The Run Home

[swannies]

OK, let's look at the run home for each team that is still a chance to finish in the top 4. I have included the Royals, as they can if they win all 5 remaining games.

Royals
Current Position: 7
Points: 20
Max Points End: 44
Run home:
v Sharks (Leederville) - WON
v Demons (Lathlain) - Won
v Peel (Mandurah) - Won
v Cardinals (Leederville) - this will knock one out - massive match.
bye
v Subi (Leederville)
v Tiges (Leederville) but if they're any chance here, bye bye Royals!

The advantage the Royals have is they play 4 of the 6 at home but have 4 tough games against other final 4 aspirants.
Chances of top 4: So slim as to not exist? Still keeping the dream alive 24/7/10.

Falcons
Current Position: 6
Points: 28
Max Points End: 52
Run home:
v Lions (Joondalup) WON
v Peel (Joondalup) Won
bye
v Royals (Leederville)
v Bulldogs (Fri night, Freo Oval - recurring nightmares?)
v Tiges (Joondalup)
v Demons (Joondalup)

Like the Royals, the Falcons have 4 of their last 6 at home and Joondalup is probably one of the most advantageous home grounds. They play teams around them on the ladder, no Swans to knock them out this year, so they are in a real scrap for that top 4 position.
Chances of top 4: Fair, if they can get some consistency. Looking good 24/7/10.

Bulldogs
Current Position: 5
Points: 28
Max Points End: 48
Run home:
bye
v Lions (Leederville) Won
v Sharks (East Freo) Derby Eliminator?
v Swans (Freo)
v Falcons (Fri night, Freo Oval)
bye
v Lions (Freo)

The Bulldogs have 2 byes remaining, so the ask is tougher. They also play other teams in the top 4, or trying to get in the top 4, no lower teams.
Chances of top 4: Touch and go. Getting closer now.

Sharks
Current Position: 4
Points: 32
Max Points End: 52
Run home:
v Royals (Leederville) LOST
bye
v Bulldogs (East Freo)
v Demons (East Freo)
v Lions (Leederville)
v Peel (Mandurah)
bye
Like the Bulldogs, the Sharks have 2 byes remaining, but they do play the bottom 3, but their form the last month has been patchy.
Chances of top 4: Good, if they can overcome their mental issues and beat the Lions, they will almost be assured. Looking shaky 17/7/10.

Lions
Current Position: 3
Points: 36
Max Points End: 60
Run home:
v Falcons (Joondalup) Lost
v Bulldogs (Leederville) Lost
bye
v Tigers (Claremont)
v Sharks (Leederville)
v Royals (Leederville)
v Bulldogs (Freo)

Have a tough run home, battling other top 4 aspirants. Need to nail those teams outside the 4, although the Bulldogs have been a handfull for them and they get them twice.
Chances of top 4: Pretty Good.

Swans
Current Position: 2
Points: 44
Max Points End: 68
Run home:
v Peel (Mandurah) WON
v Tigers (Basso) Drew
bye
v Bulldogs (Fremantle)
v Tigers (Claremont)
v Demons (Basso)
v Peel (Basso)

The Tigers twice is tough, but the run home is fairly simple and should allow some fine tuning (hopefully).
Chances of top 4: Top 2 beckons, especially if they beat Claremont again.

Tigers
Current Position: 1
Points: 52
Max Points End: 76
Run home:
v Demons (Claremont) WON
v Swans (Basso) Drew
bye
v Lions (Claremont)
v Swans (Claremont) - clash for top spot?
v Falcons (Joondalup)
v Royals (Leederville)

Does'nt look tough the draw, as they've beaten every one of their opponents once or twice already, except those black ducks. The only query is whether they can maintain the form for the back end of the season, but there's been nothing to suggest they won't.
Chances of top 4: Already there, top 2 cemented and one win over Swans will guarantee top spot.

 

[pacemaker]

Bulldogs are still a chance

GET YOUR SHIT INTO GEAR

 

[Chris who]

Falcons
Current Position: 6
Points: 28
Max Points End: 52
Run home:
v Lions (Joondalup) WON
v Peel (Joondalup) WON
bye
v Royals (Leederville)
v Bulldogs (Fri night, Freo Oval - recurring nightmares?)
v Tiges (Joondalup)
v Demons (Joondalup)

Should win 3 pencil in 2 , Once again the cardies will fill the top four while the royals pretend they had a shot

 

[pacemaker]

Bulldogs
Current Position: 5
Points: 28
Max Points End: 48
Run home:
bye
v Lions (Leederville) Won
v Sharks (East Freo) Derby Eliminator?
v Swans (Freo)
v Falcons (Fri night, Freo Oval)
bye
v Lions (Freo)

.

