think some dont realise or are just ignoring how average we are.

We struggled to beat Norf with the umps behind us. They are shit and worse than every team we play other than the lions but that is in Brisbane.

 

[SayerTheCreator]

We'll see. We'll be favs in every game bar Adelaide and GWS.

Means absolutely nothing. WC are $2.75 this week and it is seriously tempting to load up on it

 

[Mattdougie]

No we won't

Percentage will stop us

 

[Braybrook Son]

We'll see. We'll be favs in every game bar Adelaide and GWS.

We were favs against Melbourne too, look how that turned out? The wins against St Kilda and Norf are two of the worst wins I can remember us having. We will be lucky to win 3-4 games coming home. Bookmark this post for future reference!

 

[Braybrook Son]

Lol will we ?

Favs over Essendon and Port?

I think some dont realise or are just ignoring how average we are.

We struggled to beat Norf with the umps behind us. They are shit and worse than every team we play other than the lions but that is in Brisbane.

Yeah a lot of optimists here mate, I'm a realist, and we are bottom 4 material right now.

 

[jdz101]

On current form?

No.

 

[Mattdougie]

Yeah a lot of optimists here mate, I'm a realist, and we are bottom 4 material right now.

Yeah I agree we aren't very good and if we do scrape into finals we are zero threat.

Last years miracle is not happening again.

The team structure and style just looks all over the place and after watching several games live I place the 50 % of the blame on the coaches. We have no obvious pattern or style and our defense is paper thin at times.

Let hope next yet they stop thinking they are smarter than they are and return to what works.

 

[Braybrook Son]

Yeah I agree we aren't very good and if we do scrape into finals we are zero threat.

Last years miracle is not happening again.

The team structure and style just looks all over the place and after watching several games live I place the 50 % of the blame on the coaches. We have no obvious pattern or style and our defense is paper thin at times.

Let hope next yet they stop thinking they are smarter than they are and return to what works.

Yes 100% correct. The coaching merry-go-round has left us all bewildered and super frustrated this year. A real 'fcuk you' to all us members. If it ain't broke? The only thing we really needed to address was the forward line, which has got worse, and is now in the bottom 4.

 

[MJ_Dogs]

Impossible to predict this year but Did a ladder predictor and had us missing the 8 on percentage. And guess who finished 8th? West Coast. So goes without saying that this week is crucial and essentially must-win given its an 8 point swing.

Looking at runs home, I see all of GWS, Melbourne, Adelaide, Geelong, port Adelaide, Essendon and Richmond making it. That leaves 1 spot to fight out amongst 4 teams: dogs, eagles, saints and swans. Saints have the hardest run so don't think they make it. Sydney being 1 game back probably rules them out. So it's down to us a west coast.

So, We need to:
-win the 4 non-negotiables (Carlton, Gold Coast, Brisbane, hawthorn)
- beat west coast to get the 8pt swing
- because our % is poor, take one game out of Essendon, gws or port. I don't think we stand a chance against Adelaide

It's possible and in our control. But the way we've played to date tells me we won't make it. It starts with a must win on Saturday. It's huge

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Impossible to predict this year but Did a ladder predictor and had us missing the 8 on percentage. And guess who finished 8th? West Coast. So goes without saying that this week is crucial and essentially must-win given its an 8 point swing.

Looking at runs home, I see all of GWS, Melbourne, Adelaide, Geelong, port Adelaide, Essendon and Richmond making it. That leaves 1 spot to fight out amongst 4 teams: dogs, eagles, saints and swans. Saints have the hardest run so don't think they make it. Sydney being 1 game back probably rules them out. So it's down to us a west coast.

So, We need to:
-win the 4 non-negotiables (Carlton, Gold Coast, Brisbane, hawthorn)
- beat west coast to get the 8pt swing
- because our % is poor, take one game out of Essendon, gws or port. I don't think we stand a chance against Adelaide

It's possible and in our control. But the way we've played to date tells me we won't make it. It starts with a must win on Saturday. It's huge

Yes that way i see win this week and we probably make it lose we are gone