BluStreak
Norm Smith Medallist
good to see you back posting The_Wookie. Always look forward to reading (or watching) your posts.
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This is pretty much it. The players are, by not responding to the show cause notices, are pleading a no contest to the doping charges. The ADRVP will then enter them into a register of findings as having been found guilty of doping and will be referred to the AFL doping panel.It means they won't be arguing their innocence to the ADRVP (the government-appointed group who assess show-cause notices and any responses to them in order to decide if the players are likely to have doped). Unless something strange occurs, it's pretty much a given that the ADRVP will conclude they have doped and will put an entry onto a 'register of findings'.
Once this occurs, I believe the infraction notices are sent and the players are referred to the AFL tribunal. The players can still argue their case here I think, and ASADA will argue theirs. Then, they are found guilty and punished.
If either side (ASADA or Essendon*) are not happy with the outcome, the next step is for the matter to be taken to the CAS - the sports court (in Switzerland I believe). That will drag the process out a looooong time.
Bombers fans are claiming they're calling the ASADA bluff and will defeat them at the AFL tribunal. Funny how every new finding is a win for them.
They could still win at the AFL Tribunal. The standard of proof is much higher at the tribunal stage ('beyond the balance of probabilities') than it is at the RoF stage ('comfortable satisfaction').
Also, Court hearings are naturally a little swingy. Never underestimate the persuasiveness of good Counsel - and these blokes will be walking in there armed with some top silks.
I still think they will go though. The evidence I have seen to date is more than enough to meet the above standard at the hearing IMO. I dare say that the players will seek to have much of it excluded if possible.
As long as it's all finalised in mid-December, well after they have a chance to re-stock via the rookie draft.When players cop bans the bombers posters will claim it was their plan all along and the best way to clear out deadwood
As long as it's all finalised in mid-December, well after they have a chance to re-stock via the EDFL.
"Balance of Probabilities" is higher than comfortable satisfaction, but still lower than "beyond reasonable doubt (which is quite high)."
Question if you know it - if the test for AFL is higher than ASADA, how does ASADA (or even WADA) determine whether or not to question any penalty handed by the AFL, given the tests are different? It seems odd that ASADA has one test for Register of Findings, but can then, in effect, review the AFL's test of balance of probabilities.
Having said that, the problem for the players appears to be that EFC didn't keep records, so it'll be difficult for them to disprove what they took if there is some credible evidence that they may have taken banned substances.
Whats your verdict then Mal?
reckon they will go?
I haven't seen all the evidence, but from what I have seen, my money is on a resounding 'Yes the players are royally ******'.
The test at the tribunal stage is actually 'beyond the balance of probabilities'; this is a higher evidenciary standard than the civil standard of 'on the balance of probabilities'.
It sits somewhere between the civil (on the balance of probabilities' and criminal 'beyond reasonable doubt' level.
In layman's, the civil standard (contract law, negligence etc) requires the decision maker to be around 51 percent or greater sure what happened. The Criminal standard of beyond reasonable doubt is around 91 percent sure.
I place this level at about 75 percent sure to get across the line.
Lol. I just put numbers on that s**t.
The standard only applies to prove the doping offence in question.
One the offence is proved, the question of punishments is generally pretty black and white (and intentionally draconian).
You dont have to prove you didnt commit an offence, but providing clear evidence you're innocent does help!
That said, my view is that the players legal team will find one weakness in the evidence and hammer it.
Circumstantial cases (even strong circumstantial cases like this one) only need one break in the chain of circumstantial evidence to fall over.
Have you had access to evidence that the general public hasn't?
Thanks Mal - perhaps another way of asking my question is if asada or wads are not happy with the afl penalty & decide to come over the top, what test are they applying ? Is it the afl test of beyond balance of probabilities , or comfortable satisfaction?
ASADA Chief Executive Officer, Ben McDevitt, said ASADA will not be dictated to by the AFL Players’ Association, its lawyers, or anybody else.
ASADA tell the AFLPA to bugger off:
ASADA tell the AFLPA to bugger off:
ASADA tell the AFLPA to bugger off:
I think they'll go, but for a period of at least 6- but no greater than 10 weeks in the season, with allowances made for the time taken to investigate.
ASADA just went BANG and reminded the deluded AFL community about how things really work in the sporting world!ASADA tell the AFLPA to bugger off:
I really like the cut of McDevitts jib.
He is one switched on individual. Got some serious respect for the bloke.