I hate our run home. Only going to take one game to wreak it. I think we can manage to beat East Freo but Swans will be a task and a half

 

[EaglesFlyingHigh]

Doggies are no chance

 

[Chris who]

Heres my predictions, see the falcons getting in on their 8 points of % over the gummy's (although sharks could trounce perth and peel). See the lions hitting a fair run of luck. The biggest Games are South v Falcons, Sharks v Lions and Lions v Bulldogs.

Royals
v Cardinals (Leederville) - this will knock one out - massive match.Loss
bye
v Subi (Leederville) Loss
v Tiges (Leederville) but if they're any chance here, bye bye Royals!Loss
(can you tell im a falcons man)

Cant see them winning any and one loss would break the teams spirit

Falcons
v Royals (Leederville) WIN
v Bulldogs (Fri night, Freo Oval - recurring nightmares?)Loss (recent form at ground?)
v Tiges (Joondalup) Loss
v Demons (Joondalup)WIN
Beat subi and lost to Bulldogs??? the form is up and down but have 3 very winnnable games

Bulldogs
v Swans (Freo) Loss
v Falcons (Fri night, Freo Oval)WIN
bye
v Lions (Freo) Loss
Lost to the sharks...look flat


Sharks
v Demons (East Freo)WIN
v Lions (Leederville) Loss
v Peel (Mandurah)WIN
bye
nice run but mid season slump ruined year

Lions
v Tigers (Claremont) Loss
v Sharks (Leederville)WIN
v Royals (Leederville)WIN
v Bulldogs (Freo)WIN
Good side at the end of an era, expect an experianced side to find form

Ladder
Claremont
Swans
Subi 12 wins
falcons 11
-----------------------
East Fremantle 11
South Fremantle 10
East Perth 9

 

[swannies]

Current Ladder:

Claremont         16  14  1  1  181.51  58
Swan Districts    16  12  3  1  127.11  50
West Perth        16  9   7  0  107.51  36
Subiaco           16  9   7  0  102.88  36
East Fremantle    17  9   8  0   99.94  36
East Perth        17  8   9  0  115.95  32
South Fremantle   17  8   9  0  101.08  32

 

[swannies]

Alright, we have our first elimination from the finals race. Bye bye Bulldogs for season 2010.

Who's next? We still have 4 trying to go into 2 spots.

 

[Chris who]

cmon falcons

 

[swannies]

Latest Ladder, with those still in contention:

East Fremantle  19 11 8 0  104.33  44
West Perth      18 10 8 0  107.35  40
East Perth      18  9 9 0  115.80  36
Subiaco         18  9 9 0   98.95  36

So the Royals v Lions will eliminate another contender next week.

 

[Chris who]

So, west perth and east perth both play claremont in the next two weeks pencil in a loss for both sides and suddenly that game becomes crucial as subi should beat south freo. West perth also have perth which should be a win. after all the pencilling in if subi win both games all west perth have to do is beat perth (and hope subi doesnt pick up 10 percent in 2 games)

 

[Ljp86]

So, west perth and east perth both play claremont in the next two weeks pencil in a loss for both sides and suddenly that game becomes crucial as subi should beat south freo. West perth also have perth which should be a win. after all the pencilling in if subi win both games all west perth have to do is beat perth (and hope subi doesnt pick up 10 percent in 2 games)

Very much doubt we'll beat South Freo on our current form.

 

[swannies]

So, west perth and east perth both play claremont in the next two weeks pencil in a loss for both sides and suddenly that game becomes crucial as subi should beat south freo. West perth also have perth which should be a win. after all the pencilling in if subi win both games all west perth have to do is beat perth (and hope subi doesnt pick up 10 percent in 2 games)

WP v Claremont at Bassendean, neutral ground, I give you a silly chance. After all, Claremont having nothing more to play for, until the finals. They didn't want to go into the finals not having beaten Swans, they are guaranteed top spot, players can relax. But we'll see.