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ATP Masters Series 1000: Rome

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Draw:

[1] Nadal v Bye
[Q] Lorenzi v Bellucci
Lopez v Llodra
Kohlschreiber v [14] Youzhny
[11] Fish v Giraldo
Ljubicic v Cipolla
Cilic v Karlovic
[6] Ferrer v Bye

[3] Federer v Bye
Baghdatis v Tsonga
[Q] Andreev v [Q] Riba
Montanes v [16] Gasquet
[10] Monfils v [Q] Nishikori
[Q] Hanescu v Stakhovsky
Monaco v Seppi
[6] Berdych v Bye

[8] Melzer v Bye
Mayer v Golubev
Chela v Isner
Simon v [12] Roddick
[15] Troicki v Davydenko
Starace v Dolgopolov
Malisse v Garcia-Lopez
[4] Murray v Bye

[5] Soderling v Bye
Verdasco v Raonic
Anderson v Querrey
Bolelli v [9] Almagro
[14] Wawrinka v Fognini
Volandri v De Bakker
[Q] Cuevas v [Q] Kubot
[2] Djokovic v Bye


Preview:

Rome is the location for the final clay Masters 1000 before the years second Grand Slam in Paris. Rafael Nadal is the defending champion and has won this tournament a record five times. He owns a 27-1 W/L record at this event is striving for a hat trick of titles and it appears the only man standing in his way is Novak Djokovic. Djokovic tasted success here in 2008 when we defeated Wawrinka in the final and the following year he lost a tight 3 set final to Nadal.

Play began yesterday and the results went mainly according to plan; the only seeded players to fall were Andy Roddick, who was playing here for the first time since 2008, and Mikael Youzhny. It’s been almost two months since Roddick last won an ATP match so defending 3R points at the French might be difficult. Verdasco managed to extract some revenge on Milos Raonic as he defeated the youngster in straight sets. Fernando Verdasco found himself one ranking spot below the seeding cut-off so he will now face 5th seed Robin Soderling, surely the pick of the second round matches.

Rafael Nadal will lose his #1 ranking if he fails to reach the Semi’s and Djokovic claims the title. I can’t see either happening as I think Nadal will win this week. Nadal will likely begin his title defence against Tomaz Bellucci, an extremely tough first round match, but he should win. Tough break that for Tomaz after his breakthrough in Madrdid where he reached the Semi’s. 3R opponent is either Lopez, Llodra or Kohlschreiber, so Rafa certainly didn’t get any favours from the draw here. QF opponent should be David Ferrer who, other than maybe Cilic, has a comfortable draw. There’s no doubt the clay of Rome is more suited to Rafa’s game so I don’t think anyone has a chance of knocking him off before the final, although his draw certainly is challenging.

Novak Djokovic carries an incredible 32 match win streak heading into Rome and his confidence must be unbreakable after his win in Madrid. The only query I would have is whether he’s going to suffer any fatigue after playing the Serbia Open, Madrid and Rome in consecutive weeks. Serbia was a relatively weak field though, so he should have enough in the tank to make a deep run. He faces qualifier Kubot first, then it’s likely 2008 finalist Stan Wawrinka. QF opponent should be either Soderling or Almagro, perhaps even Verdasco who does have a good set of results in Rome. If he makes it as far as the Semi’s he’ll probably be looking at Jurgen Melzer, even though the Austrian hasn’t achieved great results on clay in 2011.

Rome is one of the few titles Roger Federer is missing from his collection but that doesn’t look set to change now. He was R/U in 2003 to Mantilla and again in 2006 in an absolute epic against Nadal. Last year he crashed at the first hurdle, so this presents a good opportunity for him to gain some points. He hasn’t been dealt many favours with the draw as he opens against Tsonga although on this surface it shouldn’t be overly difficult. 3R is likely Gasquet and I just get the sense Richard might pull off an upset here, despite his poor record here. If he does escape those early hurdle’s he’s looking at Berdych in the Quarters and Nadal once again in the Semi’s. Tsonga-Gasquet-Berdych-Nadal, extremely tough path; we’ll get a good indication of how serious Federer is treating this event.

