AFL 2018 - AFL Round 4

[SM]

To grow my bankroll. I cashed out for profit in the first quarter

Mhm.

 

[Macpotata]

Idiot. Why put your entire bankroll on something?

He didn't. He's trolling the troll.


Good win SM. great find on hawks and under.

 

[Macpotata]

^unless he's oraz's multi acc

 

[SM]

No one would have cashed for a profit the way the Dees looked early, unless you had incredible discipline. I find it hard to believe.

 

[capperscap]

Another horror day down 12u now
So upset. Ruining my life . **** this
5u Hawthorn @ 2.20

Huge win
great stuff hawthorn

Total Profit this year: 7.7u
1 bet pending (10u St kilda at the line)

 

[Sabbathen]

I’m done. This forum is full of ****ing peanuts. Lift your game moderators.

 

[Macpotata]

I’m done. This forum is full of ******* peanuts. Lift your game moderators.

X100

 

[AFLFootyChick]

I’m done. This forum is full of ******* peanuts. Lift your game moderators.

I have to agree! It's pathetic! If the rules of the board are to post actual screenshots of valid/pending bets, then MODERATORS, make it a bloody rule! Otherwise, take or leave what people write (e.g.: tips/bets) and don't get so upset about it. It's their money, not yours!

 

[roospur]

Hey folks, completely forgot to take a screenshot of the most disposals groups in the cats/saints game. Any chance one of you blokes have them?

 

[chrisdon16]

Huge win
great stuff hawthorn

Total Profit this year: 7.7u
1 bet pending (10u St kilda at the line)

Yesterday you were crying the blues that the punt was ruining your life and you were down 12 units.

Today you make a miraculous recovery and suddenly up 7.7 units for the season. Even though you also lost 10u on the Saints +29.5?

Seriously...

 

[Spacedog]

Gold Coast at $2 next week is surely massive value? They are the stronger side and have better form this year. The only issue is if the traveling has affected them the last 2 weeks, but Brisbane has traveled as well which evens that out if it's even a factor.

 

[SM]

Gold Coast at $2 next week is surely massive value? They are the stronger side and have better form this year. The only issue is if the traveling has affected them the last 2 weeks, but Brisbane has traveled as well which evens that out if it's even a factor.

That's fantastic value.

 

[Spacedog]

That's fantastic value.

I was surprised when I saw it. I'm gonna whack 20U down on it.

 

[SM]

I was surprised when I saw it. I'm gonna whack 20U down on it.

Yeah market is still shy on the suns, who have improved massively this year.

 

[Trucker Tiger]

Gold Coast at $2 next week is surely massive value? They are the stronger side and have better form this year. The only issue is if the traveling has affected them the last 2 weeks, but Brisbane has traveled as well which evens that out if it's even a factor.

I've had a bite of that.

 

[Spacedog]

I've had a bite of that.

It should even out a lot as the week goes on GC are easily the better side

 

[CatFan79]

Is there a site that tracks the U/O outcomes of AFL games?

 

[SM]

Is there a site that tracks the U/O outcomes of AFL games?

William Hills the wolf gives you the stats going into each game of each team's o/u for the year, as well as last year, I think.

I've noticed a lot of games going under this year.

 

[Rocky Straight]

Is there a site that tracks the U/O outcomes of AFL games?

Just over 50‰ unders, 7-2 this week

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk

 

[SM]

Just over 50‰ unders, 7-2 this week

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk

Anyone know what they use to track a team's over/under? Is it an average of the total offered over the markets life? Or the total offered just before bounce?

 

[Rocky Straight]

Anyone know what they use to track a team's over/under? Is it an average of the total offered over the markets life? Or the total offered just before bounce?

It should be whatever the game starts as that is most efficient.
No point tracking an opening Total which drops 40pts cause of rain

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk

 

[mookieb]

I’m done. This forum is full of ******* peanuts. Lift your game moderators.

Forums like this should be for sharing information because we all should be in it to take a bit of money from the bookies.

If you make a bet feel free to post it with reasoning or if you don't like someone else's bet then help someone out if you think there is a good reason that it isn't value. There are lot's of variables that go into factors that impact games and confirmation bias can certainly can cloud the decision making process.

I've certainly made money tailing posters like Langdon on AFLW and other posters like x-box-x, Duritz on horse racing etc.

 

[chrisdon16]

Gold Coast at $2 next week is surely massive value? They are the stronger side and have better form this year. The only issue is if the traveling has affected them the last 2 weeks, but Brisbane has traveled as well which evens that out if it's even a factor.

Disagree hard about having better form. Aside from the game against Richmond, Brisbane have looked good. It was only in Round 3 that they pushed Port at the Adelaide Oval and nearly knocked them off. They've been very competitive in the first 3 rounds. Gold Coast are being VERY overrated. Round 1 is irrelevant, the ground was unplayable. Round 2 they played the worst team in the comp at Etihad. Round 3 beat comfortably. Round 4 smashed. Plus it's at the Gabba? Can't see any value in Gold Coast at all.

 

[chrisdon16]

I was surprised when I saw it. I'm gonna whack 20U down on it.

Just 20 units?

 

[mookieb]

Disagree hard about having better form. Aside from the game against Richmond, Brisbane have looked good. It was only in Round 3 that they pushed Port at the Adelaide Oval and nearly knocked them off. They've been very competitive in the first 3 rounds. Gold Coast are being VERY overrated. Round 1 is irrelevant, the ground was unplayable. Round 2 they played the worst team in the comp at Etihad. Round 3 beat comfortably. Round 4 smashed. Plus it's at the Gabba? Can't see any value in Gold Coast at all.

Brisbane gave up 107 points to what has proven to be an atrocious StK forward line and ended up losing by 4 goals. Beaten easily by Melbourne at home. Fantastic against Port and terrible against Richmond. Both teams played on the road 2 weeks in a row.

Bris at home but I think that GC might be the better team. Looks like a bit of a coin flip.