David Ferrer had a major breakthrough at this stage last year when he made it to the final and was competitive against Nadal in a rain interrupted match. He begins against a giant, either Karlovic or Cilic, and should dispatch either. Mardy Fish or Ljubicic likely await in the 3rd, but Nadal will once again end his run in the Quarters. Other than a QF appearance in 2007 Berdych has struggled at this event but he got slightly fortunate in the fact Monfils, the seed in his bracket, had to withdraw through illness. Berdych should make it to the Quarters and collect some nice points.

Andy Murray is the 4th seed and if he can survive the opening test of Malisse his draw gives him the chance to make a decent run. Working against him though is his miserable 2-5 record in Rome which suggests he really isn’t much of a threat here to anyone. There are quite a few interesting matches in the 2nd round including Murray/Malisse, Soderling/Verdasco, Federer/Tsonga and Gasquet/Andreev. There really is great tennis from the get go at these Masters events.

Prediction: Nadal def. Djokovic

It’s hard to see anything stopping Nadal and Djokovic meeting in the final for the fourth Masters tournament of the year. I think the only difference this time around will be the winner; Nadal dominates in Rome and the surface will be much more beneficial to his game as opposed to Madrid. You keep waiting for Djokovic to stumble, but you then watch him play and realise he’s just totally in the zone. Sooner or later he has to lose, but if he maintains his level of play that won’t be before the final.
 
good review drummond...Djokovic has to lose 1 i believe to win the RG.. if he wins this one i am almost certain he will not win the French.He needs to lose a match, he is running too hot at the moment and can certainly get overconfident on a slow surface thinking he can do anything like he did in Madrid.I dont know, its my 2 cents worth but being a nadal fan, i wouldnt mind Nole lifting the RG trophy.
 
The tournament has not really sparked my interest yet, but tonight certainly changes that. There are a bunch of matches tonight that should be tight contests and could go either way. I can't believe that Novak already has the opportunity to get the #1 spot. There is no doubt he will get to it in the next couple of months, as Nadal has the FO, Wimbledon and US Open to defend.
 

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A couple of Aussie results through. Gajdosova got thrashed by Li in straights 6-3, 6-1. you get the feeling in some these matches where she gets behind she chucks in the towel way too easily. Li at her best would beat her anyway but she often gets thrashed when she shouldn't.

Stosur didn't have too many issues with Hercog and got through in straights 6-3, 6-4. She'll play the winner of Hantuchova/Schiavone, she'd probably rather play Hantuchova especially because I can't imagine an Italian crowd being to civilised when Francesca is playing (not to mention she owns Hantuchova).
 
Good post hirdy_is_champ, I agree with all of that.

And Nadal is struggling here against Lopez. What's up with Rafa? They were saying something about whether he was even going to play, so I'm assuming there's some illness/injury hovering? He certainly doesn't appear anywhere near his best, that should still be enough today though.
 
Better intensity from Nadal today including pace of shot and heavier spin off his forehand. However his depth of shot is still a little bit off. He is also serving much better today. Still not 100% but he gets through this match and plays Berlocq in the 1/4. To be honest I have never seen this guy play but I am sure Nadal will beat him and keep the #1 ranking until at least the end of the French Open. ***Sorry Nadal plays either Cilic or Fish. Was looking at my bracket which had Ferrer making the semis against Nadal and Berlocq was his replacement. Stuffed up my bracket as well Drummond.***

A good result from Stosur, wish we could have seen either of her 2 matches from the last 2 days. Sam isn't having too many issues with lower ranked players, it is when she is facing players in good form or are higher ranked that she is struggling with. I feel like she needs a big result here in Rome to have any hope at Roland Garros. But with the pressure of the runner-up points to defend, I fear that may get to her.

Jarka was plain terrrible tonight. She had such a terrible attitude and it was bad to watch.
 
Well my picks are becoming a joke, again. I had Ferrer down to make the Quarters, he withdrew before the tournament began. He'll lose a stack of ranking points after reaching the final last year.

I had Melzer down to reach the Semi's, he had to retire midway through his match.

Things like that just stuff around with your picks.
 
Well my picks are becoming a joke, again. I had Ferrer down to make the Quarters, he withdrew before the tournament began. He'll lose a stack of ranking points after reaching the final last year.

I had Melzer down to reach the Semi's, he had to retire midway through his match.

Things like that just stuff around with your picks.

Dont worry im only on 37 points. I picked Melzer to make semis and Ferrer to make quaters. I pick Djokovic to lose in the quaters and i think im going to regret it also got a Soderling Vs Nadal final. Soderling had to save 2 match points against Verdasco.:eek:
 
Too bad federer lost :D i was hoping he would make the semis and give rafa another victory.Not to be...he should just shut up and retire.Yesterday after beating Tsonga he was talking about how he is still a force and no one should count him out..yeah roger..take a look at your game now..you are a shadow of a player you used to be.Just retire for your fans before Murray catches up with you
 

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Gasquet def. Federer

ShitNigga.jpg
 
Well Sam just had a decent win in straights over Schiavone 6-2, 6-4. She'll play Li next who I have no idea about really. I don't think she won a match after AO til the clay court season and I'm really not sure if she's really beaten anyone of note either.
On the otherside of the draw Wozniacki and Jankovic apparently played a crazy shitfest. Nobody held serve in the final set til Caro managed to get to a 5-3 lead, and eventually win. That in a nutshell is why neither of them have won a GS and why Goerges caines the shit out of Woz.

Anyway in the men's it seems clay has finnaly brought Andy Murray some good form and he had a 3 set win over Mayer. He'll play Nadal who beat Cilic easily.
Also is it just me or is Cilic incredibly boring? I didn't watch the match but I just find him incredibly uninteresting for some reason...
 
Nadal looks to have recovered from that virus and is getting into better form now. for me he is the favourite to win the tournament. defeated cilic 6-1 6-3.

Murray comes from doing nothing for a couple of months and is now in the semis here beating mayer in 3 sets. Think it Cld be an interesting match between he and novak.

And finally I think the match, win and performance that we have been waiting year for this year has occurred. Stosur def schiavone 6-2 6-4 with her best performance for the year. We all hope this is the catalyst and confidence boost she needs going into the French. faces Li na in the semi.
 
Great win for Sam. This could really kick start her season is Li Na isnt that great on clay so she has a great chance to make the final where she will either take on Wozniacki or Azarenka. I give her a great shot to take this tournment.:thumbsu:
 
No ones touching Novak if he plays like this.Move over federer of 2007...atleast he had a weakness in backhand..but Novak is flawless.Soderling just played a pretty decent match and won 6 points in the 2nd set and didnt win a point for the last 20 minutes of the match....and 3 games in the first set only.Ffs this is insane...Nole to win without losing a set
 
Gasquet seems like he'd be a good bet to do well at FO, as long as he doesn't let the home town pressure bother him.
Nole is now at 35 wins, I think I read somewhere McEnroe's record was 42, so he's getting close. I'm gonna play devil's advocate here but does anyone think that winning virtually every tournament you play in up until the FO might be a slight disadvantage if he plays a few long matches at FO?

Also Azarenka retired (again) against Sharapova. So Wozniacki will play Masha. If Stosur gets up in her semi I think she'd much rather play Wozniacki.
 

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Great win for Sam. This could really kick start her season is Li Na isnt that great on clay so she has a great chance to make the final where she will either take on Wozniacki or Azarenka. I give her a great shot to take this tournment.:thumbsu:

Reckon she'll get done in by Li tbh. She made the semis in Madrid and she's torn through everyone she's played this week.
 
Stosur through in straight sets.

She blew 4 set points in the first, but hung on a tiebreaker with some pretty fine tennis to stave off a set point from Li. Blitzed Li in the second to clinch a pretty emphatic 7-6(6), 6-0 win.

Great stuff. I agree with an earlier poster who said she'd rather face Wozniacki. Sharapova isn't great on clay, but she's got a dominant record against Stosur. This form couldn't come at a better (or later) time.
 
You can just tell that the win over Schiavone was the turning point Stosur needed this clay court season. In between watching the footy and the tennis I saw enough of the match to realise that Sam should have won that first set before the tiebreaker. She showed some good mental toughness to win that breaker and then romped it in the 2nd set. She should win the title from here.
 
A win like that should do wonders for Sam's confidence. I was occasionally checking live scores and was not impressed when I saw that she was down a set point in the TB, thought oh not again..., but to come out and win that and bagel the second is promising. Get the title Sammy!
 

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